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Barra vs Nação• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil

1.5:1.53-3FT23/090.7:2.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42BTNX4.75B36529.00BVCMargin at best2.6%Books5Markets43Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.443.856.6010.6%
1xBet1.304.508.7010.6%
BetVictor1.294.509.0010.9%
Bet3651.304.507.5012.5%
Marathonbet1.284.508.2012.5%
Best of all books1.444.509.002.8%
Average1.324.378.0011.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BarraNação
Last 104Form pts · last 521.5Goals for · last 50.71.5Goals against · last 52.360Attack rating4070Defence rating3067Form rating3388H2H rating13100Goals model075Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:11 UTC

Barra

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

11 OctHMetropolitano3-3D
26 SepAJoinville1-2L
23 SepHNação3-3D
15 SepHBlumenau2-2D
5 SepAFigueirense1-1D
29 AugHVolta Redonda2-0W
23 AugAMaringá1-2L
16 AugHAO Itabaiana1-0W
8 AugAItuano0-2L
26 JulAYpiranga-RS0-1L

Nação

2W 4D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

9 OctHMarcílio Dias0-0D
26 SepAHercílio Luz1-2L
23 SepABarra3-3D
19 SepHJoinville0-4L
12 SepAFigueirense0-1L
6 SepHSanta Catarina2-2D
25 JulHHercílio Luz1-2L
22 JulABlumenau2-0W
18 JulHCaravaggio2-2D
15 JulAJaraguá2-0W

Head to head

2Barra wins
1draws
0Nação wins

3 meetings · goals 9:1 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Barra

14 Oct 2024Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaNação0-4Barra
25 Jan 2024Catarinense - 1Catarinense - 1Nação0-4Barra
2 Sep 2023Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaBarra1-1Nação

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.32X20%4.41211%8.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Sep 18:1123 Sep 18:211 1.32X 4.402 7.99
11.32 → 1.32 0.0%X4.37 → 4.40 +0.7%28.00 → 7.99 -0.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
1xBet1.791.889.1%
BetVictor1.791.889.1%
Marathonbet1.791.889.1%
Betano1.781.8510.2%
Best of all books1.851.955.3%
Average1.801.898.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor2.251.578.1%
1xBet2.131.619.1%
Marathonbet2.131.599.8%
Best of all books2.251.616.6%
Average2.171.599.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Barra 50%Draw 50%Nação 0%

The statistical model rated Barra at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Nação at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 4.41 | 8.03, which imply roughly 75.8% for a Barra win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Barra averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Nação averaged 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Barra or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.324.378.00

Double chance

1XX212
1.072.901.13

Draw no bet

12
1.105.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.171.59

1st half

1X2
1.842.307.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2712.53.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.029.50
1.51.233.52
2.51.801.89
3.53.021.31
4.56.151.09
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.80
1.751.283.08
21.382.68
2.251.592.15
2.751.991.67
32.351.48
3.252.661.37
3.753.581.21
44.901.11

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.831.34
-1.752.281.52
-1.51.971.74
-1.251.781.87
-11.492.35
-0.751.372.71
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.101.04
-36.301.06
-2.53.501.22
-2.253.201.26
-0.251.173.96
01.056.45

Latest Copa Santa Catarina results

18 OctNação 0-1 Blumenau
17 OctHercílio Luz 2-0 Barra
16 OctMarcílio Dias 2-2 Figueirense
10 OctFigueirense 1-0 Hercílio Luz
9 OctNação 0-0 Marcílio Dias
26 SepHercílio Luz 2-1 Nação