Birkirkara vs Birzebbuga• Premier League, Malta

#71.0:1.02-2FT31/10 · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.2:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX3.80BFR25.321XBMargin at best6.8%Books8Markets46Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 09:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.61	3.80	5.20	7.7%
Betano	1.62	3.70	5.00	8.8%
Pinnacle	1.57	3.74	5.13	9.9%
Betfair	1.57	3.80	5.00	10.0%
1xBet	1.53	3.74	5.32	10.9%
William Hill	1.60	3.50	5.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.60	3.70	4.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.74	5.20	12.2%
Best of all books	1.62	3.80	5.32	6.8%
Average	1.58	3.71	5.04	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BirkirkaraBirzebbuga

Last 10#7Table position#111.36Points per game0.557Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.645Attack rating5562Defence rating3858Form rating420H2H rating081Goals model1962Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 19:30 UTC

Birkirkara

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	Balzan FC	2-0	W
22 Oct	H	Floriana	1-1	D
16 Oct	A	Marsaxlokk	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
18 Sep	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Hibernians	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Mosta	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Hamrun Spartans	1-0	W
17 Aug	H	Gzira United	4-0	W

Birzebbuga

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	A	Gzira United	2-2	D
21 Oct	H	Marsaxlokk	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	Hibernians	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Mosta	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Hamrun Spartans	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Balzan FC	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Floriana	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Birkirkara and Birzebbuga on record.

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 1 Nov 23:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Birkirkara sit 7th with 15 points from 11 games, while Birzebbuga are 11th with 6 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	11	8	1	2	23:9	+14	25
2	Sliema Wanderers	11	5	3	3	15:14	+1	18
3	Hamrun Spartans	11	4	5	2	17:13	+4	17
4	Marsaxlokk	10	5	2	3	16:14	+2	17
5	Floriana	11	4	4	3	22:15	+7	16
6	Hibernians	11	4	4	3	13:15	-2	16
7	Birkirkara	11	4	3	4	14:11	+3	15
8	Zabbar St. Patrick	11	4	2	5	17:16	+1	14
9	Mosta	11	3	5	3	15:20	-5	14
10	Balzan FC	11	2	5	4	13:14	-1	11
11	Birzebbuga	11	1	3	7	9:21	-12	6
12	Gzira United	10	0	5	5	9:21	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.58X24%3.72218%5.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.58 0.0%X3.72 → 3.72 0.0%25.04 → 5.04 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.85	6.7%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Betano	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.87	1.84	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Average	1.86	1.81	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birkirkara 45%Draw 45%Birzebbuga 10%

The statistical model rated Birkirkara at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Birzebbuga at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.72 | 5.05, which imply roughly 63.3% for a Birkirkara win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Birkirkara are 7th (15 pts, 14-11 goals), Birzebbuga 11th (6 pts, 9-21).

Over their last five matches, Birkirkara averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Birzebbuga averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Birkirkara or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.72	5.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.19	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.12	2.20	5.28

2nd half

1	X	2
1.92	2.52	5.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.49	16.3	44.7
HT X	4.45	5.57	10.3
HT 2	22.0	17.2	8.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	10.8	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.07
1.5	1.26	3.25
2.5	1.87	1.84
3.5	3.05	1.30
4.5	5.55	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.30
1.75	1.32	2.94
2	1.41	2.57
2.25	1.64	2.08
2.75	2.10	1.63
3	2.51	1.43
3.25	2.83	1.34
3.75	3.85	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.50	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.56	1.42
-1.25	2.25	1.54
-1	1.99	1.74
-0.75	1.71	2.00
-0.5	1.55	2.29
-0.25	1.36	2.76

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.00	1.10
-2.25	5.00	1.13
-2	4.20	1.15
-1.75	3.08	1.29
0	1.17	3.96
+0.25	1.13	4.50
+1.5	1.02	9.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.78	2.02

Next Premier League matches

2 Nov

Gzira United – Marsaxlokk

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

1 Nov	Floriana 0-1 Valletta FC
31 Oct	Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans
31 Oct	Balzan FC 1-2 Hibernians
31 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 5-0 Mosta
26 Oct	Mosta 2-2 Hibernians
26 Oct	Floriana 1-2 Zabbar St. Patrick