Balzan FC vs Hibernians• Premier League, Malta

#100.6:1.21-2FT31/10 · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.4:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.66PINX3.30BFR22.56PINMargin at best7.0%Books8Markets41Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 13:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.20	2.55	8.2%
Betano	2.65	3.15	2.55	8.7%
Pinnacle	2.66	3.03	2.56	9.7%
Bet365	2.50	3.25	2.50	10.8%
Betfair	2.50	3.30	2.45	11.1%
William Hill	2.60	3.00	2.50	11.8%
1xBet	2.50	3.28	2.40	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.50	3.28	2.40	12.2%
Best of all books	2.66	3.30	2.56	7.0%
Average	2.57	3.19	2.49	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Balzan FCHibernians

Last 10#10Table position#61.00Points per game1.453Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.830Attack rating7060Defence rating4027Form rating7350H2H rating5052Goals model4847Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 19:30 UTC

Balzan FC

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	H	Birkirkara	0-2	L
21 Oct	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Floriana	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Sliema Wanderers	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Valletta FC	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Gzira United	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Mosta	1-2	L
14 Aug	H	Marsaxlokk	1-1	D

Hibernians

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

26 Oct	A	Mosta	2-2	D
22 Oct	H	Gzira United	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Hamrun Spartans	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Floriana	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Birkirkara	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Marsaxlokk	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W

Head to head

6Balzan FC wins

4draws

9Hibernians wins

19 meetings · goals 20:26 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Balzan FC

27 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians1-1Balzan FC
13 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians0-0Balzan FC
1 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC0-1Hibernians
24 Feb 2024Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC0-0Hibernians
22 Oct 2023Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians0-2Balzan FC
1 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians2-3Balzan FC
5 Feb 2023Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians1-2Balzan FC
2 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC0-2Hibernians
5 Mar 2022Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians1-0Balzan FC
28 Nov 2021Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC1-2Hibernians

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 1 Nov 16:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Balzan FC sit 10th with 11 points from 11 games, while Hibernians are 6th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	10	7	1	2	22:9	+13	22
2	Sliema Wanderers	11	5	3	3	15:14	+1	18
3	Hamrun Spartans	11	4	5	2	17:13	+4	17
4	Marsaxlokk	10	5	2	3	16:14	+2	17
5	Floriana	10	4	4	2	22:14	+8	16
6	Hibernians	11	4	4	3	13:15	-2	16
7	Birkirkara	11	4	3	4	14:11	+3	15
8	Zabbar St. Patrick	11	4	2	5	17:16	+1	14
9	Mosta	11	3	5	3	15:20	-5	14
10	Balzan FC	11	2	5	4	13:14	-1	11
11	Birzebbuga	11	1	3	7	9:21	-12	6
12	Gzira United	10	0	5	5	9:21	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.61X28%3.20237%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.51 → 2.57 +2.4%X3.31 → 3.19 -3.6%22.50 → 2.49 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.81	1.94	6.8%
Betano	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.80	1.92	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.61	2.14	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Balzan FC 35%Draw 35%Hibernians 30%

The statistical model rated Balzan FC at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Hibernians at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.20 | 2.45, which imply roughly 38.3% for a Balzan FC win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Balzan FC are 10th (11 pts, 13-14 goals), Hibernians 6th (16 pts, 13-15).

Over their last five matches, Balzan FC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Hibernians averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Balzan FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.57	3.19	2.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.45	1.42	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.82

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
3.11	2.16	3.04

2nd half

1	X	2
2.88	2.42	2.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.17	14.1	26.0
HT X	6.03	5.03	6.03
HT 2	27.0	14.7	4.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.95	11.0	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.38
1.5	1.23	3.44
2.5	1.80	1.92
3.5	2.85	1.34
4.5	5.35	1.11
5.5	12.0	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.30
1.75	1.28	3.16
2	1.36	2.76
2.25	1.57	2.19
2.75	1.99	1.71
3	2.31	1.50
3.25	2.60	1.41
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	5.50	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.59	1.43
-0.25	2.19	1.57
0	1.89	1.84
+0.25	1.62	2.11
+0.5	1.47	2.50
+0.75	1.33	2.89

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	4.95	1.11
-1.25	4.35	1.16
-1	4.15	1.16
-0.75	3.03	1.30
+1	1.20	3.81
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.70
+2	1.01	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	2.00	1.80

Latest Premier League results

1 Nov	Floriana 0-1 Valletta FC
31 Oct	Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans
31 Oct	Birkirkara 2-2 Birzebbuga
31 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 5-0 Mosta
26 Oct	Mosta 2-2 Hibernians
26 Oct	Floriana 1-2 Zabbar St. Patrick