Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick• Premier League, Malta

#42.2:2.017:00Tomorrow · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.0:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57B365X3.90BFR25.00BFRMargin at best9.3%Books5Markets44Rating67 · 34Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 01:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.57	4.00	5.00	8.7%
Betano	1.60	3.95	4.70	9.1%
1xBet	1.56	3.82	4.86	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.54	3.82	4.75	12.2%
Bet365	1.57	3.80	4.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.60	4.00	5.00	7.5%
Average	1.57	3.88	4.76	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FlorianaZabbar St. Patrick

Last 10#4Table position#101.78Points per game0.896Form pts · last 542.2Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.669Attack rating3144Defence rating5660Form rating4080H2H rating2063Goals model3767Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 21:01 UTC

Floriana

4W 4D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

22 Oct	A	Birkirkara	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Mosta	3-3	D
11 Oct	H	Balzan FC	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Hibernians	4-0	W
12 Sep	H	Marsaxlokk	2-5	L
7 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Gzira United	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Birzebbuga	3-0	W

Zabbar St. Patrick

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

21 Oct	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-3	L
17 Oct	A	Balzan FC	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Marsaxlokk	1-2	L
18 Sep	H	Birkirkara	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Gzira United	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Hamrun Spartans	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Hibernians	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Birzebbuga	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Valletta FC	2-4	L
25 Jul	A	Marsaxlokk	0-0	D

Head to head

4Floriana wins

1draws

0Zabbar St. Patrick wins

5 meetings · goals 10:1 · last 5: 4W 1D 0L for Floriana

1 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Zabbar St. Patrick0-3Floriana
28 Jan 2026FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Floriana0-0Zabbar St. Patrick
24 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Floriana3-1Zabbar St. Patrick
2 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Floriana1-0Zabbar St. Patrick
28 Aug 2024Premier League	Premier League	Zabbar St. Patrick0-3Floriana

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 24 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Floriana sit 4th with 16 points from 9 games, while Zabbar St. Patrick are 10th with 8 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	9	7	1	1	21:7	+14	22
2	Marsaxlokk	10	5	2	3	16:14	+2	17
3	Sliema Wanderers	10	5	2	3	14:13	+1	17
4	Floriana	9	4	4	1	21:12	+9	16
5	Hamrun Spartans	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
6	Mosta	9	3	4	2	13:13	0	13
7	Hibernians	9	3	3	3	9:12	-3	12
8	Balzan FC	9	2	5	2	12:10	+2	11
9	Birkirkara	9	3	2	4	10:9	+1	11
10	Zabbar St. Patrick	9	2	2	5	10:15	-5	8
11	Gzira United	9	0	4	5	7:19	-12	4
12	Birzebbuga	9	1	1	7	5:17	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.56X23%3.84219%4.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.72	2.02	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.78	2.00	6.2%
Average	1.74	1.95	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Floriana 45%Draw 45%Zabbar St. Patrick 10%

The statistical model rates Floriana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zabbar St. Patrick at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.84 | 4.78, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Floriana win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Floriana are 4th (16 pts, 21-12 goals), Zabbar St. Patrick 10th (8 pts, 10-15).

Over their last five matches, Floriana averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Zabbar St. Patrick averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Floriana or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	3.88	4.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.18	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.27	5.01

2nd half

1	X	2
1.91	2.64	4.68

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.42	15.6	42.0
HT X	4.45	6.00	10.4
HT 2	19.8	15.9	7.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	13.0	2.77

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.5
1.5	1.21	3.84
2.5	1.72	2.02
3.5	2.79	1.37
4.5	5.25	1.11
5.5	9.20	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.30	2.97
2.25	1.50	2.30
2.75	1.88	1.77
3	2.17	1.55
3.25	2.47	1.44
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.50	1.13
4.25	4.60	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.20	1.26
-1.5	2.62	1.38
-1.25	2.30	1.49
-1	2.01	1.72
-0.75	1.72	1.91
-0.25	1.38	2.62

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-2.5	5.20	1.10
-2.25	4.70	1.15
-2	4.40	1.14
0	1.21	3.58
+0.25	1.16	4.20
+1.5	1.02	9.00

Next Premier League matches

25 Oct	Valletta FC – Hamrun Spartans
25 Oct	Balzan FC – Birkirkara
25 Oct	Gzira United – Birzebbuga
26 Oct	Mosta – Hibernians

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

24 Oct	Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Marsaxlokk
22 Oct	Hibernians 2-1 Gzira United
22 Oct	Birkirkara 1-1 Floriana
21 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 2-3 Sliema Wanderers
21 Oct	Mosta 0-2 Valletta FC
21 Oct	Birzebbuga 2-0 Marsaxlokk