Mosta vs Hibernians• Premier League, Malta

#61.4:2.219:3026/10 · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.2:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.231XBX3.50BFR22.00BFRMargin at best9.5%Books6Markets41Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.30	3.45	2.02	8.8%
Dafabet	3.25	3.55	1.96	10.0%
Betfair	3.10	3.50	2.00	10.8%
1xBet	3.23	3.40	1.98	10.9%
Bet365	3.20	3.40	1.95	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.15	3.40	1.96	12.2%
Best of all books	3.30	3.55	2.02	8.0%
Average	3.21	3.45	1.98	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MostaHibernians

Last 10#6Table position#71.44Points per game1.333Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 51.654Attack rating4642Defence rating5827Form rating7329H2H rating7139Goals model6138Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 21:01 UTC

Mosta

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

21 Oct	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Floriana	3-3	D
14 Oct	A	Gzira United	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Marsaxlokk	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Birkirkara	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Balzan FC	2-1	W
17 Aug	A	Hamrun Spartans	2-0	W
24 Jul	A	Gzira United	1-1	D

Hibernians

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

22 Oct	H	Gzira United	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Hamrun Spartans	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Floriana	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Birkirkara	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Marsaxlokk	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
30 Apr	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-3	L

Head to head

3Mosta wins

5draws

18Hibernians wins

26 meetings · goals 19:52 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Mosta

24 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians2-0Mosta
31 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians1-0Mosta
11 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians0-2Mosta
17 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Mosta2-2Hibernians
23 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians2-0Mosta
7 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians3-2Mosta
19 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Mosta1-0Hibernians
19 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Hibernians2-0Mosta
21 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Mosta3-1Hibernians
17 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians0-0Mosta

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 24 Oct 15:32 UTC

In the Premier League table, Mosta sit 6th with 13 points from 9 games, while Hibernians are 7th with 12 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	9	7	1	1	21:7	+14	22
2	Marsaxlokk	9	5	2	2	15:12	+3	17
3	Floriana	9	4	4	1	21:12	+9	16
4	Sliema Wanderers	9	4	2	3	12:12	0	14
5	Hamrun Spartans	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
6	Mosta	9	3	4	2	13:13	0	13
7	Hibernians	9	3	3	3	9:12	-3	12
8	Balzan FC	9	2	5	2	12:10	+2	11
9	Birkirkara	9	3	2	4	10:9	+1	11
10	Zabbar St. Patrick	9	2	2	5	10:15	-5	8
11	Gzira United	9	0	4	5	7:19	-12	4
12	Birzebbuga	9	1	1	7	5:17	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.17X26%3.43246%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Betano	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Average	1.82	1.90	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.66	2.03	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mosta 10%Draw 45%Hibernians 45%

The statistical model rates Mosta at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hibernians at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.17 | 3.43 | 1.97, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Mosta are 6th (13 pts, 13-13 goals), Hibernians 7th (12 pts, 9-12).

Over their last five matches, Mosta averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Hibernians averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Hibernians.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.21	3.45	1.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.27	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
2.38	1.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
3.76	2.17	2.58

2nd half

1	X	2
3.47	2.48	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.27	14.8	23.0
HT X	7.27	5.40	5.27
HT 2	31.3	15.0	3.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.22	11.3	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.40
1.5	1.24	3.45
2.5	1.82	1.90
3.5	2.94	1.32
4.5	5.28	1.11
5.5	10.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.28	3.08
2	1.36	2.70
2.25	1.57	2.16
2.75	2.00	1.68
3	2.35	1.47
3.25	2.67	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.20	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.70	1.36
0	2.36	1.49
+0.25	1.95	1.74
+0.5	1.75	1.98
+0.75	1.52	2.27
+1	1.32	2.88

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.95	1.04
-1.25	5.70	1.10
-1	5.95	1.07
-0.75	3.95	1.17
+1.25	1.25	3.28
+1.5	1.20	3.72
+2	1.04	7.00
+2.5	1.02	7.90

Next Premier League matches

25 Oct	Valletta FC – Hamrun Spartans
25 Oct	Balzan FC – Birkirkara
25 Oct	Gzira United – Birzebbuga
26 Oct	Floriana – Zabbar St. Patrick

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

24 Oct	Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Marsaxlokk
22 Oct	Hibernians 2-1 Gzira United
22 Oct	Birkirkara 1-1 Floriana
21 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 2-3 Sliema Wanderers
21 Oct	Mosta 0-2 Valletta FC
21 Oct	Birzebbuga 2-0 Marsaxlokk