Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk• Premier League, Malta

#121.4:1.619:00Today · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.2:1.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.40BFRX3.60B36521.75WHMargin at best7.6%Books8Markets46Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.50	3.65	1.72	7.8%
Betano	4.30	3.45	1.75	9.4%
Pinnacle	4.22	3.52	1.73	9.9%
Betfair	4.40	3.60	1.67	10.4%
1xBet	4.36	3.58	1.67	10.7%
William Hill	4.20	3.30	1.75	11.3%
Bet365	3.80	3.60	1.73	11.9%
Marathonbet	4.25	3.58	1.65	12.1%
Best of all books	4.50	3.65	1.75	6.8%
Average	4.25	3.54	1.71	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gzira UnitedMarsaxlokk

Last 10#12Table position#40.50Points per game1.704Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.854Attack rating4653Defence rating4740Form rating6040H2H rating6044Goals model5647Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 15:01 UTC

Gzira United

0W 5D 5L · goals 9:21 · per match 0.9 for, 2.1 against

25 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	2-2	D
22 Oct	A	Hibernians	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Hamrun Spartans	2-2	D
14 Oct	H	Mosta	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Sliema Wanderers	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	Floriana	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	Balzan FC	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Valletta FC	0-3	L
17 Aug	A	Birkirkara	0-4	L

Marsaxlokk

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	A	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
21 Oct	A	Birzebbuga	0-2	L
16 Oct	H	Birkirkara	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-4	L
12 Sep	A	Floriana	5-2	W
5 Sep	H	Mosta	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Valletta FC	2-1	W
21 Aug	H	Hibernians	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Balzan FC	1-1	D

Head to head

4Gzira United wins

4draws

4Marsaxlokk wins

12 meetings · goals 13:11 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Gzira United

8 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Marsaxlokk0-1Gzira United
19 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Marsaxlokk2-1Gzira United
18 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United3-0Marsaxlokk
17 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Marsaxlokk2-0Gzira United
21 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United0-1Marsaxlokk
8 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United0-0Marsaxlokk
18 Aug 2024Premier League	Premier League	Marsaxlokk0-1Gzira United
6 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Marsaxlokk1-1Gzira United
3 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United2-4Marsaxlokk
25 Apr 2023FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Marsaxlokk1-1Gzira United

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 1 Nov 23:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Gzira United sit 12th with 5 points from 10 games, while Marsaxlokk are 4th with 17 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	11	8	1	2	23:9	+14	25
2	Sliema Wanderers	11	5	3	3	15:14	+1	18
3	Hamrun Spartans	11	4	5	2	17:13	+4	17
4	Marsaxlokk	10	5	2	3	16:14	+2	17
5	Floriana	11	4	4	3	22:15	+7	16
6	Hibernians	11	4	4	3	13:15	-2	16
7	Birkirkara	11	4	3	4	14:11	+3	15
8	Zabbar St. Patrick	11	4	2	5	17:16	+1	14
9	Mosta	11	3	5	3	15:20	-5	14
10	Balzan FC	11	2	5	4	13:14	-1	11
11	Birzebbuga	11	1	3	7	9:21	-12	6
12	Gzira United	10	0	5	5	9:21	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.14X26%3.51252%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.00 → 4.21 +5.2%X3.55 → 3.54 -0.3%21.74 → 1.71 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.89	6.7%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.82	1.88	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.91	5.0%
Average	1.84	1.88	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.76	1.93	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gzira United 10%Draw 45%Marsaxlokk 45%

The statistical model rates Gzira United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marsaxlokk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.14 | 3.51 | 1.72, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Gzira United are 12th (5 pts, 9-21 goals), Marsaxlokk 4th (17 pts, 16-14).

Over their last five matches, Gzira United averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Marsaxlokk averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Marsaxlokk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.25	3.53	1.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.96	1.16	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
3.13	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
4.70	2.18	2.25

2nd half

1	X	2
4.30	2.49	2.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.23	15.4	21.3
HT X	9.24	5.50	4.60
HT 2	37.0	15.0	2.69

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.63	11.0	1.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.23
1.5	1.25	3.49
2.5	1.84	1.88
3.5	3.01	1.32
4.5	5.49	1.11
5.5	10.7	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.60
1.75	1.29	3.06
2	1.38	2.67
2.25	1.60	2.14
2.75	2.04	1.66
3	2.43	1.46
3.25	2.73	1.37
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.00	1.10
4.25	4.90	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.39	1.47
+0.5	2.01	1.74
+0.75	1.79	1.90
+1	1.54	2.27
+1.25	1.41	2.58
+1.5	1.33	2.90

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.55	1.02
-1	8.80	1.01
-0.25	3.58	1.21
0	3.16	1.28
+1.75	1.21	3.58
+2	1.10	5.05
+2.25	1.12	5.30
+2.5	1.07	5.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.80	2.00

Latest Premier League results

1 Nov	Floriana 0-1 Valletta FC
31 Oct	Balzan FC 1-2 Hibernians
31 Oct	Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans
31 Oct	Birkirkara 2-2 Birzebbuga
31 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 5-0 Mosta
26 Oct	Mosta 2-2 Hibernians