CA La Paz vs Dorados• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#12.6:1.603:00Tomorrow · Estadio Guaycura, La Paz1.2:3.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44B365X5.38PIN26.48PINMargin at best3.5%Books10Markets90Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 09:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.39	5.38	6.48	6.0%
Bet365	1.44	4.75	6.25	6.5%
Dafabet	1.41	5.00	6.20	7.1%
BetVictor	1.40	5.00	6.00	8.1%
Betano	1.38	5.00	6.10	8.9%
1xBet	1.37	4.80	5.94	10.7%
William Hill	1.36	4.80	5.80	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.32	5.05	6.15	11.8%
Betfair	1.33	5.00	6.00	11.9%
SBO	1.34	4.42	5.22	16.4%
Best of all books	1.44	5.38	6.48	3.5%
Average	1.37	4.92	6.01	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CA La PazDorados

Last 10#1Table position#131.93Points per game1.1410Form pts · last 532.6Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 53.268Attack rating3267Defence rating3377Form rating2362H2H rating3853Goals model4762Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

CA La Paz

6W 3D 1L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	A	CDS Tampico Madero	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Tlaxcala	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Tapatío	4-2	W
3 Oct	H	Venados FC	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Correcaminos Uat	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Leones Negros UDG	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Mineros de Zacatecas	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cancún	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-1	D

Dorados

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

25 Oct	H	Piratas	0-5	L
17 Oct	A	Correcaminos Uat	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Leones Negros UDG	3-6	L
27 Sep	H	Durango	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	CDS Tampico Madero	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Cancún	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Tapatío	3-1	W
4 Sep	A	Tepatitlán	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Monarcas	0-1	L

Head to head

3CA La Paz wins

3draws

2Dorados wins

8 meetings · goals 11:12 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for CA La Paz

8 Feb 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Dorados2-2CA La Paz
30 Aug 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz3-1Dorados
12 Apr 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz0-0Dorados
27 Oct 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Dorados4-0CA La Paz
23 Feb 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz1-0Dorados
31 Jul 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Dorados3-4CA La Paz
22 Mar 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz1-1Dorados
20 Jul 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Dorados1-0CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 30 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, CA La Paz sit 1st with 27 points from 14 games, while Dorados are 13th with 16 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	14	8	3	3	33:18	+15	27
2	Leones Negros UDG	14	8	3	3	31:19	+12	27
3	Monarcas	14	8	2	4	25:16	+9	26
4	Piratas	14	7	3	4	26:14	+12	24
5	Venados FC	14	7	3	4	31:25	+6	24
6	Cancún	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
7	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15:25	-10	22
8	Durango	14	6	3	5	18:14	+4	21
9	Tlaxcala	14	5	4	5	27:27	0	19
10	Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26:26	0	18
11	Tapatío	14	5	2	7	24:27	-3	17
12	Correcaminos Uat	14	4	4	6	21:24	-3	16
13	Dorados	14	4	4	6	23:29	-6	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	14	4	3	7	15:23	-8	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	14	2	1	11	10:41	-31	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.37X18%4.92215%6.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.38 → 1.37 -0.7%X4.94 → 4.92 -0.4%25.90 → 6.01 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.32	3.34	5.7%
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
BetVictor	1.30	3.25	7.7%
Betano	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.34	3.5%
Average	1.32	3.11	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.50	8.5%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.45	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.46	2.46	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CA La Paz 45%Draw 45%Dorados 10%

The statistical model rates CA La Paz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dorados at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 4.92 | 6.01, which imply roughly 73% for a CA La Paz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: CA La Paz are 1st (27 pts, 33-18 goals), Dorados 13th (16 pts, 23-29).

Over their last five matches, CA La Paz averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Dorados averaged 1.2 scored and 3.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : CA La Paz or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.37	4.92	6.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.75	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.46

1st half

1	X	2
1.78	2.75	5.24

2nd half

1	X	2
1.62	3.27	5.23

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.91	16.2	41.7
HT X	4.50	8.86	14.1
HT 2	16.9	17.1	9.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	25.0	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.5
1.5	1.07	6.60
2.5	1.32	3.11
3.5	1.82	1.90
4.5	2.80	1.37
5.5	4.81	1.14

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.06	6.20
2	1.08	5.73
2.25	1.18	3.89
2.75	1.35	2.77
3	1.44	2.53
3.25	1.63	2.12
3.75	1.99	1.72
4	2.27	1.54
4.25	2.52	1.42
4.75	3.25	1.26
5	4.15	1.16
5.25	4.47	1.13
6	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.69	1.40
-1.75	2.26	1.56
-1.5	1.98	1.76
-1.25	1.78	1.94
-1	1.56	2.26
-0.75	1.44	2.56

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.30	1.02
-3.5	5.78	1.07
-3.25	5.48	1.09
-3	5.10	1.10
-2.75	3.86	1.19
-2.5	3.23	1.28
-2.25	2.98	1.33
-0.5	1.38	3.03
-0.25	1.25	3.52
0	1.12	4.80
+0.25	1.10	5.25
+1	1.01	9.60
+1.5	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.99
7.5	1.14	4.19
8.5	1.34	2.84
9.5	1.61	2.12
10.5	1.95	1.75
11.5	2.57	1.41
12.5	3.50	1.22
13.5	5.06	1.08
14.5	6.66	1.03

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.72
7	1.03	6.45
7.25	1.09	5.01
7.75	1.16	3.98
8	1.18	3.78
8.25	1.26	3.21
8.75	1.38	2.69
9	1.43	2.54
9.25	1.53	2.31
9.75	1.70	2.02
10	1.79	1.92
10.25	1.90	1.80
10.75	2.14	1.62
11	2.31	1.52
11.25	2.44	1.47
11.75	2.82	1.34
12	3.18	1.27
12.25	3.34	1.24
12.75	3.98	1.16
13	4.70	1.11
13.25	4.88	1.10
14	6.25	1.04

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

31 Oct	Correcaminos Uat – Venados FC
1 Nov	Cancún – CDS Tampico Madero
1 Nov	Piratas – Tapatío
1 Nov	Leones Negros UDG – Tepatitlán

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

30 Oct	Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas
25 Oct	Tapatío 1-2 Monarcas
25 Oct	Tlaxcala 2-0 Correcaminos Uat
25 Oct	Dorados 0-5 Piratas
25 Oct	CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 CA La Paz
25 Oct	Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 Leones Negros UDG