Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town• FAW Championship, Wales

1.4:2.019:45Today · Richmond Park, Carmarthen1.6:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.00BFRX4.20B36521.75DAFMargin at best6.0%Books8Markets45Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.85	4.00	1.75	8.1%
Betfair	4.00	4.00	1.67	9.9%
Pinnacle	3.92	3.95	1.69	10.0%
Bet365	3.80	4.20	1.67	10.0%
Betano	3.80	3.90	1.70	10.8%
1xBet	3.86	3.92	1.68	10.9%
Marathonbet	3.78	3.92	1.66	12.2%
William Hill	3.75	3.50	1.73	13.0%
Best of all books	4.00	4.20	1.75	6.0%
Average	3.85	3.92	1.69	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Carmarthen TownAberystwyth Town

Last 101Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5333Defence rating6729Form rating7164H2H rating3626Goals model7444Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Carmarthen Town

1W 3D 6L · goals 19:26 · per match 1.9 for, 2.6 against

31 Oct	A	Pontardawe Town	1-2	L
23 Oct	H	Caerphilly Athletic	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Newport City	4-5	L
10 Oct	A	Cardiff Draconians	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Llantwit Major	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	Baglan Dragons	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Ynyshir Albions	2-2	D
31 Aug	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-3	L
28 Aug	A	llanelli AFC	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Treowen Stars	2-4	L

Aberystwyth Town

7W 1D 2L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Prestatyn Town	5-1	W
10 Oct	H	Caerau (Ely)	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Pontypridd Town	3-1	W
25 Sep	H	Swansea University	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Caerphilly Athletic	3-2	W
31 Aug	H	llanelli AFC	4-0	W
28 Aug	H	Pontardawe Town	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Llantwit Major	5-1	W
8 Aug	H	Treowen Stars	1-2	L

Head to head

10Carmarthen Town wins

7draws

12Aberystwyth Town wins

29 meetings · goals 46:56 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Carmarthen Town

1 Jan 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Aberystwyth Town1-1Carmarthen Town
22 Aug 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Carmarthen Town1-0Aberystwyth Town
18 Oct 2019Premier League	Premier League	Carmarthen Town0-0Aberystwyth Town
16 Aug 2019Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town3-2Carmarthen Town
26 Apr 2019Premier League	Premier League	Carmarthen Town6-2Aberystwyth Town
8 Mar 2019Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town3-2Carmarthen Town
30 Nov 2018Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town1-1Carmarthen Town
22 Sep 2018Premier League	Premier League	Carmarthen Town2-2Aberystwyth Town
20 Apr 2018Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town1-1Carmarthen Town
6 Mar 2018Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	Carmarthen Town1-3Aberystwyth Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 6 Nov 23:40 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	24:5	+19	30
3	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	32:17	+15	25
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	27:24	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	28:18	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	34:19	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	20:19	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	26:28	-2	14
12	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	12:24	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	7:33	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	6:40	-34	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.85X23%3.92253%1.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.29 → 3.85 +17.0%X3.90 → 3.92 +0.5%21.82 → 1.69 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.52	2.36	8.2%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.52	2.50	5.8%
Average	1.49	2.39	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
Best of all books	1.50	2.39	8.5%
Average	1.49	2.34	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Carmarthen Town 10%Draw 45%Aberystwyth Town 45%

The statistical model rates Carmarthen Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aberystwyth Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.85 | 3.92 | 1.69, which imply roughly 25.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Carmarthen Town averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Aberystwyth Town averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Aberystwyth Town and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.85	3.92	1.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.97	1.19	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
2.93	1.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
4.04	2.44	2.18

2nd half

1	X	2
3.86	2.75	2.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.03	15.2	19.0
HT X	9.10	6.77	5.05
HT 2	29.7	15.0	2.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.40	19.4	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	4.70
2.5	1.49	2.39
3.5	2.23	1.55
4.5	3.80	1.19
5.5	7.50	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.17	3.98
2.25	1.34	2.87
2.75	1.61	2.13
3	1.77	1.89
3.25	2.02	1.67
3.75	2.59	1.41
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.50	1.22
5	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.34	1.49
+0.5	2.00	1.74
+0.75	1.84	1.86
+1	1.59	2.19
+1.25	1.45	2.46
+1.5	1.36	2.74

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.02
-1	7.20	1.03
-0.25	3.28	1.25
0	2.97	1.31
+1.75	1.24	3.34
+2	1.13	4.55
+2.5	1.09	5.30
+3.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.85	1.85

Latest FAW Championship results

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