Veles vs KAMAZ• First League, Russia

#61.0:1.216:30Tomorrow · Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo2.0:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.371XBX3.361XB23.041XBMargin at best4.9%Books4Markets70Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 13:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.37	3.36	3.04	4.9%
Pinnacle	2.33	3.35	3.00	6.1%
Dafabet	2.33	3.25	2.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.24	2.94	8.5%
Best of all books	2.37	3.36	3.04	4.9%
Average	2.33	3.30	2.97	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VelesKAMAZ

Last 10#6Table position#161.65Points per game0.885Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6760Defence rating4038Form rating6280H2H rating2058Goals model4257Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:02 UTC

Veles

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

30 Oct	H	Spartak Kostroma	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ural	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Torpedo Moskva	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	FC Sochi	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Murom	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	FC UFA	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Tekstilshchik	1-0	W

KAMAZ

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	H	Torpedo Moskva	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Arsenal Tula	3-4	L
17 Oct	H	FK Neftekhimik	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Ska-khabarovsk	3-3	D
18 Sep	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	Chelyabinsk	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Dinamo Kirov	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Ural	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Leningradets	1-0	W
24 Aug	H	FC Sochi	2-3	L

Head to head

2Veles wins

2draws

0KAMAZ wins

4 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Veles

15 Apr 2023First League	First League	KAMAZ0-2Veles
25 Sep 2022First League	First League	Veles1-1KAMAZ
10 Apr 2022First League	First League	KAMAZ1-3Veles
29 Sep 2021First League	First League	Veles0-0KAMAZ

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 8 Nov 12:40 UTC

In the First League table, Veles sit 6th with 28 points from 17 games, while KAMAZ are 16th with 14 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	16	14	1	1	48:15	+33	43
2	Ural	17	10	4	3	29:11	+18	34
3	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	29:13	+16	32
4	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26:20	+6	32
5	Spartak Kostroma	16	8	4	4	22:16	+6	28
6	Veles	17	8	4	5	21:20	+1	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22:18	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	19:17	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	18	6	4	8	22:25	-3	22
10	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	23:27	-4	21
11	Rotor Volgograd	16	5	5	6	23:18	+5	20
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20:35	-15	19
13	Leningradets	16	4	5	7	15:26	-11	17
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	19:33	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	23:28	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	16	3	5	8	20:28	-8	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	11:25	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	12:29	-17	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.32X28%3.29231%2.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.43 → 2.32 -4.5%X3.27 → 3.29 +0.6%22.88 → 2.96 +2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.21	1.68	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.19	1.67	5.5%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.64	7.3%
Best of all books	2.21	1.68	4.8%
Average	2.19	1.66	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.84	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.82	8.7%
Best of all books	1.86	1.84	8.1%
Average	1.86	1.83	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Veles 45%Draw 45%KAMAZ 10%

The statistical model rates Veles at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and KAMAZ at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.29 | 2.96, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Veles win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Veles are 6th (28 pts, 21-20 goals), KAMAZ 16th (14 pts, 20-28).

Over their last five matches, Veles averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; KAMAZ averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Veles or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.33	3.30	2.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.57	1.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.98	2.03	3.71

2nd half

1	X	2
2.67	2.30	3.32

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	15.1	38.0
HT X	5.40	4.65	6.65
HT 2	33.0	15.1	4.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	8.60	2.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.68
1.5	1.36	2.91
2.5	2.19	1.66
3.5	4.00	1.20
4.5	8.38	1.03
5.5	11.6	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.85
1	1.05	7.08
1.25	1.19	3.90
1.75	1.45	2.57
2	1.61	2.21
2.25	1.90	1.85
2.75	2.53	1.48
3	3.22	1.30
3.25	3.55	1.24
3.75	5.11	1.12
4	7.50	1.05
4.25	7.85	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.77	1.40
-0.5	2.33	1.60
-0.25	1.99	1.78
0	1.68	2.16
+0.25	1.48	2.53
+0.5	1.38	2.98

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.10	1.03
-1.75	6.51	1.06
-1.5	4.87	1.14
-1.25	4.34	1.18
-1	3.85	1.23
+0.75	1.24	3.69
+1	1.10	5.74
+1.25	1.07	6.28
+1.5	1.05	6.82

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.12	4.64
7.5	1.29	3.04
8.5	1.58	2.22
9.5	1.96	1.76
10.5	2.54	1.44
11.5	3.50	1.22
12.5	5.05	1.10

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.27
6.25	1.07	5.45
6.75	1.12	4.44
7	1.14	4.22
7.25	1.22	3.48
7.75	1.33	2.86
8	1.40	2.70
8.25	1.48	2.41
8.75	1.66	2.09
9	1.76	1.99
9.25	1.86	1.84
9.75	2.10	1.65
10	2.28	1.56
10.25	2.40	1.48
10.75	2.79	1.35
11	3.16	1.27
11.25	3.33	1.24
11.75	4.00	1.16
12	4.76	1.10
12.25	4.96	1.09

Next First League matches

8 Nov

Spartak Kostroma – Nizhny Novgorod

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

8 Nov	Ural 2-0 Volga Ulyanovsk
8 Nov	Ska-khabarovsk 3-0 Tekstilshchik
8 Nov	Enisey 3-0 FC Sochi
7 Nov	Torpedo Moskva 1-0 FK Neftekhimik
7 Nov	Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-1 FC UFA
7 Nov	Arsenal Tula 1-2 Chelyabinsk