Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA• First League, Russia

#71.0:0.82-1FT07/11 · Shinnik, Yaroslavl0.4:0.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.471XBX3.021XB23.211XBMargin at best4.8%Books4Markets70Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.50	2.99	3.23	4.4%
1xBet	2.47	3.02	3.21	4.8%
Dafabet	2.38	3.05	3.00	8.1%
Marathonbet	2.38	2.92	3.10	8.5%
Best of all books	2.50	3.05	3.23	3.7%
Average	2.43	2.99	3.13	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shinnik YaroslavlFC UFA

Last 10#7Table position#81.53Points per game1.297Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 50.40.8Goals against · last 50.471Attack rating2933Defence rating6762Form rating3860H2H rating4068Goals model3260Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:11 UTC

Shinnik Yaroslavl

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Chelyabinsk	0-2	L
26 Oct	H	Spartak Kostroma	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Veles	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Nizhny Novgorod	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	Tekstilshchik	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	KAMAZ	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Ural	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Torpedo Moskva	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Rotor Volgograd	2-2	D

FC UFA

2W 4D 4L · goals 7:8 · per match 0.7 for, 0.8 against

1 Nov	A	Rotor Volgograd	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Nizhny Novgorod	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Arsenal Tula	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	FC Sochi	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Torpedo Moskva	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Chelyabinsk	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Volga Ulyanovsk	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Kaluga	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Veles	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W

Head to head

5Shinnik Yaroslavl wins

0draws

2FC UFA wins

7 meetings · goals 9:3 · last 7: 5W 0D 2L for Shinnik Yaroslavl

9 Mar 2026First League	First League	Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0FC UFA
2 Aug 2025First League	First League	FC UFA1-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 Apr 2025First League	First League	FC UFA1-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
15 Oct 2024Cup	Cup	FC UFA0-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
7 Sep 2024First League	First League	Shinnik Yaroslavl2-0FC UFA
19 Mar 2023First League	First League	FC UFA1-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 Aug 2022First League	First League	Shinnik Yaroslavl3-0FC UFA

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 8 Nov 10:40 UTC

In the First League table, Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th with 26 points from 17 games, while FC UFA are 8th with 22 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	16	14	1	1	48:15	+33	43
2	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	29:13	+16	32
3	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26:20	+6	32
4	Ural	16	9	4	3	27:11	+16	31
5	Spartak Kostroma	16	8	4	4	22:16	+6	28
6	Veles	17	8	4	5	21:20	+1	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22:18	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	19:17	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	17	6	4	7	22:23	-1	22
10	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	23:27	-4	21
11	Rotor Volgograd	16	5	5	6	23:18	+5	20
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20:35	-15	19
13	Leningradets	16	4	5	7	15:26	-11	17
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	19:33	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	23:28	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	16	3	5	8	20:28	-8	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	11:25	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	12:29	-17	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.43X31%3.00230%3.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.49 → 2.40 -3.6%X3.04 → 2.96 -2.6%23.10 → 3.14 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.60	1.50	5.1%
1xBet	2.52	1.49	6.8%
Marathonbet	2.51	1.48	7.4%
Best of all books	2.60	1.50	5.1%
Average	2.54	1.49	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Best of all books	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Average	2.05	1.68	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shinnik Yaroslavl 45%Draw 45%FC UFA 10%

The statistical model rated Shinnik Yaroslavl at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC UFA at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.43 | 3.00 | 3.14, which imply roughly 41.2% for a Shinnik Yaroslavl win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (26 pts, 22-18 goals), FC UFA 8th (22 pts, 19-17).

Over their last five matches, Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; FC UFA averaged 0.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Coach: D. Boyarintsev

Goalkeeper

66N. Yanovich

Defence

62V. Karpov
23N. Chistyakov
27A. Cherny
17E. Valiakhmetov

Midfield

77A. Antonov
54I. Shmakov
50A. Golubev
24I. Azyavin
19Y. Arbuzov

Attack

10A. Gongapshev

Substitutes (8)

49M. Karaev
53N. Kotin
33A. Lavrenkov
7D. Martovoy
88D. Mironov
21D. Pushkarev
95D. Vambolt
13D. Yanov

FC UFA

Coach: Omari Tetradze

Goalkeeper

31A. Belenov

Defence

2V. Cherov
99A. Evdokimov
43A. Gilyazetdinov
5D. Kutin

Midfield

8S. Isaev
22Z. Yusupov
6Z. Tarba
11M. Yakuev

Attack

88M. Ageyan
70D. Ortíz

Substitutes (9)

15A. Khabalov
1T. Kraykov
9D. Lipovoy
19E. Mayorov
17D. Ozmanov
20T. Shipunov
79K. Troyanov
7A. Davlitgereev
23D. Akhatov

Match Statistics

Shinnik YaroslavlFC UFA

7Free Kicks7

2Yellow Cards2

9Shots on Goal1

4Shots off Goal2

58%Ball Possession42%

0Red Cards0

8Corner Kicks2

0Blocked Shots0

13Total Shots3

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.43	3.00	3.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.53	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	1.89	4.02

2nd half

1	X	2
2.76	2.16	3.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.88	15.5	43.0
HT X	5.30	3.85	6.65
HT 2	38.0	15.6	5.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	6.25	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.55
1.5	1.49	2.53
2.5	2.54	1.49
3.5	4.88	1.15
4.5	11.6	–
5.5	11.6	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.09	5.65
1	1.13	5.03
1.25	1.30	3.12
1.75	1.63	2.19
2	1.87	1.87
2.25	2.21	1.64
2.75	2.99	1.34
3	3.98	1.19
3.25	4.39	1.15
3.75	6.11	1.07
4	9.38	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.93	1.37
-0.5	2.48	1.56
-0.25	2.02	1.75
0	1.68	2.17
+0.25	1.46	2.63
+0.5	1.36	3.19

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	6.76	1.06
-1.5	5.06	1.12
-1.25	4.73	1.16
-1	4.19	1.20
+0.75	1.22	3.97
+1	1.09	6.05
+1.25	1.06	6.56
+1.5	1.05	7.16

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.09	5.15
7.5	1.25	3.32
8.5	1.49	2.39
9.5	1.85	1.86
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.53	1.13
13.5	7.08	1.01
14.5	7.70	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.95
7	1.11	4.70
7.25	1.18	3.82
7.75	1.28	3.12
8	1.32	2.94
8.25	1.41	2.59
8.75	1.57	2.23
9	1.65	2.13
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.97	1.74
10	2.11	1.66
10.25	2.24	1.56
10.75	2.58	1.42
11	2.88	1.33
11.25	3.03	1.30
11.75	3.60	1.20
12	4.22	1.14
12.25	4.41	1.13
12.75	5.38	1.07
13	6.64	1.03
13.25	6.86	1.02

Next First League matches

8 Nov	Rotor Volgograd – Leningradets
8 Nov	Spartak Kostroma – Nizhny Novgorod
9 Nov	Veles – KAMAZ

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

8 Nov	Ural 2-0 Volga Ulyanovsk
8 Nov	Ska-khabarovsk 3-0 Tekstilshchik
8 Nov	Enisey 3-0 FC Sochi
7 Nov	Torpedo Moskva 1-0 FK Neftekhimik
7 Nov	Arsenal Tula 1-2 Chelyabinsk
1 Nov	FC Sochi 0-2 Ural