Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk• First League, Russia

#121.6:2.81-2FT07/11 · Arsenal Stadium (Tula), Tula1.8:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.29PINX3.43PIN23.201XBMargin at best4.1%Books4Markets76Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 09:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.29	3.43	3.16	4.5%
1xBet	2.28	3.37	3.20	4.8%
Dafabet	2.20	3.40	3.05	7.7%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.25	3.08	8.7%
Best of all books	2.29	3.43	3.20	4.1%
Average	2.24	3.36	3.12	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal TulaChelyabinsk

Last 10#12Table position#101.12Points per game1.246Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.82.8Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5336Defence rating6446Form rating5450H2H rating5056Goals model4448Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:11 UTC

Arsenal Tula

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:23 · per match 1.3 for, 2.3 against

30 Oct	A	Nizhny Novgorod	0-4	L
24 Oct	H	KAMAZ	4-3	W
17 Oct	A	FC UFA	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Spartak Kostroma	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	CSKA Moscow	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Lokomotiv	2-0	W
16 Sep	A	Enisey	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	2-2	D
8 Sep	A	Tekstilshchik	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	0-3	L

Chelyabinsk

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	H	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Ural	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Tekstilshchik	1-2	L
13 Oct	A	Spartak Kostroma	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	FK Neftekhimik	4-2	W
26 Sep	H	Enisey	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	FC UFA	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	KAMAZ	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Dinamo Barnaul	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Spartak Kostroma	0-1	L

Head to head

0Arsenal Tula wins

3draws

0Chelyabinsk wins

3 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 3: 0W 3D 0L for Arsenal Tula

22 Apr 2026First League	First League	Arsenal Tula0-0Chelyabinsk
19 Oct 2025First League	First League	Chelyabinsk2-2Arsenal Tula
15 Feb 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Arsenal Tula0-0Chelyabinsk

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 8 Nov 10:40 UTC

In the First League table, Arsenal Tula sit 12th with 19 points from 17 games, while Chelyabinsk are 10th with 21 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	16	14	1	1	48:15	+33	43
2	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	29:13	+16	32
3	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26:20	+6	32
4	Ural	16	9	4	3	27:11	+16	31
5	Spartak Kostroma	16	8	4	4	22:16	+6	28
6	Veles	17	8	4	5	21:20	+1	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22:18	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	19:17	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	17	6	4	7	22:23	-1	22
10	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	23:27	-4	21
11	Rotor Volgograd	16	5	5	6	23:18	+5	20
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20:35	-15	19
13	Leningradets	16	4	5	7	15:26	-11	17
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	19:33	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	23:28	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	16	3	5	8	20:28	-8	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	11:25	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	12:29	-17	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.25X28%3.35230%3.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.12 → 2.24 +5.7%X3.43 → 3.36 -2.0%23.44 → 3.12 -9.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.00	1.85	4.1%
1xBet	1.97	1.86	4.5%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.81	7.3%
Best of all books	2.00	1.86	3.8%
Average	1.96	1.84	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.72	2.01	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
Best of all books	1.72	2.01	7.9%
Average	1.72	1.99	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal Tula 10%Draw 45%Chelyabinsk 45%

The statistical model rated Arsenal Tula at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chelyabinsk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.35 | 3.13, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Arsenal Tula are 12th (19 pts, 20-35 goals), Chelyabinsk 10th (21 pts, 23-27).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal Tula averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Chelyabinsk averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chelyabinsk and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Arsenal Tula

Coach: D. Alenichev

Goalkeeper

42A. Melikhov

Defence

82A. Alekhin
24K. Gotsuk
44O. Isaenko

Midfield

25A. Biryukov
14M. Brnović
35I. Enin
17I. Gorbunov
77D. Plotnikov

Attack

11R. Magomedov
23T. Melekestsev

Substitutes (12)

10I. Zhigulev
75T. Zhamaletdinov
22G. Uridia
7Tamarindo
8D. Shamkin
21N. Razdorskikh
4D. Penchikov
36M. Levashov
5Y. Krashevskiy
45N. Karmaev
9D. Davidyan
31K. Bolshakov

Chelyabinsk

Coach: Aleksey Meleshin

Goalkeeper

1I. Lomaev

Defence

50V. Lystsov
15K. Kochiev
27Mikhailovich Ilya Gribakin
5B. Gatin

Midfield

29M. Urvantsev
6S. Makarov
18K. Kertanov

Attack

7I. Safronov
70G. Levin
10R. Gadzhimuradov

Substitutes (11)

55G. Borisov
93I. Tuseev
74L. Kaçorri
99D. Kamenshchikov
11G. Miroshnichenko
17B. N'Diaye
31M. Pereverzev
33D. Pokotylo
24N. Pridava
77D. Samoylov
72A. Bem

Match Statistics

Arsenal TulaChelyabinsk

0Shots off Goal0

10Free Kicks3

0Corner Kicks1

51%Ball Possession49%

0Yellow Cards0

0Shots on Goal0

0Red Cards0

0Blocked Shots0

0Total Shots0

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.24	3.36	3.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.61	1.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	2.11	3.75

2nd half

1	X	2
2.52	2.41	3.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.44	14.7	38.0
HT X	5.30	4.80	6.95
HT 2	30.0	14.7	5.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	11.0	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.15
1.5	1.28	3.39
2.5	1.96	1.84
3.5	3.34	1.29
4.5	6.52	1.08
5.5	11.6	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.3
1	1.03	8.18
1.25	1.15	4.56
1.75	1.35	2.93
2	1.46	2.59
2.25	1.71	2.09
2.75	2.21	1.62
3	2.68	1.43
3.25	2.97	1.33
3.75	4.14	1.17
4	5.78	1.09
4.25	6.15	1.07
5	11.6	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.62	1.45
-0.5	2.28	1.65
-0.25	1.92	1.85
0	1.63	2.26
+0.25	1.45	2.63
+0.5	1.37	3.12

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.2	1.01
-2.25	8.38	1.02
-2	8.90	1.02
-1.75	5.75	1.09
-1.5	4.16	1.20
-1.25	3.96	1.21
-1	3.51	1.27
+0.75	1.22	3.87
+1	1.10	5.79
+1.25	1.07	6.32
+1.5	1.05	6.82

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.90
6.5	1.15	4.23
7.5	1.34	2.82
8.5	1.65	2.09
9.5	2.09	1.66
10.5	2.75	1.37
11.5	3.84	1.18
12.5	5.65	1.07
13.5	6.40	1.06

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.02	6.76
6.25	1.08	5.12
6.75	1.16	4.00
7	1.18	3.78
7.25	1.27	3.18
7.75	1.40	2.64
8	1.46	2.50
8.25	1.56	2.25
8.75	1.75	1.96
9	1.87	1.87
9.25	1.97	1.74
9.75	2.24	1.56
10	2.45	1.49
10.25	2.60	1.41
10.75	3.05	1.29
11	3.51	1.22
11.25	3.68	1.19
11.75	4.47	1.12
12	5.42	1.07
12.25	5.63	1.06

Next First League matches

8 Nov	Rotor Volgograd – Leningradets
8 Nov	Spartak Kostroma – Nizhny Novgorod
9 Nov	Veles – KAMAZ

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

8 Nov	Ural 2-0 Volga Ulyanovsk
8 Nov	Ska-khabarovsk 3-0 Tekstilshchik
8 Nov	Enisey 3-0 FC Sochi
7 Nov	Torpedo Moskva 1-0 FK Neftekhimik
7 Nov	Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-1 FC UFA
1 Nov	FC Sochi 0-2 Ural