Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod• First League, Russia

#51.4:1.617:00Today · Stadion Urozhay, Kostroma3.6:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.51PINX3.98PIN21.76DAFMargin at best4.1%Books4Markets78Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 13:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.49	3.94	1.75	4.8%
Pinnacle	4.61	4.05	1.71	4.9%
Dafabet	3.95	3.85	1.76	8.1%
Marathonbet	4.33	3.80	1.69	8.6%
Best of all books	4.61	4.05	1.76	3.2%
Average	4.35	3.91	1.73	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Spartak KostromaNizhny Novgorod

Last 10#5Table position#11.75Points per game2.697Form pts · last 5151.4Goals for · last 53.61.6Goals against · last 50.228Attack rating7211Defence rating8921Form rating790H2H rating044Goals model5626Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Spartak Kostroma

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

3 Nov	H	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	2-3	L
30 Oct	A	Veles	1-1	D
26 Oct	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Leningradets	2-0	W
13 Oct	H	Chelyabinsk	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Arsenal Tula	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Ural	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Ryazan	2-0	W

Nizhny Novgorod

10W 0D 0L · goals 31:5 · per match 3.1 for, 0.5 against

4 Nov	A	Enisey	2-1	W
30 Oct	H	Arsenal Tula	4-0	W
24 Oct	A	FC UFA	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Ural	2-1	W
14 Oct	H	Shinnik Yaroslavl	4-0	W
10 Oct	H	Enisey	5-0	W
27 Sep	A	CSKA Moscow	3-1	W
17 Sep	H	Leningradets	6-0	W
13 Sep	A	Torpedo Moskva	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Dinamo Stavropol	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Spartak Kostroma and Nizhny Novgorod on record.

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 8 Nov 15:11 UTC

In the First League table, Spartak Kostroma sit 5th with 28 points from 16 games, while Nizhny Novgorod are 1st with 43 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	16	14	1	1	48:15	+33	43
2	Ural	17	10	4	3	29:11	+18	34
3	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	29:13	+16	32
4	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26:20	+6	32
5	Spartak Kostroma	16	8	4	4	22:16	+6	28
6	Veles	17	8	4	5	21:20	+1	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22:18	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	19:17	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	18	6	4	8	22:25	-3	22
10	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	23:27	-4	21
11	Rotor Volgograd	16	5	5	6	23:18	+5	20
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20:35	-15	19
13	Leningradets	16	4	5	7	15:26	-11	17
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	19:33	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	23:28	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	16	3	5	8	20:28	-8	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	11:25	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	12:29	-17	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.33X24%3.88254%1.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.83 → 4.33 +13.1%X3.55 → 3.88 +9.3%21.91 → 1.74 -8.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.72	2.14	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.20	5.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.09	7.4%
Best of all books	1.72	2.20	3.6%
Average	1.69	2.14	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.11	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Best of all books	1.65	2.11	8.0%
Average	1.65	2.09	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spartak Kostroma 10%Draw 45%Nizhny Novgorod 45%

The statistical model rates Spartak Kostroma at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nizhny Novgorod at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.33 | 3.88 | 1.74, which imply roughly 25.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Spartak Kostroma are 5th (28 pts, 22-16 goals), Nizhny Novgorod 1st (43 pts, 48-15).

Over their last five matches, Spartak Kostroma averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Nizhny Novgorod averaged 3.6 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nizhny Novgorod.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.35	3.91	1.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.05	1.19	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
4.67	2.31	2.25

2nd half

1	X	2
4.25	2.66	2.00

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.40	15.6	23.0
HT X	9.90	5.90	4.55
HT 2	41.0	15.1	2.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.61	14.5	1.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	11.6
1.5	1.20	4.12
2.5	1.69	2.14
3.5	2.69	1.42
4.5	4.96	1.14
5.5	10.3	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	8.45
1.25	1.09	5.55
1.75	1.23	3.55
2	1.31	3.16
2.25	1.49	2.50
2.75	1.87	1.90
3	2.14	1.66
3.25	2.42	1.52
3.75	3.13	1.30
4	4.11	1.18
4.25	4.45	1.15
4.75	6.01	1.08
5	8.38	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.49	1.49
+0.5	2.19	1.70
+0.75	1.87	1.90
+1	1.62	2.26
+1.25	1.47	2.57
+1.5	1.37	2.97

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	7.65	1.04
-1	8.50	1.02
-0.75	5.35	1.10
-0.5	3.96	1.25
-0.25	3.76	1.23
0	3.30	1.29
+1.75	1.26	3.56
+2	1.14	4.72
+2.25	1.12	5.11
+2.5	1.09	5.50
+2.75	1.05	7.16

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	6.23
7.5	1.17	3.92
8.5	1.37	2.71
9.5	1.69	2.06
10.5	2.09	1.65
11.5	2.72	1.37
12.5	3.76	1.19
13.5	5.45	1.07

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.24
7	1.05	5.97
7.25	1.11	4.70
7.75	1.19	3.75
8	1.21	3.56
8.25	1.29	3.04
8.75	1.42	2.57
9	1.50	2.42
9.25	1.58	2.21
9.75	1.76	1.95
10	1.88	1.86
10.25	1.97	1.74
10.75	2.23	1.57
11	2.43	1.49
11.25	2.56	1.42
11.75	2.98	1.31
12	3.38	1.23
12.25	3.54	1.21
12.75	4.25	1.14
13	5.06	1.08
13.25	5.26	1.08

Next First League matches

9 Nov

Veles – KAMAZ

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

8 Nov	Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Leningradets
8 Nov	Ural 2-0 Volga Ulyanovsk
8 Nov	Ska-khabarovsk 3-0 Tekstilshchik
8 Nov	Enisey 3-0 FC Sochi
7 Nov	Torpedo Moskva 1-0 FK Neftekhimik
7 Nov	Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-1 FC UFA