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Casa Pia vs Sporting CP• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#161.0:1.220:15Today · Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Mayor1.8:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

110.3BTNX5.77PIN21.34BTNMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets91Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano10.35.501.342.6%
1xBet9.605.701.333.1%
Dafabet9.005.601.334.2%
Pinnacle9.935.771.304.3%
Bet3658.505.501.335.1%
Betfair9.505.501.296.2%
Marathonbet8.805.201.307.5%
William Hill9.005.001.298.6%
BetVictor8.505.001.299.3%
SBO7.244.841.2514.5%
Best of all books10.35.771.341.7%
Average9.035.361.316.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Casa PiaSporting CP
Last 10#16Table position#30.78Points per game2.009Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6450Defence rating5047Form rating530H2H rating1003Goals model9728Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Casa Pia

3W 1D 6L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

24 OctAEstrela2-0W
18 OctAAlpendorada1-0W
10 OctHSanta Clara0-1L
20 SepAEstoril2-1W
12 SepHFC Porto1-4L
6 SepAVitória SC0-0D
30 AugHMoreirense0-1L
24 AugAGIL Vicente0-2L
17 AugHBenfica0-7L
8 AugAMaritimo0-1L

Sporting CP

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

27 OctHMaritimo2-1W
25 OctHAcademico Viseu1-2L
21 OctHLask Linz2-3L
13 OctALens2-0W
9 OctASC Braga3-1W
19 SepHArouca2-2D
13 SepAFamalicao1-1D
9 SepHGalatasaray3-1W
5 SepHNacional2-0W
28 AugARio Ave4-0W

Head to head

0Casa Pia wins
0draws
9Sporting CP wins

9 meetings · goals 7:29 · last 9: 0W 0D 9L for Casa Pia

16 Jan 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP3-0Casa Pia
8 Aug 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia0-2Sporting CP
9 Mar 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia1-3Sporting CP
5 Oct 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP2-0Casa Pia
29 Jan 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP8-0Casa Pia
18 Aug 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia1-2Sporting CP
9 Apr 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia3-4Sporting CP
22 Oct 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP3-1Casa Pia
22 Dec 2021Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalCasa Pia1-2Sporting CP

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Casa Pia sit 16th with 7 points from 9 games, while Sporting CP are 3rd with 18 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto990021:4+1727
2Benfica971126:8+1822
3Sporting CP953121:11+1018
4Santa Clara953113:6+718
5Arouca952212:7+517
6Academico Viseu952213:11+217
7GIL Vicente94238:7+114
8Alverca932413:13011
9SC Braga93249:11-211
10Moreirense932411:16-511
11Famalicao924314:11+310
12Estrela924314:17-310
13Vitória SC922510:1008
14Maritimo92259:19-108
15Nacional921610:18-87
16Casa Pia92165:17-127
17Rio Ave92168:21-137
18Estoril90275:15-102

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg110%9.03X18%5.36272%1.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 00:0030 Oct 05:401 9.03X 5.362 1.31
110.9 → 9.03 -17.1%X6.12 → 5.36 -12.4%21.24 → 1.31 +5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.672.313.2%
Pinnacle1.612.384.1%
Betano1.622.354.3%
Betfair1.572.385.7%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
BetVictor1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.562.1510.6%
Best of all books1.672.381.9%
Average1.602.306.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.755.9%
Bet3651.951.806.8%
Betano1.951.806.8%
BetVictor1.931.788.0%
1xBet1.941.778.0%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Marathonbet1.941.758.7%
Best of all books2.051.852.8%
Average1.941.797.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Casa Pia 10%Draw 45%Sporting CP 45%

The statistical model rates Casa Pia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting CP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.03 | 5.36 | 1.31, which imply roughly 18.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Casa Pia are 16th (7 pts, 5-17 goals), Sporting CP 3rd (18 pts, 21-11).

Over their last five matches, Casa Pia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sporting CP averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Sporting CP.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
9.035.361.31

Double chance

1XX212
3.421.061.13

Draw no bet

12
7.061.08

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.79

1st half

1X2
7.732.591.71

2nd half

1X2
7.083.021.59

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 115.721.021.7
HT X18.07.974.08
HT 261.919.31.81

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.6415.81.31

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0313.3
1.51.184.63
2.51.602.30
3.52.471.52
4.54.421.19
5.58.081.06
6.514.61.02
7.520.91.01
8.531.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.2
1.251.085.85
1.751.213.87
21.273.42
2.251.422.60
2.751.732.04
31.961.82
3.252.231.63
3.752.861.37
43.621.24
4.253.941.19
4.755.201.11
57.101.06
5.256.921.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+12.671.45
+1.252.171.65
+1.51.921.87
+1.751.702.12
+21.502.55
+2.251.392.85
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
06.641.07
+0.254.291.18
+0.53.601.30
+0.753.041.34
+2.51.343.13
+2.751.243.66
+31.145.10
+3.251.125.49
+3.51.115.71
+3.751.077.11

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.303.35
3.51.672.12
4.52.321.57
5.53.451.28
6.55.201.14

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.8
5.51.038.10
6.51.115.18
7.51.253.46
8.51.492.44
9.51.831.92
10.52.311.54
11.53.031.32
12.54.151.18
13.55.771.09
14.57.651.05
15.510.01.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.253.28
8.251.372.71
8.751.512.32
91.682.12
9.251.702.03
9.751.881.78
102.131.68
10.252.141.58
10.752.471.44
11.252.881.32

Next Primeira Liga matches

31 OctMoreirense – Estrela
31 OctFC Porto – Estoril
1 NovArouca – Nacional
1 NovMaritimo – Santa Clara
1 NovAcademico Viseu – Rio Ave
1 NovSC Braga – Famalicao

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

26 OctSanta Clara 1-2 Benfica
25 OctSporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu
25 OctRio Ave 0-4 Famalicao
25 OctNacional 1-0 SC Braga
25 OctEstoril 1-3 Moreirense
24 OctGIL Vicente 0-1 FC Porto