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Rio Ave vs Famalicao• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#171.2:2.80-4FT25/10 · Estádio dos Arcos, Condi Town1.6:1.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90PINX3.45BTN22.11DAFMargin at best2.0%Books10Markets85Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 17:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.803.442.103.0%
Pinnacle3.903.422.063.4%
Dafabet3.703.402.113.8%
Betano3.603.452.075.1%
Bet3653.753.402.006.1%
Betfair3.803.302.006.6%
Marathonbet3.643.302.017.5%
William Hill3.503.202.058.6%
BetVictor3.403.302.009.7%
SBO3.263.152.0611.0%
Best of all books3.903.452.112.0%
Average3.643.342.056.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rio AveFamalicao
Last 10#17Table position#110.78Points per game1.117Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.62.8Goals against · last 51.443Attack rating5733Defence rating6740Form rating6025H2H rating7525Goals model7533Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Rio Ave

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

17 OctALouletano1-0W
11 OctHNacional3-2W
19 SepAAlverca0-1L
14 SepHEstrela3-3D
6 SepASanta Clara0-4L
28 AugHSporting CP0-4L
22 AugAEstoril2-0W
15 AugHFC Porto0-2L
9 AugAGIL Vicente0-1L
1 AugHTondela3-1W

Famalicao

1W 4D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

18 OctAParedes0-1L
12 OctHAlverca1-4L
19 SepANacional4-0W
13 SepHSporting CP1-1D
5 SepAEstrela2-2D
30 AugHGIL Vicente0-0D
23 AugASanta Clara0-1L
16 AugHMaritimo1-2L
7 AugAEstoril1-1D
31 JulHComo2-3L

Head to head

1Rio Ave wins
8draws
4Famalicao wins

13 meetings · goals 10:13 · last 10: 1W 6D 3L for Rio Ave

1 Mar 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave0-0Famalicao
28 Sep 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFamalicao0-0Rio Ave
10 Mar 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFamalicao1-0Rio Ave
4 Oct 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave1-1Famalicao
16 Feb 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFamalicao2-1Rio Ave
16 Sep 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave1-1Famalicao
26 May 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave2-2Famalicao
22 Jan 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFamalicao0-0Rio Ave
21 Feb 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave0-1Famalicao
12 Dec 2020Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalRio Ave2-1Famalicao

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 26 Oct 00:01 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Rio Ave sit 17th with 7 points from 9 games, while Famalicao are 11th with 10 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto990021:4+1727
2Benfica861124:7+1719
3Sporting CP953121:11+1018
4Santa Clara853012:4+818
5Arouca952212:7+517
6Academico Viseu952213:11+217
7GIL Vicente94238:7+114
8Alverca932413:13011
9SC Braga93249:11-211
10Moreirense932411:16-511
11Famalicao924314:11+310
12Estrela924314:17-310
13Vitória SC922510:1008
14Maritimo92259:19-108
15Nacional921610:18-87
16Casa Pia92165:17-127
17Rio Ave92168:21-137
18Estoril90275:15-102

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.48X28%3.31245%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 17:401 3.64X 3.342 2.05
13.67 → 3.64 -0.8%X3.28 → 3.34 +1.8%22.03 → 2.05 +1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.971.922.8%
1xBet2.031.863.0%
Betano1.951.884.5%
SBO2.061.784.7%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Marathonbet1.951.797.1%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books2.061.920.6%
Average1.971.825.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.752.026.6%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betfair1.752.007.1%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.761.967.8%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.761.938.6%
Best of all books1.802.025.1%
Average1.761.977.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rio Ave 10%Draw 45%Famalicao 45%

The statistical model rated Rio Ave at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Famalicao at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.48 | 3.31 | 2.09, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Rio Ave are 17th (7 pts, 8-21 goals), Famalicao 11th (10 pts, 14-11).

Over their last five matches, Rio Ave averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Famalicao averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Famalicao and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Goalkeeper

  • 32Vitor Hugo

Defence

  • 20João Tomé
  • 5A. Ntoi
  • 23F. Petrasso
  • 17M. Vrousai

Midfield

  • 79M. Patricio
  • 54G. Liavas
  • 7Diogo Bezerra
  • 90Diogo Nascimento
  • 80S. Clemmensen

Attack

  • 11J. Blesa
Substitutes (12)
  • 30R. Galčík
  • 3S. Garcia
  • 39Gustavo Mancha
  • 44T. Nikitscher
  • 8Ryan Guilherme
  • 19M. Sellouki
  • 77D. Špikić
  • 9Tamble Monteiro
  • 99E. van der Gouw
  • 70A. Wenck
  • 2Jose Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Goncalves
  • 60Caike

Famalicao

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ricardo Silva

Goalkeeper

  • 25L. Carević

Defence

  • 17Rodrigo Pinheiro
  • 15Víctor Rofino
  • 3L. Realpe
  • 2Gustavo Garcia

Midfield

  • 6T. van de Looi
  • 21Tamás Szücs
  • 18R. Beney
  • 14Mathias De Amorim
  • 7Sorriso

Attack

  • 70G. Koutsias
Substitutes (12)
  • 10Pedro Santos
  • 30V. Serafimović
  • 4F. van Breemen
  • 1I. Zlobin
  • 8Marcos Peña
  • 33P. Salas
  • 19Paulo Moreira
  • 24Mathis Jangeal
  • 9U. Abubakar
  • 22Gabriel
  • 72Juvenal Augusto Gomes Correia
  • 11Óscar Aranda

Match Statistics

Rio AveFamalicao
0.66Expected Goals1.71
463Passes accurate324
3Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots3
15Free Kicks21
2Shots on Goal5
1Goalkeeper Saves2
3Shots off Goal4
534Total passes397
7Total Shots12
3Yellow Cards0
4Corner Kicks2
0Offsides0
21Fouls15
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.643.342.05

Double chance

1XX212
1.751.261.30

Draw no bet

12
2.611.44

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.97

1st half

1X2
4.202.102.61

2nd half

1X2
3.702.412.37

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.1314.626.0
HT X7.894.945.00
HT 236.113.83.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.448.751.72

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.98
1.51.303.36
2.51.981.82
3.53.341.30
4.56.871.09
5.512.61.02
6.520.51.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.95
11.057.30
1.251.174.31
1.751.382.88
21.482.58
2.251.732.06
2.752.211.65
32.661.46
3.252.931.35
3.754.061.19
45.601.10
4.255.951.08
58.801.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.253.091.34
02.651.46
+0.252.061.73
+0.51.802.04
+0.751.582.35
+11.383.01
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.471.03
-1.257.451.04
-17.031.06
-0.754.681.17
-0.53.571.29
+1.251.303.37
+1.51.243.74
+1.751.154.78
+21.066.84
+2.251.047.27
+2.51.047.93
+3.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.333.15
4.51.652.15
5.52.201.62
6.53.051.35
7.54.401.19

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.3
5.51.038.82
6.51.105.35
7.51.213.66
8.51.402.63
9.51.732.02
10.52.151.63
11.52.791.36
12.53.741.20
13.55.111.11
14.56.721.05
15.59.001.04
16.511.01.02
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.20
7.751.223.48
81.252.95
8.251.322.88
8.751.452.44
91.542.27
9.251.622.10
9.751.811.83
101.921.85
10.252.051.63
10.752.351.47
112.531.44
11.252.741.35
123.201.21
134.251.11
145.401.05

Next Primeira Liga matches

26 OctSanta Clara – Benfica

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

25 OctSporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu
25 OctNacional 1-0 SC Braga
25 OctEstoril 1-3 Moreirense
24 OctGIL Vicente 0-1 FC Porto
24 OctAlverca 0-1 Arouca
24 OctEstrela 0-2 Casa Pia