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Estoril vs Moreirense• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#180.6:1.41-3FTToday · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Cascais1.0:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.881XBX3.80DAF24.64PINMargin at best1.1%Books9Markets88Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.883.754.323.0%
Pinnacle1.813.754.643.5%
Dafabet1.813.804.503.8%
Betano1.823.654.405.1%
Betfair1.803.604.505.6%
Bet3651.803.704.206.4%
Marathonbet1.803.604.157.4%
BetVictor1.753.504.209.5%
William Hill1.753.504.209.5%
Best of all books1.883.804.641.1%
Average1.803.654.355.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EstorilMoreirense
Last 10#18Table position#100.22Points per game1.222Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.838Attack rating6356Defence rating4420Form rating8025H2H rating7550Goals model5039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Estoril

0W 4D 6L · goals 6:14 · per match 0.6 for, 1.4 against

18 OctASalgueiros1-1D
10 OctAAcademico Viseu1-2L
20 SepHCasa Pia1-2L
14 SepASC Braga0-1L
7 SepHArouca0-0D
31 AugABenfica1-2L
22 AugHRio Ave0-2L
16 AugANacional0-2L
7 AugHFamalicao1-1D
31 JulACF Os Belenenses1-1D

Moreirense

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

17 OctAAVS0-1L
9 OctHGIL Vicente0-1L
20 SepAVitória SC1-1D
14 SepHMaritimo3-1W
9 SepHBenfica0-4L
4 SepAFC Porto1-2L
30 AugACasa Pia1-0W
16 AugAArouca0-4L
9 AugHSC Braga2-2D
1 AugAFelgueiras 19321-2L

Head to head

6Estoril wins
7draws
5Moreirense wins

18 meetings · goals 25:22 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Estoril

20 Apr 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense1-0Estoril
7 Dec 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaEstoril3-3Moreirense
11 May 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense2-2Estoril
28 Dec 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaEstoril2-2Moreirense
18 May 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense2-1Estoril
13 Jan 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaEstoril1-3Moreirense
7 May 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaEstoril1-0Moreirense
28 Dec 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense1-0Estoril
12 Feb 2018Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense1-2Estoril
10 Sep 2017Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaEstoril0-2Moreirense

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 25 Oct 21:50 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Estoril sit 18th with 2 points from 9 games, while Moreirense are 10th with 11 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto990021:4+1727
2Benfica861124:7+1719
3Sporting CP853020:9+1118
4Santa Clara853012:4+818
5Arouca952212:7+517
6Academico Viseu842211:10+114
7GIL Vicente94238:7+114
8Alverca932413:13011
9SC Braga93249:11-211
10Moreirense932411:16-511
11Famalicao924314:11+310
12Estrela924314:17-310
13Vitória SC922510:1008
14Maritimo92259:19-108
15Nacional921610:18-87
16Casa Pia92165:17-127
17Rio Ave92168:21-137
18Estoril90275:15-102

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.82X26%3.61222%4.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 13:301 1.80X 3.652 4.35
11.91 → 1.80 -5.8%X3.55 → 3.65 +2.8%23.77 → 4.35 +15.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.981.903.1%
Pinnacle1.991.893.2%
Betano1.981.883.7%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Marathonbet1.911.837.0%
BetVictor1.861.819.0%
Best of all books1.991.902.9%
Average1.941.865.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betano1.831.917.0%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
1xBet1.801.908.2%
Marathonbet1.801.888.7%
Best of all books1.871.954.8%
Average1.811.917.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estoril 10%Draw 45%Moreirense 45%

The statistical model rated Estoril at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Moreirense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.61 | 4.24, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Estoril are 18th (2 pts, 5-15 goals), Moreirense 10th (11 pts, 11-16).

Over their last five matches, Estoril averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Moreirense averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Moreirense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Estoril

3-4-3

Coach: Leandro Pires

Goalkeeper

  • 1Joel Robles

Defence

  • 4Ferro
  • 5A. Tsoungui
  • 2Ricard Sánchez
  • 21R. Jurišić
  • 11N. Omerović

Midfield

  • 6Xavi Sintes
  • 12João Carvalho
  • 10J. Holsgrove
  • 9A. Camblan

Attack

  • 99R. Guitane
Substitutes (12)
  • 35S. Amissah
  • 8Xeka
  • 25S. Andreou
  • 42J. Arnolin
  • 22Pedro Carvalho
  • 7André Lacximicant
  • 3Fernando Medrano
  • 19Tiago Parreira Parente
  • 17Peixinho
  • 44M. Robin
  • 15Isma Sierra
  • 16M. Turk

Moreirense

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vasco Costa

Goalkeeper

  • 13André Ferreira

Defence

  • 76Dinis Pinto
  • 66Gilberto Batista
  • 4Kevyn Monteiro
  • 27Kiko

Midfield

  • 65Guilherme Liberato
  • 23N. John
  • 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça

Attack

  • 10Kiko Bondoso
  • 19Tiago Andrade
  • 79L. Vonić
Substitutes (11)
  • 99Maranhão
  • 8M. Stjepanović
  • 28Chipyoka Songa
  • 2Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos
  • 12Francisco Sampaio
  • 21Rodri Alonso
  • 17Álvaro Martínez
  • 11Landerson
  • 25Afonso Assis
  • 1Aranha
  • 32José

Match Statistics

EstorilMoreirense
2.09Expected Goals1.39
392Passes accurate291
20Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox5
4Blocked Shots2
12Free Kicks17
7Shots on Goal4
1Goalkeeper Saves6
15Shots off Goal7
478Total passes367
26Total Shots13
3Yellow Cards1
6Corner Kicks3
0Offsides2
17Fouls13
0Red Cards0
57%Ball Possession43%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.803.654.35

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.941.27

Draw no bet

12
1.323.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.811.91

1st half

1X2
2.372.194.68

2nd half

1X2
2.192.484.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7715.042.4
HT X4.735.389.43
HT 225.015.67.28

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6311.32.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0510.2
1.51.293.43
2.51.941.86
3.53.291.31
4.56.461.10
5.512.71.02
6.518.91.02
7.511.6–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.0110.2
11.038.20
1.251.154.51
1.751.352.89
21.472.62
2.251.692.10
2.752.181.66
32.631.47
3.252.881.36
3.754.001.19
45.501.11
4.255.851.08
58.551.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.921.38
-12.531.51
-0.752.031.77
-0.51.792.04
-0.251.582.32
01.343.15
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.758.571.02
-2.56.541.07
-2.256.421.08
-26.011.10
-1.754.171.21
-1.53.231.32
+0.251.273.54
+0.51.253.95
+0.751.134.98
+11.048.35
+1.251.028.48
+1.51.0410.1

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.184.50
3.51.422.77
4.51.821.93
5.52.501.50
6.53.601.26
7.54.601.17

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.8
4.51.058.50
5.51.075.88
6.51.183.91
7.51.382.74
8.51.712.04
9.52.131.65
10.52.831.35
11.53.851.19
12.55.291.10
13.57.181.04
14.510.81.03
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.074.89
6.751.164.10
71.193.40
7.251.253.28
7.751.362.73
81.442.50
8.251.512.31
8.751.692.00
91.851.92
9.251.911.74
9.752.181.55
102.351.50
10.252.521.41
113.001.25
124.021.13
135.221.06

Next Primeira Liga matches

26 OctSanta Clara – Benfica

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

25 OctSporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu
25 OctRio Ave 0-4 Famalicao
25 OctNacional 1-0 SC Braga
24 OctGIL Vicente 0-1 FC Porto
24 OctAlverca 0-1 Arouca
24 OctEstrela 0-2 Casa Pia