La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01• Ligue 3, France

#11.8:1.213:4531/10 · Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon0.4:1.2#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.66DAFX3.75B36525.73PINMargin at best4.4%Books8Markets53Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	3.41	5.73	7.4%
Dafabet	1.66	3.55	5.00	8.4%
Betano	1.65	3.60	4.80	9.2%
Betfair	1.65	3.60	4.60	10.1%
1xBet	1.59	3.72	4.80	10.6%
Bet365	1.65	3.75	4.10	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.57	3.72	4.70	11.9%
William Hill	1.65	3.40	4.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.66	3.75	5.73	4.4%
Average	1.63	3.59	4.78	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

La Roche VFBourg-en-bresse 01

Last 10#1Table position#182.10Points per game0.5010Form pts · last 521.8Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 51.282Attack rating1850Defence rating5083Form rating170H2H rating090Goals model1076Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

La Roche VF

6W 3D 1L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	A	Caen	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Aubagne	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Thionville Lusitanos	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Valenciennes	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Villefranche	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Quevilly	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Orleans	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	Cannes	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Amiens	1-0	W
7 Aug	H	Versailles	3-2	W

Bourg-en-bresse 01

1W 2D 7L · goals 5:16 · per match 0.5 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	H	Fleury 91	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Rouen	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Concarneau	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Gobelins	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Bastia	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Caen	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Aubagne	0-2	L
20 Aug	H	Thionville Lusitanos	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	Valenciennes	0-2	L
7 Aug	H	Villefranche	3-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between La Roche VF and Bourg-en-bresse 01 on record.

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 29 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, La Roche VF sit 1st with 21 points from 10 games, while Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th with 5 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	10	6	2	2	18:8	+10	20
3	Versailles	10	6	1	3	15:13	+2	19
4	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
5	Concarneau	10	4	5	1	13:9	+4	17
6	Le Puy Foot	10	5	1	4	12:9	+3	16
7	Amiens	10	4	4	2	13:4	+9	16
8	Cannes	10	3	6	1	12:6	+6	15
9	Fleury 91	10	4	3	3	16:12	+4	15
10	Gobelins	10	4	3	3	10:10	0	15
11	Quevilly	10	3	4	3	11:14	-3	13
12	Thionville Lusitanos	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
13	Bastia	10	3	3	4	8:12	-4	12
14	Valenciennes	10	2	3	5	10:15	-5	9
15	Orleans	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
16	Aubagne	10	2	1	7	6:13	-7	7
17	Villefranche	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	10	1	2	7	5:16	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.63X25%3.58219%4.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.59 → 1.63 +2.5%X3.65 → 3.58 -1.9%25.12 → 4.80 -6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.84	1.95	5.6%
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.91	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Betano	1.78	1.91	8.5%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.87	9.3%
Best of all books	1.91	1.95	3.6%
Average	1.80	1.89	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

La Roche VF 45%Draw 45%Bourg-en-bresse 01 10%

The statistical model rates La Roche VF at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 3.58 | 4.80, which imply roughly 61.3% for a La Roche VF win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: La Roche VF are 1st (21 pts, 16-10 goals), Bourg-en-bresse 01 18th (5 pts, 5-16).

Over their last five matches, La Roche VF averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Bourg-en-bresse 01 averaged 0.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : La Roche VF.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.63	3.59	4.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.10	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.16	2.24	4.98

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.55	4.58

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.44	15.8	45.5
HT X	4.30	5.60	10.2
HT 2	24.0	16.5	8.09

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	11.3	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.93
1.5	1.25	3.52
2.5	1.82	1.91
3.5	2.97	1.33
4.5	5.49	1.11
5.5	9.75	1.05
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	7.20
1.25	1.11	4.95
1.75	1.27	3.15
2	1.37	2.78
2.25	1.59	2.20
2.75	2.02	1.69
3	2.40	1.48
3.25	2.71	1.37
3.75	3.73	1.20
4	5.10	1.10
4.25	5.46	1.09
4.75	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.72	1.40
-1.25	2.42	1.49
-1	2.11	1.66
-0.75	1.81	1.91
-0.5	1.67	2.18
-0.25	1.43	2.60

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.50	1.01
-2.75	7.00	1.06
-2.5	5.37	1.11
-2.25	4.93	1.13
-2	4.55	1.15
-1.75	3.36	1.27
0	1.23	3.72
+0.25	1.19	4.24
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.09	6.08
+1	1.01	9.60

Next Ligue 3 matches

29 Oct	Amiens – Thionville Lusitanos
31 Oct	Cannes – Valenciennes
31 Oct	Bastia – Quevilly
31 Oct	Versailles – Aubagne
31 Oct	Rouen – Concarneau
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot – Caen

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes