Rouen vs Concarneau• Ligue 3, France

#22.0:1.213:4531/10 · Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen1.6:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00BTNX3.35DAF23.78PINMargin at best6.3%Books8Markets49Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.99	3.32	3.78	6.8%
Dafabet	1.99	3.35	3.55	8.3%
Betano	2.00	3.20	3.60	9.0%
Bet365	1.95	3.20	3.60	10.3%
1xBet	1.91	3.24	3.65	10.6%
Betfair	1.95	3.25	3.50	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.24	3.56	11.9%
William Hill	1.95	3.00	3.50	13.2%
Best of all books	2.00	3.35	3.78	6.3%
Average	1.95	3.23	3.59	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RouenConcarneau

Last 10#2Table position#52.00Points per game1.709Form pts · last 5112.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4440Defence rating6045Form rating5567H2H rating3381Goals model1958Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Rouen

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	Gobelins	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
24 Sep	A	Caen	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Aubagne	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Thionville Lusitanos	4-0	W
3 Sep	H	Valenciennes	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Villefranche	2-0	W
20 Aug	H	Quevilly	3-0	W
14 Aug	A	Orleans	2-1	W
7 Aug	H	Cannes	0-0	D

Concarneau

4W 5D 1L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	H	Bastia	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Gobelins	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Caen	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Aubagne	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Thionville Lusitanos	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Valenciennes	0-0	D
20 Aug	H	Villefranche	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Quevilly	1-1	D
7 Aug	H	Orleans	0-2	L

Head to head

1Rouen wins

3draws

0Concarneau wins

4 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 4: 1W 3D 0L for Rouen

17 Apr 2026Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Concarneau0-0Rouen
21 Nov 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Rouen0-0Concarneau
28 Feb 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Rouen4-3Concarneau
27 Sep 2024Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Concarneau1-1Rouen

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 29 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Rouen sit 2nd with 20 points from 10 games, while Concarneau are 5th with 17 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	10	6	2	2	18:8	+10	20
3	Versailles	10	6	1	3	15:13	+2	19
4	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
5	Concarneau	10	4	5	1	13:9	+4	17
6	Le Puy Foot	10	5	1	4	12:9	+3	16
7	Amiens	10	4	4	2	13:4	+9	16
8	Cannes	10	3	6	1	12:6	+6	15
9	Fleury 91	10	4	3	3	16:12	+4	15
10	Gobelins	10	4	3	3	10:10	0	15
11	Quevilly	10	3	4	3	11:14	-3	13
12	Thionville Lusitanos	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
13	Bastia	10	3	3	4	8:12	-4	12
14	Valenciennes	10	2	3	5	10:15	-5	9
15	Orleans	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
16	Aubagne	10	2	1	7	6:13	-7	7
17	Villefranche	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	10	1	2	7	5:16	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.95X28%3.23225%3.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.92 → 1.95 +1.6%X3.23 → 3.23 0.0%23.73 → 3.59 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.09	1.72	6.0%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Best of all books	2.09	1.73	5.7%
Average	2.07	1.68	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.87	1.82	8.4%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.79	9.3%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Best of all books	2.00	1.82	4.9%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rouen 45%Draw 45%Concarneau 10%

The statistical model rates Rouen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Concarneau at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.23 | 3.59, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Rouen win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Rouen are 2nd (20 pts, 18-8 goals), Concarneau 5th (17 pts, 13-9).

Over their last five matches, Rouen averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Concarneau averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rouen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.95	3.23	3.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.72	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.57	2.07	4.23

2nd half

1	X	2
2.35	2.36	3.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.06	14.6	37.5
HT X	4.75	4.76	7.80
HT 2	27.0	15.4	6.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	7.85	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.43
1.5	1.34	2.98
2.5	2.07	1.68
3.5	3.56	1.24
4.5	6.55	1.07
5.5	13.5	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.45
1.25	1.19	3.80
1.75	1.42	2.61
2	1.55	2.24
2.25	1.82	1.87
2.75	2.38	1.50
3	2.92	1.31
3.25	3.29	1.25
3.75	4.56	1.13
4	6.30	1.06
4.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.83	1.38
-0.75	2.24	1.57
-0.5	1.98	1.80
-0.25	1.68	2.06
0	1.41	2.66
+0.25	1.31	3.11

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.27	1.05
-2.25	6.93	1.06
-2	6.52	1.07
-1.75	4.50	1.15
-1.5	3.57	1.25
-1.25	3.20	1.30
+0.5	1.27	3.65
+0.75	1.15	4.50
+1	1.06	7.00
+1.25	1.03	7.50
+1.5	1.02	7.90

Next Ligue 3 matches

29 Oct	Amiens – Thionville Lusitanos
31 Oct	Cannes – Valenciennes
31 Oct	Bastia – Quevilly
31 Oct	Versailles – Aubagne
31 Oct	La Roche VF – Bourg-en-bresse 01
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot – Caen

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91