Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos• Ligue 3, France

#71.4:0.419:45Today · Stade de la Licorne, Amiens0.6:2.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.73DAFX3.90PIN24.85BTNMargin at best4.1%Books8Markets66Rating80 · 20Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.70	3.90	4.72	5.7%
Dafabet	1.73	3.75	4.40	7.2%
Betano	1.70	3.40	4.85	8.9%
1xBet	1.64	3.60	4.64	10.3%
Bet365	1.67	3.30	4.75	11.2%
Betfair	1.67	3.60	4.20	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.60	4.55	11.5%
William Hill	1.67	3.40	4.20	13.1%
Best of all books	1.73	3.90	4.85	4.1%
Average	1.68	3.57	4.54	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AmiensThionville Lusitanos

Last 10#7Table position#121.60Points per game1.209Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 52.070Attack rating3083Defence rating1790Form rating100H2H rating076Goals model2480Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

Amiens

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:4 · per match 1.3 for, 0.4 against

17 Oct	A	Valenciennes	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Villefranche	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Quevilly	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Orleans	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	Cannes	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Bastia	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Versailles	3-0	W
20 Aug	A	Le Puy Foot	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	La Roche VF	0-1	L
7 Aug	A	Fleury 91	0-0	D

Thionville Lusitanos

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	H	Versailles	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Le Puy Foot	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	La Roche VF	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Fleury 91	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Rouen	0-4	L
5 Sep	A	Concarneau	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Gobelins	1-1	D
20 Aug	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Caen	4-3	W
7 Aug	A	Aubagne	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Amiens and Thionville Lusitanos on record.

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 29 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Amiens sit 7th with 16 points from 10 games, while Thionville Lusitanos are 12th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	10	6	2	2	18:8	+10	20
3	Versailles	10	6	1	3	15:13	+2	19
4	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
5	Concarneau	10	4	5	1	13:9	+4	17
6	Le Puy Foot	10	5	1	4	12:9	+3	16
7	Amiens	10	4	4	2	13:4	+9	16
8	Cannes	10	3	6	1	12:6	+6	15
9	Fleury 91	10	4	3	3	16:12	+4	15
10	Gobelins	10	4	3	3	10:10	0	15
11	Quevilly	10	3	4	3	11:14	-3	13
12	Thionville Lusitanos	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
13	Bastia	10	3	3	4	8:12	-4	12
14	Valenciennes	10	2	3	5	10:15	-5	9
15	Orleans	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
16	Aubagne	10	2	1	7	6:13	-7	7
17	Villefranche	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	10	1	2	7	5:16	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X26%3.57220%4.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.68 -5.1%X3.47 → 3.57 +2.9%24.11 → 4.54 +10.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.88	5.0%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.88	1.82	8.1%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.93	1.90	4.4%
Average	1.88	1.85	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.83	1.86	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.78	1.88	9.4%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Best of all books	1.91	1.88	5.5%
Average	1.83	1.84	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Amiens 50%Draw 50%Thionville Lusitanos 0%

The statistical model rates Amiens at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Thionville Lusitanos at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.57 | 4.54, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Amiens win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Amiens are 7th (16 pts, 13-4 goals), Thionville Lusitanos 12th (12 pts, 15-16).

Over their last five matches, Amiens averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Thionville Lusitanos averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Amiens or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.57	4.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.03	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.17	4.90

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.51	4.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.51	14.8	43.0
HT X	4.30	5.30	10.1
HT 2	24.5	16.3	8.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	10.5	2.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.33
1.5	1.27	3.34
2.5	1.88	1.85
3.5	3.12	1.31
4.5	5.84	1.09
5.5	10.8	1.04
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.13	4.56
1.75	1.32	2.93
2	1.42	2.61
2.25	1.65	2.10
2.75	2.12	1.64
3	2.54	1.44
3.25	2.84	1.34
3.75	3.89	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.38
-1.25	2.51	1.46
-1	2.19	1.62
-0.75	1.86	1.87
-0.5	1.69	2.12
-0.25	1.46	2.54

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.07	1.06
-2.5	5.47	1.11
-2.25	5.03	1.12
-2	4.65	1.15
-1.75	3.50	1.26
0	1.26	3.45
+0.25	1.20	4.01
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.09	5.95
+1	1.02	8.40
+1.5	1.02	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.70
6.5	1.17	3.92
7.5	1.40	2.64
8.5	1.74	2.00
9.5	2.19	1.59
10.5	2.92	1.32
11.5	4.20	1.14
12.5	6.47	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	6.12
7	1.22	3.50
8	1.51	2.34
9	1.98	1.78
10	2.62	1.40
11	3.82	1.18
12	6.02	1.04

Next Ligue 3 matches

31 Oct	Cannes – Valenciennes
31 Oct	Bastia – Quevilly
31 Oct	Versailles – Aubagne
31 Oct	La Roche VF – Bourg-en-bresse 01
31 Oct	Rouen – Concarneau
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot – Caen

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes