Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot• Ligue 3, France

#160.8:1.40-1FT17/10 · Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny, Aubagne1.6:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50PINX3.43PIN22.11PINMargin at best5.1%Books6Markets76Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.50	3.43	2.11	5.1%
BetVictor	3.20	3.25	2.10	9.6%
1xBet	3.22	3.18	2.08	10.6%
Marathonbet	3.15	3.18	2.06	11.7%
Bet365	3.10	3.20	2.05	12.3%
William Hill	3.25	3.10	2.00	13.0%
Best of all books	3.50	3.43	2.11	5.1%
Average	3.24	3.22	2.07	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AubagneLe Puy Foot

Last 10#16Table position#80.78Points per game1.444Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6746Defence rating5436Form rating6471H2H rating2941Goals model5947Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Aubagne

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	La Roche VF	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Fleury 91	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Rouen	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Concarneau	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Gobelins	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
20 Aug	A	Caen	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Bastia	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	Thionville Lusitanos	0-3	L
24 Jul	H	Bastia	1-1	D

Le Puy Foot

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	Thionville Lusitanos	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Valenciennes	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Villefranche	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Quevilly	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Orleans	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Cannes	0-2	L
20 Aug	H	Amiens	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Versailles	0-1	L
7 Aug	A	Bastia	2-0	W
17 Jul	A	Montpellier	2-5	L

Head to head

3Aubagne wins

1draws

1Le Puy Foot wins

5 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Aubagne

10 Apr 2026Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Le Puy Foot1-2Aubagne
7 Nov 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Aubagne1-4Le Puy Foot
20 Apr 2024National 2 - Group A	National 2 - Group A	Le Puy Foot1-2Aubagne
2 Dec 2023National 2 - Group A	National 2 - Group A	Aubagne0-0Le Puy Foot
16 Nov 2013Coupe de France	Coupe de France	Aubagne2-0Le Puy Foot

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Aubagne sit 16th with 7 points from 9 games, while Le Puy Foot are 8th with 13 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	9	6	2	1	17:5	+12	20
3	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
4	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	+4	16
5	Versailles	9	5	1	3	13:12	+1	16
6	Amiens	9	4	3	2	12:3	+9	15
7	Cannes	9	3	6	0	11:4	+7	15
8	Le Puy Foot	9	4	1	4	11:9	+2	13
9	Thionville Lusitanos	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	+3	12
11	Gobelins	9	3	3	3	7:9	-2	12
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
13	Quevilly	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7
17	Bourg-en-bresse 01	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.35X28%3.26245%2.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.12 → 3.24 +3.8%X3.18 → 3.22 +1.3%22.14 → 2.07 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.93	1.80	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.73	1.98	8.3%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.75	1.94	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aubagne 10%Draw 45%Le Puy Foot 45%

The statistical model rated Aubagne at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Le Puy Foot at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.35 | 3.26 | 2.01, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Aubagne are 16th (7 pts, 6-12 goals), Le Puy Foot 8th (13 pts, 11-9).

Over their last five matches, Aubagne averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Le Puy Foot averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Le Puy Foot.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.24	3.22	2.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.62	1.26	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.50	1.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
3.92	2.12	2.70

2nd half

1	X	2
3.48	2.40	2.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.23	14.7	27.3
HT X	7.37	5.00	5.23
HT 2	33.0	14.5	3.26

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.34	8.90	1.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.78
1.5	1.28	3.34
2.5	1.93	1.80
3.5	3.30	1.29
4.5	6.54	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.18
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.14	4.30
1.75	1.33	2.83
2	1.46	2.49
2.25	1.69	2.04
2.75	2.17	1.61
3	2.63	1.41
3.25	2.92	1.31
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.55	1.08
4.25	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.78	1.39
0	2.37	1.53
+0.25	1.91	1.80
+0.5	1.70	2.09
+0.75	1.49	2.44
+1	1.31	3.15

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.98	1.01
-1.5	6.77	1.07
-1.25	6.26	1.08
-1	5.80	1.10
-0.75	4.07	1.20
-0.5	3.29	1.33
+1.25	1.26	3.53
+1.5	1.20	3.92
+1.75	1.13	4.98
+2	1.05	7.40
+2.25	1.01	8.35
+2.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.60
7.5	1.30	3.02
8.5	1.58	2.19
9.5	1.99	1.73
10.5	2.57	1.41
11.5	3.53	1.21
12.5	5.26	1.08

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.16
6.25	1.07	5.39
6.75	1.13	4.36
7	1.15	4.14
7.25	1.23	3.42
7.75	1.34	2.82
8	1.41	2.65
8.25	1.49	2.38
8.75	1.67	2.07
9	1.78	1.96
9.25	1.88	1.83
9.75	2.12	1.64
10	2.30	1.55
10.25	2.44	1.47
10.75	2.84	1.34
11	3.22	1.26
11.25	3.38	1.23
11.75	4.07	1.15
12	4.86	1.10
12.25	5.06	1.08

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
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17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91
17 Oct	Thionville Lusitanos 1-2 Versailles