Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#51.0:1.011:00Tomorrow0.8:1.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.43DAFX4.20BFR27.901XBMargin at best6.4%Books7Markets50Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.43	4.20	7.00	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.41	4.15	7.44	8.5%
Betano	1.42	4.10	6.90	9.3%
1xBet	1.37	4.00	7.90	10.7%
Bet365	1.40	4.00	6.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.00	7.50	11.9%
Betfair	1.36	4.20	6.50	12.7%
Best of all books	1.43	4.20	7.90	6.4%
Average	1.39	4.09	7.11	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NumanciaCalvo Sotelo

Last 10#5Table position#171.78Points per game0.676Form pts · last 521.0Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.856Attack rating4464Defence rating3675Form rating250H2H rating072Goals model2867Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Numancia

4W 5D 1L · goals 13:8 · per match 1.3 for, 0.8 against

1 Nov	A	Atlético Tordesillas	2-1	W
29 Oct	H	Oviedo	3-3	D
24 Oct	H	Navalcarnero	2-3	L
18 Oct	H	CF Talavera	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Real Ávila	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Getafe II	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Guadalajara	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	SS Reyes	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	A Madrid III	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Atlético Paso	2-0	W

Calvo Sotelo

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:14 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	Guadalajara	1-2	L
25 Oct	A	Getafe II	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	SS Reyes	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	RSD Alcalá	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Real Valladolid II	0-3	L
27 Sep	H	Atlético Tordesillas	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Real Ávila	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Atlético Paso	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Gimnástica Segoviana	0-3	L
10 May	H	La Solana	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Numancia and Calvo Sotelo on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 7 Nov 12:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Numancia sit 5th with 16 points from 9 games, while Calvo Sotelo are 17th with 6 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SS Reyes	9	6	1	2	15:9	+6	19
2	Conquense	9	5	3	1	20:11	+9	18
3	Real Valladolid II	9	5	2	2	22:13	+9	17
4	A Madrid III	9	5	2	2	12:9	+3	17
5	Numancia	9	4	4	1	10:5	+5	16
6	Salamanca UDS	9	5	1	3	13:10	+3	16
7	Navalcarnero	9	4	3	2	16:13	+3	15
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	9	3	3	3	18:18	0	12
10	Gimnástica Segoviana	9	2	4	3	14:14	0	10
11	Atlético Tordesillas	9	2	3	4	13:13	0	9
12	RSD Alcalá	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9
13	Atlético Paso	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9
14	Albacete II	9	2	3	4	12:24	-12	9
15	Real Madrid III	9	1	5	3	2:6	-4	8
16	Real Ávila	9	2	1	6	7:15	-8	7
17	Calvo Sotelo	9	1	3	5	6:14	-8	6
18	Getafe II	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X22%4.09213%7.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.38 → 1.39 +0.7%X4.10 → 4.09 -0.2%27.06 → 7.11 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.82	5.7%
Betano	1.91	1.78	8.5%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	1.97	1.85	4.8%
Average	1.93	1.80	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.15	1.61	8.6%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.59	9.4%
Best of all books	2.15	1.61	8.6%
Average	2.15	1.60	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Numancia 45%Draw 45%Calvo Sotelo 10%

The statistical model rates Numancia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Calvo Sotelo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.09 | 7.11, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Numancia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Numancia are 5th (16 pts, 10-5 goals), Calvo Sotelo 17th (6 pts, 6-14).

Over their last five matches, Numancia averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Calvo Sotelo averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Numancia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.09	7.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.67	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	4.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.15	1.60

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.20	6.97

2nd half

1	X	2
1.71	2.65	6.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.10	18.0	62.0
HT X	3.88	5.87	13.0
HT 2	23.0	18.3	11.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	8.85	3.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.35
1.5	1.29	3.12
2.5	1.93	1.80
3.5	3.18	1.27
4.5	5.50	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.19	4.20
1.75	1.34	2.85
2	1.45	2.46
2.25	1.68	2.02
2.75	2.18	1.59
3	2.62	1.40
3.25	2.96	1.32
3.75	3.98	1.17
4	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.55	1.42
-1.5	2.18	1.58
-1.25	1.94	1.77
-1	1.69	2.06
-0.75	1.48	2.39
-0.5	1.39	2.80

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.10	1.02
-3	7.40	1.03
-2.75	5.20	1.13
-2.5	4.00	1.17
-2.25	3.70	1.23
-2	3.32	1.26
-0.25	1.24	3.45
0	1.08	5.70
+0.25	1.06	6.30

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

7 Nov	Real Madrid III – Real Valladolid II
8 Nov	Getafe II – SS Reyes
8 Nov	Guadalajara – Navalcarnero
8 Nov	Atlético Paso – RSD Alcalá
8 Nov	Albacete II – Gimnástica Segoviana
8 Nov	CF Talavera – Conquense

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

1 Nov	Salamanca UDS 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana
1 Nov	Real Ávila 0-1 Real Madrid III
1 Nov	Conquense 2-2 RSD Alcalá
1 Nov	Calvo Sotelo 1-2 Guadalajara
1 Nov	SS Reyes 2-1 Albacete II
1 Nov	Navalcarnero 3-1 Atlético Paso