Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#92.2:2.011:00Tomorrow · Guadalajara2.2:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95BTNX3.70DAF23.91PINMargin at best3.9%Books8Markets43Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.89	3.70	3.55	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.83	3.54	3.91	8.5%
Betano	1.95	3.55	3.40	8.9%
William Hill	1.85	3.30	3.80	10.7%
1xBet	1.81	3.50	3.72	10.7%
Betfair	1.80	3.60	3.60	11.1%
Bet365	1.85	3.60	3.40	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.50	3.64	11.9%
Best of all books	1.95	3.70	3.91	3.9%
Average	1.85	3.54	3.63	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GuadalajaraNavalcarnero

Last 10#9Table position#71.33Points per game1.678Form pts · last 592.2Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5038Defence rating6342Form rating5850H2H rating5040Goals model6045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Guadalajara

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

1 Nov	A	Calvo Sotelo	2-1	W
25 Oct	H	Real Valladolid II	4-4	D
18 Oct	A	Atlético Tordesillas	0-3	L
11 Oct	H	Getafe II	4-1	W
7 Oct	A	Real Madrid III	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Gimnástica Segoviana	3-3	D
27 Sep	A	Numancia	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	RSD Alcalá	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Salamanca UDS	2-3	L
18 Aug	A	Marchamalo	0-1	L

Navalcarnero

5W 4D 1L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	Atlético Paso	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Numancia	3-2	W
18 Oct	A	Salamanca UDS	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Recreativo Huelva	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	A Madrid III	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	RSD Alcalá	3-1	W
30 Sep	H	Real Murcia	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	Conquense	1-3	L
23 Sep	A	Saguntino	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Atlético Tordesillas	2-2	D

Head to head

4Guadalajara wins

2draws

2Navalcarnero wins

8 meetings · goals 12:9 · last 8: 4W 2D 2L for Guadalajara

13 Apr 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Navalcarnero2-1Guadalajara
1 Dec 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Guadalajara2-0Navalcarnero
14 Apr 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Navalcarnero3-1Guadalajara
3 Dec 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Guadalajara3-2Navalcarnero
27 Aug 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Navalcarnero0-0Guadalajara
18 Feb 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Guadalajara1-1Navalcarnero
2 Oct 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Navalcarnero0-2Guadalajara
6 Aug 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Navalcarnero1-2Guadalajara

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 7 Nov 12:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Guadalajara sit 9th with 12 points from 9 games, while Navalcarnero are 7th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SS Reyes	9	6	1	2	15:9	+6	19
2	Conquense	9	5	3	1	20:11	+9	18
3	Real Valladolid II	9	5	2	2	22:13	+9	17
4	A Madrid III	9	5	2	2	12:9	+3	17
5	Numancia	9	4	4	1	10:5	+5	16
6	Salamanca UDS	9	5	1	3	13:10	+3	16
7	Navalcarnero	9	4	3	2	16:13	+3	15
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	9	3	3	3	18:18	0	12
10	Gimnástica Segoviana	9	2	4	3	14:14	0	10
11	Atlético Tordesillas	9	2	3	4	13:13	0	9
12	RSD Alcalá	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9
13	Atlético Paso	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9
14	Albacete II	9	2	3	4	12:24	-12	9
15	Real Madrid III	9	1	5	3	2:6	-4	8
16	Real Ávila	9	2	1	6	7:15	-8	7
17	Calvo Sotelo	9	1	3	5	6:14	-8	6
18	Getafe II	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X26%3.54225%3.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.91 → 1.85 -3.1%X3.60 → 3.54 -1.7%23.27 → 3.63 +11.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.74	2.04	6.5%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Best of all books	1.62	2.16	8.0%
Average	1.61	2.15	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guadalajara 10%Draw 45%Navalcarnero 45%

The statistical model rates Guadalajara at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Navalcarnero at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.54 | 3.63, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Guadalajara are 9th (12 pts, 18-18 goals), Navalcarnero 7th (15 pts, 16-13).

Over their last five matches, Guadalajara averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Navalcarnero averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Navalcarnero and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.54	3.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.83	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
2.37	2.24	4.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.58	3.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.94	13.7	29.0
HT X	4.93	6.00	8.03
HT 2	20.7	14.7	5.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	12.6	2.39

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.6
1.5	1.20	3.78
2.5	1.70	2.04
3.5	2.64	1.40
4.5	4.68	1.15
5.5	8.95	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.30	3.06
2.25	1.49	2.36
2.75	1.86	1.83
3	2.12	1.62
3.25	2.40	1.49
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	3.98	1.17
4.25	4.60	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.75	1.37
-1	2.43	1.46
-0.75	2.02	1.68
-0.5	1.88	1.89
-0.25	1.58	2.19
0	1.37	2.80

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.95	1.07
-2	5.25	1.09
-1.75	3.70	1.23
-1.5	3.08	1.28
+0.25	1.28	3.18
+0.75	1.13	4.50
+1	1.05	6.70
+1.5	1.03	7.50

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

7 Nov	Real Madrid III – Real Valladolid II
8 Nov	Getafe II – SS Reyes
8 Nov	Numancia – Calvo Sotelo
8 Nov	Atlético Paso – RSD Alcalá
8 Nov	Albacete II – Gimnástica Segoviana
8 Nov	CF Talavera – Conquense

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

1 Nov	Real Ávila 0-1 Real Madrid III
1 Nov	Conquense 2-2 RSD Alcalá
1 Nov	Calvo Sotelo 1-2 Guadalajara
1 Nov	SS Reyes 2-1 Albacete II
1 Nov	Salamanca UDS 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana
1 Nov	Real Valladolid II 4-3 Getafe II