CF Talavera vs Conquense• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#81.6:0.616:0008/11 · Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina2.4:1.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.31DAFX3.05PIN23.28PINMargin at best6.6%Books7Markets41Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.21	3.05	3.28	8.5%
Betano	2.20	3.05	3.25	9.0%
Dafabet	2.31	3.05	2.95	10.0%
1xBet	2.25	2.93	3.12	10.6%
Bet365	2.20	3.00	3.10	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.23	2.93	3.04	11.9%
Betfair	2.20	3.00	3.00	12.1%
Best of all books	2.31	3.05	3.28	6.6%
Average	2.23	3.00	3.11	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CF TalaveraConquense

Last 10#8Table position#21.67Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 52.40.6Goals against · last 51.440Attack rating6070Defence rating3056Form rating4450H2H rating5043Goals model5752Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

CF Talavera

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	A	A Madrid III	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Salamanca UDS	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Numancia	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Atlético Paso	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Albacete II	4-0	W
27 Sep	H	Real Valladolid II	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Getafe II	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Real Madrid III	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Navalcarnero	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	RSD Alcalá	0-3	L

Conquense

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	RSD Alcalá	2-2	D
29 Oct	H	Castellón	0-3	L
25 Oct	A	Real Madrid III	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Atlético Paso	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Albacete II	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	A Madrid III	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	Navalcarnero	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Salamanca UDS	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Getafe II	2-2	D

Head to head

1CF Talavera wins

0draws

1Conquense wins

2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for CF Talavera

30 Mar 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Conquense1-0CF Talavera
16 Nov 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	CF Talavera1-0Conquense

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 6 Nov 12:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, CF Talavera sit 8th with 15 points from 9 games, while Conquense are 2nd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SS Reyes	9	6	1	2	15:9	+6	19
2	Conquense	9	5	3	1	20:11	+9	18
3	Real Valladolid II	9	5	2	2	22:13	+9	17
4	A Madrid III	9	5	2	2	12:9	+3	17
5	Numancia	9	4	4	1	10:5	+5	16
6	Salamanca UDS	9	5	1	3	13:10	+3	16
7	Navalcarnero	9	4	3	2	16:13	+3	15
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	9	3	3	3	18:18	0	12
10	Gimnástica Segoviana	9	2	4	3	14:14	0	10
11	Atlético Tordesillas	9	2	3	4	13:13	0	9
12	RSD Alcalá	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9
13	Atlético Paso	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9
14	Albacete II	9	2	3	4	12:24	-12	9
15	Real Madrid III	9	1	5	3	2:6	-4	8
16	Real Ávila	9	2	1	6	7:15	-8	7
17	Calvo Sotelo	9	1	3	5	6:14	-8	6
18	Getafe II	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.23X30%3.00229%3.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.49 → 2.23 -10.4%X2.99 → 3.00 +0.3%22.68 → 3.11 +16.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.42	1.52	7.1%
Betano	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Best of all books	2.42	1.60	3.8%
Average	2.33	1.54	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.70	9.3%
Betano	1.95	1.72	9.4%
Best of all books	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Average	1.97	1.71	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CF Talavera 35%Draw 35%Conquense 30%

The statistical model rates CF Talavera at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Conquense at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.00 | 3.11, which imply roughly 44.8% for a CF Talavera win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: CF Talavera are 8th (15 pts, 11-8 goals), Conquense 2nd (18 pts, 20-11).

Over their last five matches, CF Talavera averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Conquense averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : CF Talavera or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.23	3.00	3.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.53	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	2.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
3.02	1.92	3.83

2nd half

1	X	2
2.62	2.22	3.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.70	15.5	36.0
HT X	5.47	4.35	6.73
HT 2	29.3	16.0	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	6.70	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.25
1.5	1.42	2.56
2.5	2.33	1.54
3.5	4.17	1.17
4.5	8.15	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.25
1.25	1.27	3.26
1.75	1.55	2.25
2	1.75	1.94
2.25	2.05	1.67
2.75	2.76	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.92	1.18
3.75	5.60	1.11
4	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.62	1.40
-0.5	2.17	1.64
-0.25	1.91	1.81
0	1.64	2.16
+0.25	1.40	2.63
+0.5	1.31	3.19

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.90	1.01
-1.75	5.70	1.10
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.10	1.16
-1	3.55	1.23
+0.75	1.19	3.80
+1	1.07	5.80
+1.25	1.13	5.00
+1.5	1.04	6.75

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

7 Nov	Real Madrid III – Real Valladolid II
8 Nov	Getafe II – SS Reyes
8 Nov	Guadalajara – Navalcarnero
8 Nov	Numancia – Calvo Sotelo
8 Nov	Atlético Paso – RSD Alcalá
8 Nov	Albacete II – Gimnástica Segoviana

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

1 Nov	Real Ávila 0-1 Real Madrid III
1 Nov	Conquense 2-2 RSD Alcalá
1 Nov	Calvo Sotelo 1-2 Guadalajara
1 Nov	SS Reyes 2-1 Albacete II
1 Nov	Salamanca UDS 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana
1 Nov	Real Valladolid II 4-3 Getafe II