Conquense vs RSD Alcalá• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#12.6:1.216:00Today0.4:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70DAFX3.60BFR25.25BVCMargin at best5.6%Books8Markets45Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.70	3.55	4.80	7.8%
BetVictor	1.65	3.50	5.25	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.68	3.40	5.12	8.5%
Betano	1.67	3.55	4.75	9.1%
Betfair	1.62	3.60	5.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.64	3.40	5.01	10.3%
Bet365	1.67	3.40	4.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.40	4.90	11.5%
Best of all books	1.70	3.60	5.25	5.6%
Average	1.66	3.47	4.92	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ConquenseRSD Alcalá

Last 10#1Table position#142.13Points per game1.007Form pts · last 522.6Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 51.687Attack rating1357Defence rating4383Form rating1750H2H rating5088Goals model1269Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 03:01 UTC

Conquense

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

29 Oct	H	Castellón	0-3	L
25 Oct	A	Real Madrid III	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Atlético Paso	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Albacete II	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	A Madrid III	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	Navalcarnero	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Salamanca UDS	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Getafe II	2-2	D
31 May	H	UD Ourense	0-2	L

RSD Alcalá

2W 3D 5L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

27 Oct	H	Las Palmas	1-3	L
24 Oct	H	SS Reyes	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Real Madrid III	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Calvo Sotelo	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Navalcarnero	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Salamanca UDS	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Gimnástica Segoviana	5-2	W
13 Sep	A	Guadalajara	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	CF Talavera	3-0	W
19 Aug	H	Gimnástica Segoviana	1-1	D

Head to head

1Conquense wins

1draws

1RSD Alcalá wins

3 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Conquense

11 Jan 2026Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Conquense2-1RSD Alcalá
14 Sep 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	RSD Alcalá2-1Conquense
19 Aug 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	RSD Alcalá0-0Conquense

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 1 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Conquense sit 1st with 17 points from 8 games, while RSD Alcalá are 14th with 8 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	8	5	2	1	18:9	+9	17
2	A Madrid III	9	5	2	2	12:9	+3	17
3	SS Reyes	8	5	1	2	13:8	+5	16
4	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
5	Real Valladolid II	8	4	2	2	18:10	+8	14
6	Numancia	8	3	4	1	8:4	+4	13
7	Salamanca UDS	8	4	1	3	12:10	+2	13
8	Navalcarnero	8	3	3	2	13:12	+1	12
9	Gimnástica Segoviana	8	2	4	2	14:13	+1	10
10	Atlético Tordesillas	8	2	3	3	12:11	+1	9
11	Atlético Paso	8	2	3	3	9:9	0	9
12	Guadalajara	8	2	3	3	16:17	-1	9
13	Albacete II	8	2	3	3	11:22	-11	9
14	RSD Alcalá	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8
15	Real Ávila	8	2	1	5	7:14	-7	7
16	Calvo Sotelo	8	1	3	4	5:12	-7	6
17	Getafe II	8	0	5	3	8:13	-5	5
18	Real Madrid III	8	0	5	3	1:6	-5	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X26%3.48219%4.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.66 +1.2%X3.51 → 3.48 -0.9%24.95 → 4.92 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.12	1.68	6.7%
BetVictor	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Betano	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Best of all books	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Average	2.09	1.67	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.00	1.71	8.5%
Betano	2.05	1.67	8.7%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.00	1.69	9.2%
Best of all books	2.05	1.71	7.3%
Average	2.01	1.69	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Conquense 45%Draw 45%RSD Alcalá 10%

The statistical model rates Conquense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and RSD Alcalá at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.48 | 4.92, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Conquense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Conquense are 1st (17 pts, 18-9 goals), RSD Alcalá 14th (8 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Conquense averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; RSD Alcalá averaged 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Conquense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.48	4.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.10	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.07	5.47

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.41	4.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.59	17.0	48.7
HT X	4.29	5.03	10.0
HT 2	25.3	17.8	8.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	7.70	2.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.20
1.5	1.35	2.86
2.5	2.09	1.67
3.5	3.57	1.22
4.5	6.85	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.19	3.76
1.75	1.42	2.56
2	1.56	2.21
2.25	1.83	1.86
2.75	2.38	1.49
3	2.96	1.32
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.60	1.16
4	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.84	1.34
-1.25	2.49	1.44
-1	2.10	1.68
-0.75	1.84	1.86
-0.5	1.66	2.13
-0.25	1.42	2.55

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.60	1.08
-2.25	5.60	1.11
-2	4.85	1.11
-1.75	3.42	1.23
0	1.22	3.64
+0.25	1.16	4.10
+1	1.02	9.20
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

1 Nov	Real Ávila – Real Madrid III
1 Nov	Salamanca UDS – Gimnástica Segoviana
1 Nov	Calvo Sotelo – Guadalajara
1 Nov	SS Reyes – Albacete II

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

25 Oct	Guadalajara 4-4 Real Valladolid II
25 Oct	CF Talavera 2-1 Salamanca UDS
25 Oct	Real Madrid III 0-2 Conquense
25 Oct	Getafe II 2-2 Calvo Sotelo
24 Oct	Atlético Paso 3-0 Real Ávila
24 Oct	RSD Alcalá 1-2 SS Reyes