Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#150.4:0.616:00Today2.8:1.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.18DAFX3.60BFR23.18PINMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets43Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.13	3.65	3.00	7.7%
Pinnacle	2.07	3.44	3.20	8.6%
Betano	2.10	3.50	3.05	9.0%
1xBet	2.04	3.38	3.13	10.6%
Betfair	2.00	3.60	3.00	11.1%
William Hill	2.10	3.20	3.10	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.02	3.38	3.06	11.8%
Bet365	2.05	3.50	2.80	13.1%
Best of all books	2.13	3.65	3.20	5.6%
Average	2.06	3.46	3.04	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real Madrid IIIReal Valladolid II

Last 10#15Table position#30.89Points per game1.896Form pts · last 5110.4Goals for · last 52.80.6Goals against · last 51.813Attack rating8875Defence rating2535Form rating65100H2H rating023Goals model7737Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Real Madrid III

2W 5D 3L · goals 3:6 · per match 0.3 for, 0.6 against

1 Nov	A	Real Ávila	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Conquense	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	RSD Alcalá	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Atlético Tordesillas	0-0	D
7 Oct	H	Guadalajara	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Atlético Paso	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	A Madrid III	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	CF Talavera	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Albacete II	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	1-0	W

Real Valladolid II

5W 3D 2L · goals 25:16 · per match 2.5 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	H	Getafe II	4-3	W
25 Oct	A	Guadalajara	4-4	D
18 Oct	H	Real Ávila	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Calvo Sotelo	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	CF Talavera	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Albacete II	6-1	W
12 Sep	A	SS Reyes	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Navalcarnero	1-0	W
12 Aug	H	Leganés II	3-3	D

Head to head

1Real Madrid III wins

0draws

0Real Valladolid II wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Real Madrid III

8 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Real Valladolid II0-1Real Madrid III

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 7 Nov 12:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Real Madrid III sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, while Real Valladolid II are 3rd with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SS Reyes	9	6	1	2	15:9	+6	19
2	Conquense	9	5	3	1	20:11	+9	18
3	Real Valladolid II	9	5	2	2	22:13	+9	17
4	A Madrid III	9	5	2	2	12:9	+3	17
5	Numancia	9	4	4	1	10:5	+5	16
6	Salamanca UDS	9	5	1	3	13:10	+3	16
7	Navalcarnero	9	4	3	2	16:13	+3	15
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	9	3	3	3	18:18	0	12
10	Gimnástica Segoviana	9	2	4	3	14:14	0	10
11	Atlético Tordesillas	9	2	3	4	13:13	0	9
12	RSD Alcalá	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9
13	Atlético Paso	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9
14	Albacete II	9	2	3	4	12:24	-12	9
15	Real Madrid III	9	1	5	3	2:6	-4	8
16	Real Ávila	9	2	1	6	7:15	-8	7
17	Calvo Sotelo	9	1	3	5	6:14	-8	6
18	Getafe II	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.09X27%3.43230%3.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.28 → 2.09 -8.3%X3.42 → 3.43 +0.3%22.64 → 3.03 +14.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.19	6.3%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.61	2.18	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.34	9.4%
Best of all books	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Average	1.51	2.36	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Madrid III 35%Draw 35%Real Valladolid II 30%

The statistical model rates Real Madrid III at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Real Valladolid II at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.43 | 3.03, which imply roughly 47.8% for a Real Madrid III win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Real Madrid III are 15th (8 pts, 2-6 goals), Real Valladolid II 3rd (17 pts, 22-13).

Over their last five matches, Real Madrid III averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Real Valladolid II averaged 2.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real Madrid III or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.06	3.46	3.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.66	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
2.57	2.27	3.52

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.60	3.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.23	14.3	26.3
HT X	5.57	6.00	7.30
HT 2	20.0	14.7	4.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	13.9	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.1
1.5	1.16	4.25
2.5	1.61	2.18
3.5	2.46	1.46
4.5	4.23	1.16
5.5	7.85	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.80
1.75	1.18	3.92
2	1.24	3.48
2.25	1.42	2.57
2.75	1.75	1.94
3	1.97	1.72
3.25	2.23	1.55
3.75	2.86	1.34
4	3.68	1.20
4.25	3.80	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.96	1.32
-0.75	2.36	1.50
-0.5	2.05	1.72
-0.25	1.81	1.91
0	1.53	2.32
+0.25	1.39	2.67

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.80	1.02
-2	6.90	1.04
-1.75	4.20	1.18
-1.5	3.74	1.19
-1.25	3.34	1.24
+0.5	1.33	3.11
+0.75	1.19	3.82
+1	1.08	5.55
+1.5	1.05	6.50

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

8 Nov	Getafe II – SS Reyes
8 Nov	Numancia – Calvo Sotelo
8 Nov	Guadalajara – Navalcarnero
8 Nov	Atlético Paso – RSD Alcalá
8 Nov	Albacete II – Gimnástica Segoviana
8 Nov	CF Talavera – Conquense

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

1 Nov	Real Ávila 0-1 Real Madrid III
1 Nov	Conquense 2-2 RSD Alcalá
1 Nov	Calvo Sotelo 1-2 Guadalajara
1 Nov	SS Reyes 2-1 Albacete II
1 Nov	Salamanca UDS 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana
1 Nov	Real Valladolid II 4-3 Getafe II