Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#81.8:1.611:00Today1.8:1.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX3.50BFR24.30DAFMargin at best6.5%Books9Markets43Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.76	3.50	4.40	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.78	3.42	4.34	8.5%
Betano	1.78	3.45	4.25	8.7%
BetVictor	1.80	3.40	4.20	8.8%
Betfair	1.73	3.50	4.20	10.2%
1xBet	1.75	3.35	4.26	10.5%
Bet365	1.73	3.40	4.20	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.73	3.35	4.15	11.8%
William Hill	1.80	3.20	4.00	11.8%
Best of all books	1.80	3.50	4.40	6.9%
Average	1.76	3.40	4.22	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NavalcarneroAtlético Paso

Last 10#8Table position#111.50Points per game1.139Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5043Defence rating5750Form rating5075H2H rating2539Goals model6155Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 22:40 UTC

Navalcarnero

5W 4D 1L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	A	Numancia	3-2	W
18 Oct	A	Salamanca UDS	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Recreativo Huelva	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	A Madrid III	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	RSD Alcalá	3-1	W
30 Sep	H	Real Murcia	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	Conquense	1-3	L
23 Sep	A	Saguntino	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Atlético Tordesillas	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Real Ávila	2-1	W

Atlético Paso

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

27 Oct	H	Cordoba	3-1	W
24 Oct	H	Real Ávila	3-0	W
18 Oct	A	Conquense	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	CF Talavera	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Real Madrid III	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Albacete II	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	A Madrid III	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Calvo Sotelo	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Numancia	0-2	L
10 May	A	Herbania	1-1	D

Head to head

2Navalcarnero wins

3draws

1Atlético Paso wins

6 meetings · goals 6:4 · last 6: 2W 3D 1L for Navalcarnero

30 Mar 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Navalcarnero1-0Atlético Paso
17 Nov 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Atlético Paso1-1Navalcarnero
11 Feb 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Navalcarnero1-1Atlético Paso
1 Oct 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Atlético Paso0-0Navalcarnero
14 May 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Navalcarnero2-0Atlético Paso
15 Jan 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Atlético Paso2-1Navalcarnero

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 1 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Navalcarnero sit 8th with 12 points from 8 games, while Atlético Paso are 11th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	8	5	2	1	18:9	+9	17
2	A Madrid III	9	5	2	2	12:9	+3	17
3	SS Reyes	8	5	1	2	13:8	+5	16
4	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
5	Real Valladolid II	8	4	2	2	18:10	+8	14
6	Numancia	8	3	4	1	8:4	+4	13
7	Salamanca UDS	8	4	1	3	12:10	+2	13
8	Navalcarnero	8	3	3	2	13:12	+1	12
9	Gimnástica Segoviana	8	2	4	2	14:13	+1	10
10	Atlético Tordesillas	8	2	3	3	12:11	+1	9
11	Atlético Paso	8	2	3	3	9:9	0	9
12	Guadalajara	8	2	3	3	16:17	-1	9
13	Albacete II	8	2	3	3	11:22	-11	9
14	RSD Alcalá	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8
15	Real Ávila	8	2	1	5	7:14	-7	7
16	Calvo Sotelo	8	1	3	4	5:12	-7	6
17	Getafe II	8	0	5	3	8:13	-5	5
18	Real Madrid III	8	0	5	3	1:6	-5	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.76X27%3.38222%4.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.79	5.6%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.93	1.74	9.3%
Best of all books	2.01	1.85	3.8%
Average	1.95	1.78	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.83	1.86	8.4%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Average	1.82	1.85	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Navalcarnero 45%Draw 45%Atlético Paso 10%

The statistical model rates Navalcarnero at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Paso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.38 | 4.19, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Navalcarnero win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Navalcarnero are 8th (12 pts, 13-12 goals), Atlético Paso 11th (9 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Navalcarnero averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Atlético Paso averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Navalcarnero or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	3.40	4.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.92	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.35	2.11	4.74

2nd half

1	X	2
2.14	2.42	4.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.72	15.5	40.0
HT X	4.65	5.23	9.25
HT 2	22.3	16.2	6.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	9.05	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.05
1.5	1.29	3.09
2.5	1.95	1.78
3.5	3.22	1.27
4.5	5.85	1.09
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.18	4.30
1.75	1.36	2.78
2	1.47	2.41
2.25	1.72	1.99
2.75	2.21	1.57
3	2.69	1.38
3.25	3.01	1.31
3.75	4.15	1.16
4	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.08	1.30
-1.25	2.74	1.37
-1	2.41	1.49
-0.75	1.97	1.75
-0.5	1.75	1.98
-0.25	1.52	2.30

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.45	1.05
-2	5.60	1.08
-1.75	3.92	1.18
0	1.29	3.10
+0.25	1.23	3.51
+0.75	1.13	5.20
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.85

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

1 Nov	Real Valladolid II – Getafe II
1 Nov	Real Ávila – Real Madrid III
1 Nov	Salamanca UDS – Gimnástica Segoviana
1 Nov	Calvo Sotelo – Guadalajara
1 Nov	SS Reyes – Albacete II
1 Nov	Conquense – RSD Alcalá

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

25 Oct	Guadalajara 4-4 Real Valladolid II
25 Oct	CF Talavera 2-1 Salamanca UDS
25 Oct	Real Madrid III 0-2 Conquense
25 Oct	Getafe II 2-2 Calvo Sotelo
24 Oct	Atlético Paso 3-0 Real Ávila
24 Oct	RSD Alcalá 1-2 SS Reyes