Poblense vs Peña Deportiva• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#141.2:1.411:00Today1.0:1.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.30BFR24.13PINMargin at best5.0%Books8Markets43Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.94	3.20	3.95	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.19	4.13	9.3%
Betano	1.95	3.25	3.65	9.4%
Bet365	1.90	3.25	3.70	10.4%
Betfair	1.85	3.30	3.80	10.7%
1xBet	1.84	3.14	4.08	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.14	3.98	11.9%
William Hill	1.91	2.90	3.90	12.5%
Best of all books	1.95	3.30	4.13	5.8%
Average	1.88	3.17	3.90	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PoblensePeña Deportiva

Last 10#14Table position#171.00Points per game0.577Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.655Attack rating4553Defence rating4770Form rating300H2H rating073Goals model2763Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:01 UTC

Poblense

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Yeclano	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Castellón II	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Atlético Baleares	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Valencia II	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Alcoyano	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Castellonense	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	La Nucía	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Atlético Baleares	1-0	W
31 May	H	Águilas	0-0	D
24 May	A	Águilas	0-0	D

Peña Deportiva

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

19 Oct	H	Ucam Murcia	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Orihuela	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Valencia II	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Elche II	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Yeclano	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Ibiza	0-5	L
20 Jun	H	Arenas Armilla	5-2	W
14 Jun	A	Arenas Armilla	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Poblense and Peña Deportiva on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 24 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Poblense sit 14th with 7 points from 7 games, while Peña Deportiva are 17th with 4 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	7	5	0	2	15:6	+9	15
2	Castellonense	7	5	0	2	12:6	+6	15
3	Deportiva Minera	7	4	2	1	10:6	+4	14
4	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
5	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
6	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
7	Orihuela	8	3	2	3	10:15	-5	11
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Yeclano	8	2	4	2	7:8	-1	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	7	2	3	2	8:10	-2	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Valencia II	7	1	2	4	7:12	-5	5
17	Peña Deportiva	7	1	1	5	6:10	-4	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X29%3.16223%3.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.96 → 1.89 -3.6%X3.20 → 3.16 -1.3%23.56 → 3.90 +9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.12	1.69	6.3%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Best of all books	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Average	2.09	1.67	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.88	1.81	8.4%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.78	9.4%
Best of all books	1.91	1.81	7.6%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Poblense 45%Draw 45%Peña Deportiva 10%

The statistical model rates Poblense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Peña Deportiva at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.16 | 3.90, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Poblense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Poblense are 14th (7 pts, 7-10 goals), Peña Deportiva 17th (4 pts, 6-10).

Over their last five matches, Poblense averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Peña Deportiva averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Poblense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.17	3.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.79	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.50	2.02	4.58

2nd half

1	X	2
2.27	2.34	4.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.03	15.5	36.7
HT X	4.97	4.83	8.17
HT 2	26.0	15.8	5.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	7.60	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.10
1.5	1.35	2.86
2.5	2.09	1.67
3.5	3.50	1.23
4.5	6.85	1.06
5.5	19.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.05
1.25	1.19	3.74
1.75	1.42	2.57
2	1.56	2.22
2.25	1.83	1.86
2.75	2.37	1.50
3	2.93	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.60	1.16
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.95	1.32
-1	2.61	1.42
-0.75	2.09	1.63
-0.5	1.90	1.87
-0.25	1.58	2.18
0	1.34	2.89

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.75	1.04
-2	5.95	1.07
-1.75	4.20	1.16
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.25	3.40
+0.5	1.27	3.51
+0.75	1.18	4.30
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

25 Oct	Real Murcia II – Lorca Deportiva
25 Oct	Ucam Murcia – Cieza
25 Oct	Atlético Baleares – Alcoyano
25 Oct	Castellón II – La Nucía
25 Oct	Mallorca II – Elche II

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

24 Oct	Orihuela 1-1 Valencia II
24 Oct	Intercity 0-2 Castellonense
24 Oct	Deportiva Minera 2-0 Yeclano
19 Oct	Peña Deportiva 0-1 Ucam Murcia
18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense