Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#160.6:1.63-1FT11/101.2:2.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70WHX3.35BTN22.42BTNMargin at best8.2%Books10Markets41Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.70	3.30	2.45	8.2%
Dafabet	2.65	3.25	2.50	8.5%
Betano	2.60	3.35	2.47	8.8%
Pinnacle	2.63	3.27	2.47	9.1%
Betfair	2.60	3.30	2.38	10.8%
1xBet	2.67	3.16	2.34	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.67	3.16	2.34	11.8%
Bet365	2.50	3.40	2.35	12.0%
William Hill	2.62	3.00	2.45	12.3%
SBO	2.42	2.94	2.33	18.3%
Best of all books	2.70	3.40	2.50	6.4%
Average	2.61	3.21	2.41	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Peña DeportivaOrihuela

Last 10#16Table position#90.67Points per game1.434Form pts · last 510.6Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 52.233Attack rating6758Defence rating4213Form rating8820H2H rating8017Goals model8329Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Peña Deportiva

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

11 Oct	H	Orihuela	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Valencia II	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Elche II	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Yeclano	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Ibiza	0-5	L
20 Jun	H	Arenas Armilla	5-2	W
14 Jun	A	Arenas Armilla	1-1	D
7 Jun	A	Manacor	3-1	W

Orihuela

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:23 · per match 1.1 for, 2.3 against

11 Oct	A	Peña Deportiva	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Cieza	0-4	L
26 Sep	H	Castellón II	1-4	L
20 Sep	A	Deportiva Minera	2-2	D
16 Sep	H	Real Murcia	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	Lorca Deportiva	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	San Fernando CD	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Real Murcia II	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	Cieza	0-1	L
12 Aug	A	FC Cartagena	0-3	L

Head to head

0Peña Deportiva wins

1draws

1Orihuela wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Peña Deportiva

21 Feb 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Peña Deportiva1-1Orihuela
29 Nov 2020Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Orihuela1-0Peña Deportiva

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 18 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Peña Deportiva sit 16th with 4 points from 6 games, while Orihuela are 9th with 10 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	6	4	0	2	14:6	+8	12
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.61X28%3.21237%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.47 → 2.64 +6.9%X3.29 → 3.23 -1.8%22.46 → 2.38 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.93	5.9%
SBO	1.87	1.89	6.4%
Betano	1.83	1.88	7.8%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Average	1.84	1.89	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
Betano	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.07	9.3%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.65	2.08	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Peña Deportiva 10%Draw 45%Orihuela 45%

The statistical model rated Peña Deportiva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Orihuela at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.21 | 2.41, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Peña Deportiva are 16th (4 pts, 6-9 goals), Orihuela 9th (10 pts, 9-14).

Over their last five matches, Peña Deportiva averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Orihuela averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Orihuela.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.61	3.21	2.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.39	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.91	1.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
3.21	2.13	2.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	10.6	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.52
1.5	1.24	3.42
2.5	1.84	1.89
3.5	3.00	1.31
4.5	5.30	1.11
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.15	4.40
1.75	1.28	3.17
2	1.37	2.74
2.25	1.60	2.16
2.75	2.05	1.67
3	2.43	1.46
3.25	2.72	1.37
3.75	3.74	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.59	1.45
-0.25	2.29	1.54
0	1.95	1.77
+0.25	1.66	2.05
+0.5	1.51	2.43
+0.75	1.34	2.86

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.90	1.01
-1.5	5.75	1.07
-1.25	4.60	1.13
-1	4.75	1.12
-0.75	3.24	1.27
+1	1.21	3.75
+1.25	1.14	4.35
+1.5	1.12	4.80
+1.75	1.11	4.90
+2	1.02	8.75
+2.5	1.01	9.50

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano