Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#170.5:1.33-2FT04/100.3:1.3#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.87BTNX3.871XB24.041XBMargin at best4.1%Books4Markets40Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.74	4.04	4.42	4.8%
Betfair	1.67	3.60	4.40	10.4%
Bet365	1.70	3.50	4.10	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.60	4.25	11.9%
Best of all books	1.74	4.04	4.42	4.8%
Average	1.69	3.69	4.29	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Valencia IIPeña Deportiva

Last 10#17Table position#160.67Points per game0.673Form pts · last 540.5Goals for · last 50.31.3Goals against · last 51.367Attack rating3350Defence rating5050Form rating5040H2H rating60100Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Valencia II

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	Elche II	1-4	L
4 Oct	H	Peña Deportiva	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Poblense	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Castellón II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Ucam Murcia	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Mallorca II	1-1	D
3 May	A	Olot	0-2	L
26 Apr	H	Espanyol II	3-0	W
18 Apr	A	Castellón II	4-0	W
12 Apr	H	Sant Andreu	3-1	W

Peña Deportiva

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

11 Oct	H	Orihuela	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Valencia II	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Elche II	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Yeclano	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Ibiza	0-5	L
20 Jun	H	Arenas Armilla	5-2	W
14 Jun	A	Arenas Armilla	1-1	D
7 Jun	A	Manacor	3-1	W

Head to head

2Valencia II wins

3draws

3Peña Deportiva wins

8 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 8: 2W 3D 3L for Valencia II

16 Feb 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Valencia II2-0Peña Deportiva
6 Oct 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Peña Deportiva3-0Valencia II
4 Feb 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Valencia II1-0Peña Deportiva
24 Sep 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Peña Deportiva2-1Valencia II
7 May 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Peña Deportiva1-0Valencia II
8 Jan 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Valencia II0-0Peña Deportiva
24 Jan 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Peña Deportiva1-1Valencia II
25 Oct 2020Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Primera División RFEF - Group 3	Valencia II0-0Peña Deportiva

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 19 Oct 13:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Valencia II sit 17th with 4 points from 6 games, while Peña Deportiva are 16th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	6	4	0	2	14:6	+8	12
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X26%3.50224%3.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 1.82 +7.7%X3.68 → 3.50 -4.9%24.29 → 3.86 -10.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.83	1.93	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.76	1.94	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Best of all books	1.76	1.94	8.4%
Average	1.76	1.92	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valencia II 35%Draw 35%Peña Deportiva 30%

The statistical model rated Valencia II at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Peña Deportiva at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.50 | 3.86, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Valencia II win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Valencia II are 17th (4 pts, 6-11 goals), Peña Deportiva 16th (4 pts, 6-9).

Over their last five matches, Valencia II averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Peña Deportiva averaged 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Valencia II or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.68	4.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.97	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.25	4.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	9.65	2.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.5
1.5	1.25	3.48
2.5	1.83	1.93
3.5	2.95	1.34
4.5	5.72	1.09

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.85
1.25	1.16	4.72
1.75	1.28	3.05
2	1.38	2.73
2.25	1.61	2.19
2.75	1.98	1.67
3	2.35	1.50
3.25	2.67	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.63	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.33
-1.25	2.51	1.43
-1	2.21	1.56
-0.75	1.86	1.82
-0.25	1.45	2.41
0	1.26	3.20

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.50	1.08
-2.25	5.18	1.10
-2	4.75	1.12
-1.75	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.21	3.58
+1	1.01	8.40

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano