Zamora vs Real Avilés• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#160.6:1.413:1515/11 · Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora2.8:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82BTNX3.61PIN24.20BFRMargin at best6.5%Books8Markets54Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.80	3.60	4.20	7.1%
Dafabet	1.79	3.60	4.10	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.81	3.61	3.94	8.3%
Betano	1.82	3.50	4.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.74	3.50	4.08	10.6%
Bet365	1.73	3.50	4.00	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.72	3.50	3.98	11.8%
William Hill	1.80	3.30	3.80	12.2%
Best of all books	1.82	3.61	4.20	6.5%
Average	1.78	3.51	4.01	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ZamoraReal Avilés

Last 10#16Table position#41.09Points per game1.554Form pts · last 5120.6Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 51.018Attack rating8242Defence rating5814Form rating8660H2H rating4027Goals model7337Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Zamora

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

7 Nov	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	0-1	L
1 Nov	H	Deportivo La Coruña II	1-3	L
29 Oct	A	Coruxo	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Cacereño	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Ponferradina	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Mirandes	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	CD Coria	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Extremadura 1924	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Lugo	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Arenas Getxo	2-1	W

Real Avilés

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

6 Nov	H	Extremadura 1924	5-2	W
31 Oct	A	Real Unión	3-0	W
24 Oct	H	UD Logroñés	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	UD Ourense	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	Ponferradina	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Lugo	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Barakaldo	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	CD Coria	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Unionistas de Salamanca	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Athletic Club II	1-2	L

Head to head

3Zamora wins

1draws

2Real Avilés wins

6 meetings · goals 8:6 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Zamora

8 Mar 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Real Avilés0-2Zamora
12 Oct 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Zamora2-3Real Avilés
24 Mar 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Real Avilés0-1Zamora
12 Nov 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Zamora1-0Real Avilés
7 May 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Real Avilés2-1Zamora
8 Jan 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Zamora1-1Real Avilés

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 13 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Zamora sit 16th with 12 points from 11 games, while Real Avilés are 4th with 17 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	11	9	1	1	19:9	+10	28
2	UD Logroñés	11	7	2	2	22:14	+8	23
3	Pontevedra	11	5	3	3	13:11	+2	18
4	Real Avilés	11	5	2	4	23:15	+8	17
5	Mirandes	11	5	2	4	13:12	+1	17
6	Racing Ferrol	11	5	2	4	10:9	+1	17
7	Extremadura 1924	11	5	1	5	21:15	+6	16
8	Mérida AD	11	5	1	5	18:14	+4	16
9	Athletic Club II	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
10	Cacereño	11	4	3	4	9:9	0	15
11	Ponferradina	11	3	6	2	7:7	0	15
12	Barakaldo	11	3	5	3	10:10	0	14
13	Real Unión	11	3	4	4	19:19	0	13
14	Cultural Leonesa	11	3	4	4	11:11	0	13
15	Unionistas de Salamanca	11	4	1	6	13:18	-5	13
16	Zamora	11	3	3	5	11:13	-2	12
17	CD Coria	11	3	3	5	14:17	-3	12
18	Deportivo La Coruña II	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11
19	Arenas Getxo	11	3	2	6	10:23	-13	11
20	UD Ourense	11	2	2	7	4:16	-12	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.78X26%3.51223%4.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 1.78 -16.8%X3.30 → 3.51 +6.4%23.03 → 4.01 +32.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.94	5.6%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Average	1.82	1.91	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.73	1.98	8.3%
Betano	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
William Hill	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.73	1.96	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zamora 10%Draw 45%Real Avilés 45%

The statistical model rates Zamora at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Avilés at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.51 | 4.01, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Zamora are 16th (12 pts, 11-13 goals), Real Avilés 4th (17 pts, 23-15).

Over their last five matches, Zamora averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Real Avilés averaged 2.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Real Avilés.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.78	3.51	4.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.90	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.18	4.51

2nd half

1	X	2
2.13	2.50	4.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.74	14.5	36.5
HT X	4.64	5.38	8.80
HT 2	23.0	14.9	6.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	10.1	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.10
1.5	1.24	3.50
2.5	1.82	1.91
3.5	2.97	1.33
4.5	5.24	1.11
5.5	10.5	1.04
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.12	4.66
1.75	1.29	3.13
2	1.37	2.74
2.25	1.59	2.18
2.75	2.01	1.69
3	2.36	1.49
3.25	2.67	1.39
3.75	3.51	1.22
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	5.05	1.10
5	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.69	1.40
-1	2.36	1.52
-0.75	1.97	1.74
-0.5	1.79	1.98
-0.25	1.54	2.30
0	1.33	2.98

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	5.90	1.09
-2.25	5.58	1.10
-2	5.15	1.12
-1.75	3.70	1.22
-1.5	3.00	1.33
+0.25	1.26	3.41
+0.5	1.23	4.10
+0.75	1.12	5.13
+1	1.07	6.97
+1.25	1.06	7.23
+1.5	1.03	8.67
+1.75	1.01	8.82

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

13 Nov	Ponferradina – Cacereño
14 Nov	Athletic Club II – Racing Ferrol
14 Nov	Real Unión – Cultural Leonesa
14 Nov	UD Ourense – Mérida AD
14 Nov	CD Coria – Unionistas de Salamanca
14 Nov	Deportivo La Coruña II – Barakaldo

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

8 Nov	Mirandes 0-2 CD Coria
8 Nov	Mérida AD 2-0 Athletic Club II
8 Nov	Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Ponferradina
8 Nov	Arenas Getxo 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II
7 Nov	Unionistas de Salamanca 1-0 Zamora
7 Nov	Pontevedra 1-0 UD Ourense