Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#121.8:0.617:15Today · Estadio Romano Jose Fouto1.2:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.41DAFX3.50BFR22.92PINMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets63Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.41	3.40	2.80	6.6%
BetVictor	2.38	3.40	2.80	7.1%
Betfair	2.30	3.50	2.80	7.8%
Pinnacle	2.35	3.16	2.92	8.4%
Betano	2.40	3.25	2.72	9.2%
1xBet	2.31	3.12	2.83	10.7%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.12	2.76	12.0%
Bet365	2.35	3.20	2.62	12.0%
William Hill	2.30	3.00	2.80	12.5%
SBO	2.29	3.00	2.50	17.0%
Best of all books	2.41	3.50	2.92	4.3%
Average	2.34	3.22	2.75	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mérida ADAthletic Club II

Last 10#12Table position#81.30Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 51.660Attack rating4073Defence rating2771Form rating2920H2H rating8034Goals model6650Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Mérida AD

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	A	Lugo	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	CD Coria	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Arenas Getxo	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Pontevedra	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Cacereño	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	UD Logroñés	3-5	L
19 Sep	A	Ponferradina	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Mirandes	3-4	L
6 Sep	A	Cultural Leonesa	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Deportivo La Coruña II	1-0	W

Athletic Club II

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Cacereño	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	CD Coria	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Real Unión	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Extremadura 1924	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Arenas Getxo	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Deportivo La Coruña II	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Pontevedra	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Real Avilés	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Zamora	1-1	D

Head to head

0Mérida AD wins

1draws

1Athletic Club II wins

2 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Mérida AD

20 Mar 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Athletic Club II1-1Mérida AD
19 Dec 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Mérida AD2-3Athletic Club II

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 8 Nov 13:01 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Mérida AD sit 12th with 13 points from 10 games, while Athletic Club II are 8th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	11	9	1	1	19:9	+10	28
2	UD Logroñés	11	7	2	2	22:14	+8	23
3	Pontevedra	11	5	3	3	13:11	+2	18
4	Real Avilés	11	5	2	4	23:15	+8	17
5	Mirandes	10	5	2	3	13:10	+3	17
6	Racing Ferrol	11	5	2	4	10:9	+1	17
7	Extremadura 1924	11	5	1	5	21:15	+6	16
8	Athletic Club II	10	4	3	3	17:13	+4	15
9	Cacereño	11	4	3	4	9:9	0	15
10	Barakaldo	11	3	5	3	10:10	0	14
11	Ponferradina	10	3	5	2	6:6	0	14
12	Mérida AD	10	4	1	5	16:14	+2	13
13	Real Unión	11	3	4	4	19:19	0	13
14	Unionistas de Salamanca	11	4	1	6	13:18	-5	13
15	Cultural Leonesa	10	3	3	4	10:10	0	12
16	Zamora	11	3	3	5	11:13	-2	12
17	Deportivo La Coruña II	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11
18	CD Coria	10	2	3	5	12:17	-5	9
19	UD Ourense	11	2	2	7	4:16	-12	8
20	Arenas Getxo	10	2	2	6	8:22	-14	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.34X28%3.22233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.09 → 2.34 +12.0%X3.38 → 3.22 -4.7%23.06 → 2.76 -9.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.90	5.8%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
SBO	1.83	1.93	6.5%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.93	3.1%
Average	1.85	1.88	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.12	8.5%
Betano	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.09	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.15	2.1%
Average	1.67	2.07	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mérida AD 45%Draw 45%Athletic Club II 10%

The statistical model rates Mérida AD at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Athletic Club II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.22 | 2.76, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Mérida AD win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Mérida AD are 12th (13 pts, 16-14 goals), Athletic Club II 8th (15 pts, 17-13).

Over their last five matches, Mérida AD averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Athletic Club II averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mérida AD or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.22	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.50	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
2.95	2.10	3.32

2nd half

1	X	2
2.68	2.43	3.00

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.84	13.4	27.8
HT X	5.67	5.06	6.40
HT 2	26.0	13.6	4.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	10.2	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.17
1.5	1.25	3.52
2.5	1.85	1.88
3.5	3.05	1.33
4.5	5.92	1.09
5.5	11.7	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.65
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.12	4.71
1.75	1.30	3.11
2	1.39	2.68
2.25	1.61	2.15
2.75	2.03	1.67
3	2.39	1.48
3.25	2.67	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.80	1.12
4.25	5.15	1.10
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.79	1.38
-0.5	2.35	1.54
-0.25	2.02	1.71
0	1.71	2.03
+0.25	1.51	2.37
+0.5	1.42	2.71

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.7	1.02
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	6.00	1.09
-1.5	4.60	1.15
-1.25	4.17	1.18
-1	3.66	1.23
+0.75	1.27	3.33
+1	1.15	4.67
+1.25	1.12	5.10
+1.5	1.10	5.63
+1.75	1.05	7.33
+2	1.01	9.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.70
6.5	1.17	3.92
7.5	1.40	2.64
8.5	1.74	2.00
9.5	2.19	1.59
10.5	2.92	1.32
11.5	4.20	1.14
12.5	6.47	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	6.12
7	1.22	3.50
8	1.51	2.34
9	1.97	1.79
10	2.62	1.40
11	3.82	1.18
12	6.02	1.04

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

8 Nov	Cultural Leonesa – Ponferradina
8 Nov	Mirandes – CD Coria

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

8 Nov	Arenas Getxo 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II
7 Nov	Unionistas de Salamanca 1-0 Zamora
7 Nov	Pontevedra 1-0 UD Ourense
7 Nov	Barakaldo 2-0 Real Unión
7 Nov	Racing Ferrol 1-2 UD Logroñés
6 Nov	Real Avilés 5-2 Extremadura 1924