UD Ourense vs Mérida AD• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#200.4:1.215:30Tomorrow · Estadio de O Couto1.8:0.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.75BFRX3.30BFR22.01PINMargin at best6.7%Books8Markets48Rating28 · 73Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	3.75	3.30	2.00	7.0%
Dafabet	3.65	3.35	2.01	7.0%
Pinnacle	3.59	3.16	2.04	8.5%
Betano	3.60	3.20	2.00	9.0%
1xBet	3.61	3.14	1.96	10.6%
Bet365	3.60	3.20	1.91	11.4%
Marathonbet	3.52	3.14	1.94	11.8%
William Hill	3.40	2.90	2.00	13.9%
Best of all books	3.75	3.35	2.04	5.5%
Average	3.59	3.17	1.98	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UD OurenseMérida AD

Last 10#20Table position#80.73Points per game1.453Form pts · last 5100.4Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.618Attack rating8233Defence rating6738Form rating630H2H rating022Goals model7828Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 06:01 UTC

UD Ourense

2W 2D 6L · goals 5:16 · per match 0.5 for, 1.6 against

7 Nov	A	Pontevedra	0-1	L
1 Nov	H	Cultural Leonesa	1-0	W
29 Oct	A	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1-3	L
24 Oct	A	Arenas Getxo	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Real Avilés	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Barakaldo	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Real Unión	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Cacereño	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Unionistas de Salamanca	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	UD Logroñés	0-3	L

Mérida AD

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	H	Athletic Club II	2-0	W
1 Nov	A	Lugo	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	CD Coria	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Arenas Getxo	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Pontevedra	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Cacereño	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	UD Logroñés	3-5	L
19 Sep	A	Ponferradina	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Mirandes	3-4	L
6 Sep	A	Cultural Leonesa	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between UD Ourense and Mérida AD on record.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 13 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, UD Ourense sit 20th with 8 points from 11 games, while Mérida AD are 8th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	11	9	1	1	19:9	+10	28
2	UD Logroñés	11	7	2	2	22:14	+8	23
3	Pontevedra	11	5	3	3	13:11	+2	18
4	Real Avilés	11	5	2	4	23:15	+8	17
5	Mirandes	11	5	2	4	13:12	+1	17
6	Racing Ferrol	11	5	2	4	10:9	+1	17
7	Extremadura 1924	11	5	1	5	21:15	+6	16
8	Mérida AD	11	5	1	5	18:14	+4	16
9	Athletic Club II	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
10	Cacereño	11	4	3	4	9:9	0	15
11	Ponferradina	11	3	6	2	7:7	0	15
12	Barakaldo	11	3	5	3	10:10	0	14
13	Real Unión	11	3	4	4	19:19	0	13
14	Cultural Leonesa	11	3	4	4	11:11	0	13
15	Unionistas de Salamanca	11	4	1	6	13:18	-5	13
16	Zamora	11	3	3	5	11:13	-2	12
17	CD Coria	11	3	3	5	14:17	-3	12
18	Deportivo La Coruña II	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11
19	Arenas Getxo	11	3	2	6	10:23	-13	11
20	UD Ourense	11	2	2	7	4:16	-12	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.61X29%3.17246%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.36 → 3.61 +7.4%X3.26 → 3.17 -2.8%22.02 → 1.97 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.06	1.70	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.82	1.87	8.4%
Betano	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.84	9.3%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Best of all books	1.91	1.90	5.0%
Average	1.84	1.85	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UD Ourense 0%Draw 50%Mérida AD 50%

The statistical model rates UD Ourense at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Mérida AD at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.61 | 3.17 | 1.97, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: UD Ourense are 20th (8 pts, 4-16 goals), Mérida AD 8th (16 pts, 18-14).

Over their last five matches, UD Ourense averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Mérida AD averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mérida AD and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.59	3.17	1.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.73	1.23	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.58	1.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
4.17	2.04	2.61

2nd half

1	X	2
3.77	2.34	2.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.06	15.0	27.4
HT X	7.80	4.71	4.83
HT 2	38.8	14.3	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.42	8.55	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.00
1.5	1.32	3.08
2.5	2.06	1.70
3.5	3.59	1.24
4.5	6.85	1.06
5.5	13.8	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.11
1.75	1.39	2.67
2	1.52	2.30
2.25	1.79	1.90
2.75	2.33	1.51
3	2.89	1.34
3.25	3.21	1.27
3.75	4.50	1.13
4	6.40	1.05
4.25	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.02	1.32
0	2.60	1.44
+0.25	2.01	1.71
+0.5	1.77	2.00
+0.75	1.55	2.30
+1	1.34	2.94

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.73	1.03
-1.25	8.00	1.02
-1	7.13	1.06
-0.75	4.57	1.15
-0.5	3.60	1.22
+1.25	1.27	3.37
+1.5	1.21	3.78
+1.75	1.13	4.82
+2	1.03	7.50
+2.25	1.02	8.00
+2.5	1.03	8.33

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

13 Nov	Ponferradina – Cacereño
14 Nov	Athletic Club II – Racing Ferrol
14 Nov	Real Unión – Cultural Leonesa
14 Nov	CD Coria – Unionistas de Salamanca
14 Nov	Deportivo La Coruña II – Barakaldo
15 Nov	Extremadura 1924 – Pontevedra

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

8 Nov	Mérida AD 2-0 Athletic Club II
8 Nov	Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Ponferradina
8 Nov	Mirandes 0-2 CD Coria
8 Nov	Arenas Getxo 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II
7 Nov	Unionistas de Salamanca 1-0 Zamora
7 Nov	Pontevedra 1-0 UD Ourense