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Ponferradina vs Cacereño• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#110.4:0.81-2FTToday · Ponferrada0.6:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15DAFX3.00BFR24.06PINMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets62Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.153.003.657.2%
BetVictor2.103.003.757.6%
Betfair2.053.003.907.8%
Pinnacle2.142.694.068.5%
Betano2.122.953.559.2%
1xBet2.012.803.9810.6%
Marathonbet1.992.803.8611.9%
Bet3652.052.883.5012.1%
William Hill2.102.703.5013.2%
SBO2.052.773.3115.1%
Best of all books2.153.004.064.5%
Average2.082.863.7110.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PonferradinaCacereño
Last 10#11Table position#41.25Points per game1.505Form pts · last 540.4Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6060Defence rating4050Form rating5088H2H rating1373Goals model2765Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 03:00 UTC

Ponferradina

2W 6D 2L · goals 7:8 · per match 0.7 for, 0.8 against

8 NovACultural Leonesa1-1D
31 OctARacing Ferrol0-0D
27 OctALlanera1-1D
24 OctHBarakaldo0-0D
17 OctAZamora1-1D
11 OctHReal Avilés0-2L
4 OctHMirandes1-0W
27 SepAPontevedra1-1D
19 SepHMérida AD1-0W
13 SepADeportivo La Coruña II1-2L

Cacereño

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

6 NovHLugo0-1L
31 OctAAthletic Club II1-3L
24 OctHZamora1-0W
18 OctAPontevedra0-1L
10 OctHUnionistas de Salamanca1-1D
4 OctAMérida AD0-2L
27 SepAUD Ourense0-0D
20 SepHArenas Getxo3-0W
16 SepARecreativo Huelva1-2L
13 SepHCultural Leonesa1-0W

Head to head

2Ponferradina wins
1draws
0Cacereño wins

3 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Ponferradina

15 Mar 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Cacereño0-0Ponferradina
2 Nov 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Ponferradina2-0Cacereño
1 Dec 2021Copa del ReyCopa del ReyCacereño1-2Ponferradina

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 13 Nov 22:10 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Ponferradina sit 11th with 15 points from 12 games, while Cacereño are 4th with 18 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lugo1191119:9+1028
2UD Logroñés1172222:14+823
3Pontevedra1153313:11+218
4Cacereño1253411:10+118
5Real Avilés1152423:15+817
6Mirandes1152413:12+117
7Racing Ferrol1152410:9+117
8Extremadura 19241151521:15+616
9Mérida AD1151518:14+416
10Athletic Club II1143417:15+215
11Ponferradina123638:9-115
12Barakaldo1135310:10014
13Real Unión1134419:19013
14Cultural Leonesa1134411:11013
15Unionistas de Salamanca1141613:18-513
16Zamora1133511:13-212
17CD Coria1133514:17-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II1132612:19-711
19Arenas Getxo1132610:23-1311
20UD Ourense112274:16-128

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.08X32%2.86225%3.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 03:0013 Nov 13:301 2.08X 2.862 3.71
11.85 → 2.08 +12.4%X3.20 → 2.86 -10.6%24.04 → 3.71 -8.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair2.631.476.1%
Pinnacle2.681.437.2%
Bet3652.621.447.6%
Betano2.451.478.8%
BetVictor2.451.478.8%
1xBet2.521.449.1%
Marathonbet2.521.449.1%
Best of all books2.681.475.3%
Average2.551.458.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.201.656.1%
Bet3652.251.578.1%
BetVictor2.151.628.2%
1xBet2.141.628.5%
Marathonbet2.141.609.2%
Betano2.101.629.3%
William Hill2.101.629.3%
Best of all books2.251.655.1%
Average2.151.618.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ponferradina 45%Draw 45%Cacereño 10%

The statistical model rated Ponferradina at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cacereño at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 2.86 | 3.71, which imply roughly 48.1% for a Ponferradina win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Ponferradina are 11th (15 pts, 8-9 goals), Cacereño 4th (18 pts, 11-10).

Over their last five matches, Ponferradina averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Cacereño averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.082.863.71

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.661.33

Draw no bet

12
1.442.54

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.151.61

1st half

1X2
2.771.884.59

2nd half

1X2
2.492.144.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3015.044.7
HT X4.744.007.59
HT 233.915.46.48

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.736.282.64

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.096.15
1.51.502.40
2.52.551.45
3.55.011.13
4.59.851.03
5.515.01.01
6.521.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.085.45
11.124.80
1.251.313.03
1.751.642.10
21.901.80
2.252.211.57
2.753.061.30
34.051.16
3.254.501.13
3.756.401.05
48.701.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.281.29
-0.752.431.48
-0.52.081.69
-0.251.741.99
01.412.65
+0.251.293.19
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.701.04
-2.258.851.01
-28.071.04
-1.755.571.10
-1.54.151.18
-1.253.621.23
+0.51.253.73
+0.751.135.02
+11.019.00
+1.251.018.70
+1.51.059.13

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.70
6.51.173.92
7.51.402.64
8.51.742.00
9.52.191.59
10.52.921.32
11.54.201.14
12.56.471.03
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.046.12
71.223.50
81.512.34
91.971.79
102.621.40
113.821.18
126.021.04

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

14 NovAthletic Club II – Racing Ferrol
14 NovReal Unión – Cultural Leonesa
14 NovUD Ourense – Mérida AD
14 NovDeportivo La Coruña II – Barakaldo
14 NovCD Coria – Unionistas de Salamanca
15 NovExtremadura 1924 – Pontevedra

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

8 NovMirandes 0-2 CD Coria
8 NovMérida AD 2-0 Athletic Club II
8 NovCultural Leonesa 1-1 Ponferradina
8 NovArenas Getxo 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II
7 NovUnionistas de Salamanca 1-0 Zamora
7 NovPontevedra 1-0 UD Ourense