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Glenavon FC vs Institute• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#23.2:0.82-0FT07/11 · Mourneview Park, Lurgan2.0:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.50DAF25.25BVCMargin at best5.0%Books8Markets55Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 13:41 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.564.504.906.7%
Betano1.574.104.709.4%
BetVictor1.504.205.259.5%
Pinnacle1.504.194.9910.6%
1xBet1.474.255.1710.9%
Bet3651.534.204.5011.4%
Marathonbet1.464.254.9512.2%
William Hill1.533.804.8012.5%
Best of all books1.574.505.255.0%
Average1.514.194.9110.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Glenavon FCInstitute
Last 10#2Table position#62.14Points per game1.5013Form pts · last 553.2Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.262Attack rating3860Defence rating4062Form rating3885H2H rating1574Goals model2668Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 16:30 UTC

Glenavon FC

7W 2D 1L · goals 27:8 · per match 2.7 for, 0.8 against

7 NovHInstitute2-0W
31 OctAQueen's University4-2W
20 OctAStrabane Athletic5-0W
16 OctHH&W Welders4-0W
10 OctAAnnagh United1-1D
3 OctAMoyola Park3-0W
25 SepHLoughgall4-1W
19 SepHNewington Youth1-0W
12 SepABallinamallard United1-1D
5 SepADundela2-3L

Institute

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

7 NovAGlenavon FC0-2L
31 OctHMoyola Park1-1D
20 OctHLoughgall0-3L
16 OctAArds2-0W
10 OctHH&W Welders0-0D
3 OctHNewington Youth7-0W
26 SepAAnnagh United0-5L
19 SepHWarrenpoint Town2-0W
12 SepAArmagh City5-3W
5 SepARathfriland2-0W

Head to head

4Glenavon FC wins
3draws
0Institute wins

7 meetings · goals 21:11 · last 7: 4W 3D 0L for Glenavon FC

29 Jul 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsGlenavon FC2-0Institute
11 Jan 2020PremiershipPremiershipGlenavon FC2-2Institute
14 Dec 2019PremiershipPremiershipInstitute1-4Glenavon FC
26 Nov 2019PremiershipPremiershipGlenavon FC3-1Institute
29 Dec 2018PremiershipPremiershipGlenavon FC3-3Institute
1 Dec 2018PremiershipPremiershipGlenavon FC3-3Institute
15 Sep 2018PremiershipPremiershipInstitute1-4Glenavon FC

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 13 Nov 16:40 UTC

In the Championship table, Glenavon FC sit 2nd with 30 points from 14 games, while Institute are 6th with 21 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Annagh United15104137:16+2134
2Glenavon FC1493236:16+2030
3Newington Youth1492335:22+1329
4Queen's University1572628:19+923
5Newry City AFC1565423:24-123
6Institute1463523:20+321
7Ballinamallard United1563620:20021
8Loughgall1555521:26-520
9H&W Welders1461722:22019
10Warrenpoint Town1353522:21+118
11Ards1545616:20-417
12Rathfriland1451815:25-1016
13Moyola Park1443716:27-1115
14Dundela1325619:27-811
15Strabane Athletic1525813:25-1211
16Armagh City1516812:28-169

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.52X22%4.19219%4.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 17:407 Nov 08:001 1.51X 4.182 4.89
11.54 → 1.51 -1.9%X4.30 → 4.18 -2.8%24.60 → 4.89 +6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.492.408.8%
Betano1.472.458.8%
1xBet1.442.4310.6%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
Best of all books1.502.506.7%
Average1.472.449.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Betano1.532.308.8%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
William Hill1.572.209.1%
1xBet1.552.249.2%
Marathonbet1.552.2010.0%
Best of all books1.572.307.2%
Average1.552.259.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Glenavon FC 50%Draw 50%Institute 0%

The statistical model rated Glenavon FC at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Institute at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.19 | 4.91, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Glenavon FC win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Championship table: Glenavon FC are 2nd (30 pts, 36-16 goals), Institute 6th (21 pts, 23-20).

Over their last five matches, Glenavon FC averaged 3.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Institute averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Glenavon FC and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.524.194.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.291.17

Draw no bet

12
1.243.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.552.25

1st half

1X2
1.962.464.90

2nd half

1X2
1.812.864.58

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3015.834.7
HT X4.737.1711.2
HT 217.516.27.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4620.42.63

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.9
1.51.154.78
2.51.472.44
3.52.171.60
4.53.571.23
5.56.271.10
6.59.001.04
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.0
21.164.15
2.251.322.95
2.751.572.18
31.741.94
3.251.961.72
3.752.501.43
43.041.29
4.253.281.25
4.753.901.21
55.951.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.681.39
-1.52.301.53
-1.252.051.66
-11.831.87
-0.751.622.13
-0.51.532.39
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.901.02
-37.201.03
-2.755.501.15
-2.54.151.18
-2.253.901.23
-23.411.25
-0.251.352.86
01.203.87
+0.251.174.32
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.126.00
+11.018.90
+1.51.028.80

Next Championship matches

13 NovAnnagh United – Ballinamallard United
13 NovArds – Moyola Park
13 NovInstitute – Armagh City
13 NovLoughgall – Glenavon FC

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

7 NovArmagh City 0-6 Newington Youth
7 NovDundela 0-3 Loughgall
7 NovH&W Welders 3-0 Ards
6 NovStrabane Athletic 0-1 Annagh United
6 NovMoyola Park 1-2 Newry City AFC
6 NovBallinamallard United 0-1 Rathfriland