H&W Welders vs Ards• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#90.8:2.43-0FT07/111.0:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85DAFX4.39PIN23.75B365Margin at best3.5%Books8Markets56Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 13:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.85	4.20	3.45	6.8%
BetVictor	1.80	3.90	3.60	9.0%
Betano	1.83	4.05	3.35	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.83	4.39	3.01	10.6%
1xBet	1.74	4.10	3.44	10.9%
Bet365	1.73	3.75	3.75	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.72	4.10	3.36	12.3%
William Hill	1.80	3.80	3.25	12.6%
Best of all books	1.85	4.39	3.75	3.5%
Average	1.79	4.04	3.40	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

H&W WeldersArds

Last 10#9Table position#111.36Points per game1.134Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 51.02.4Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5629Defence rating7114Form rating8660H2H rating4037Goals model6341Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 17:40 UTC

H&W Welders

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

24 Oct	H	Loughgall	1-2	L
20 Oct	A	Armagh City	3-1	W
16 Oct	A	Glenavon FC	0-4	L
10 Oct	A	Institute	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Rathfriland	1-3	L
25 Sep	A	Newry City AFC	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Ballinamallard United	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Annagh United	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Moyola Park	4-1	W
28 Aug	H	Dundela	2-0	W

Ards

2W 5D 3L · goals 6:9 · per match 0.6 for, 0.9 against

7 Nov	A	H&W Welders	0-3	L
31 Oct	H	Newry City AFC	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Armagh City	1-1	D
20 Oct	A	Rathfriland	0-0	D
16 Oct	H	Institute	0-2	L
9 Oct	A	Newington Youth	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Ballinamallard United	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Strabane Athletic	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Moyola Park	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Rathfriland	1-0	W

Head to head

9H&W Welders wins

1draws

9Ards wins

19 meetings · goals 32:28 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for H&W Welders

14 Feb 2026Championship	Championship	Ards2-3H&W Welders
15 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	Ards1-4H&W Welders
6 Sep 2025Championship	Championship	H&W Welders1-2Ards
5 Apr 2025Championship	Championship	Ards2-5H&W Welders
15 Mar 2025Championship	Championship	H&W Welders0-1Ards
30 Nov 2024Championship	Championship	H&W Welders4-0Ards
21 Sep 2024Championship	Championship	Ards3-1H&W Welders
24 Feb 2024Championship	Championship	Ards0-1H&W Welders
18 Nov 2023Championship	Championship	H&W Welders0-3Ards
25 Aug 2023Championship	Championship	Ards1-1H&W Welders

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 13 Nov 16:40 UTC

In the Championship table, H&W Welders sit 9th with 19 points from 14 games, while Ards are 11th with 17 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	15	10	4	1	37:16	+21	34
2	Glenavon FC	14	9	3	2	36:16	+20	30
3	Newington Youth	14	9	2	3	35:22	+13	29
4	Queen's University	15	7	2	6	28:19	+9	23
5	Newry City AFC	15	6	5	4	23:24	-1	23
6	Institute	14	6	3	5	23:20	+3	21
7	Ballinamallard United	15	6	3	6	20:20	0	21
8	Loughgall	15	5	5	5	21:26	-5	20
9	H&W Welders	14	6	1	7	22:22	0	19
10	Warrenpoint Town	13	5	3	5	22:21	+1	18
11	Ards	15	4	5	6	16:20	-4	17
12	Rathfriland	14	5	1	8	15:25	-10	16
13	Moyola Park	14	4	3	7	16:27	-11	15
14	Dundela	13	2	5	6	19:27	-8	11
15	Strabane Athletic	15	2	5	8	13:25	-12	11
16	Armagh City	15	1	6	8	12:28	-16	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.79X22%4.04227%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.79 +4.1%X3.85 → 4.04 +4.9%23.85 → 3.40 -11.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.70	9.0%
Betano	1.45	2.47	9.5%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.70	2.4%
Average	1.44	2.55	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Betano	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.41	2.62	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.56	10.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.70	2.4%
Average	1.44	2.56	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

H&W Welders 10%Draw 45%Ards 45%

The statistical model rated H&W Welders at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ards at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 4.04 | 3.40, which imply roughly 24.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: H&W Welders are 9th (19 pts, 22-22 goals), Ards 11th (17 pts, 16-20).

Over their last five matches, H&W Welders averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Ards averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ards.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.79	4.04	3.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.88	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.77

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.51	3.66

2nd half

1	X	2
2.09	2.83	3.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.80	14.7	28.7
HT X	5.23	6.80	8.40
HT 2	18.8	14.7	5.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	22.5	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.13	5.03
2.5	1.44	2.55
3.5	2.09	1.66
4.5	3.40	1.25
5.5	5.93	1.10
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.75	1.20	4.10
2	1.13	4.55
2.25	1.31	3.01
2.75	1.48	2.38
3	1.66	2.05
3.25	1.83	1.84
3.75	2.30	1.51
4	2.76	1.36
4.25	2.97	1.30
4.75	3.70	1.24
5	5.25	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.55	1.43
-1	2.30	1.54
-0.75	1.96	1.74
-0.5	1.78	1.95
-0.25	1.58	2.21
0	1.41	2.67

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.30	1.05
-2.75	7.00	1.10
-2.5	5.37	1.11
-2.25	4.90	1.15
-2	4.60	1.14
-1.75	3.43	1.25
-1.5	2.84	1.35
+0.25	1.33	3.00
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.21	4.30
+1	1.07	5.80
+1.5	1.05	6.55

Latest Championship results

7 Nov	Glenavon FC 2-0 Institute
7 Nov	Armagh City 0-6 Newington Youth
7 Nov	Dundela 0-3 Loughgall
6 Nov	Strabane Athletic 0-1 Annagh United
6 Nov	Moyola Park 1-2 Newry City AFC
6 Nov	Ballinamallard United 0-1 Rathfriland