Institute vs Armagh City• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#62.0:0.619:45Today0.8:2.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.37BTNX5.25BVC27.551XBMargin at best5.3%Books8Markets57Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.35	5.20	7.20	7.2%
Betano	1.37	4.90	6.40	9.0%
BetVictor	1.30	5.25	7.50	9.3%
Pinnacle	1.34	4.96	6.40	10.4%
1xBet	1.30	4.85	7.49	10.9%
Bet365	1.33	4.75	6.50	11.6%
William Hill	1.33	4.40	7.00	12.2%
Marathonbet	1.29	4.85	7.10	12.2%
Best of all books	1.37	5.25	7.50	5.4%
Average	1.33	4.90	6.95	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

InstituteArmagh City

Last 10#6Table position#161.50Points per game0.605Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 52.471Attack rating2980Defence rating2067Form rating33100H2H rating080Goals model2075Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 16:30 UTC

Institute

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

7 Nov	A	Glenavon FC	0-2	L
31 Oct	H	Moyola Park	1-1	D
20 Oct	H	Loughgall	0-3	L
16 Oct	A	Ards	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	H&W Welders	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Newington Youth	7-0	W
26 Sep	A	Annagh United	0-5	L
19 Sep	H	Warrenpoint Town	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Armagh City	5-3	W
5 Sep	A	Rathfriland	2-0	W

Armagh City

1W 3D 6L · goals 8:22 · per match 0.8 for, 2.2 against

7 Nov	H	Newington Youth	0-6	L
31 Oct	A	Ballinamallard United	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Ards	1-1	D
20 Oct	H	H&W Welders	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Annagh United	1-3	L
9 Oct	A	Rathfriland	1-2	L
2 Oct	A	Strabane Athletic	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Dundela	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Loughgall	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Institute	3-5	L

Head to head

7Institute wins

2draws

0Armagh City wins

9 meetings · goals 28:12 · last 9: 7W 2D 0L for Institute

12 Sep 2026Championship	Championship	Armagh City3-5Institute
25 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Armagh City1-4Institute
28 Feb 2026Championship	Championship	Institute6-0Armagh City
1 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	Institute2-1Armagh City
23 Aug 2025Championship	Championship	Armagh City1-3Institute
19 Apr 2025Championship	Championship	Institute4-3Armagh City
14 Mar 2025Championship	Championship	Armagh City1-2Institute
22 Nov 2024Championship	Championship	Institute0-0Armagh City
10 Aug 2024Championship	Championship	Armagh City2-2Institute

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 13 Nov 16:40 UTC

In the Championship table, Institute sit 6th with 21 points from 14 games, while Armagh City are 16th with 9 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	15	10	4	1	37:16	+21	34
2	Glenavon FC	14	9	3	2	36:16	+20	30
3	Newington Youth	14	9	2	3	35:22	+13	29
4	Queen's University	15	7	2	6	28:19	+9	23
5	Newry City AFC	15	6	5	4	23:24	-1	23
6	Institute	14	6	3	5	23:20	+3	21
7	Ballinamallard United	15	6	3	6	20:20	0	21
8	Loughgall	15	5	5	5	21:26	-5	20
9	H&W Welders	14	6	1	7	22:22	0	19
10	Warrenpoint Town	13	5	3	5	22:21	+1	18
11	Ards	15	4	5	6	16:20	-4	17
12	Rathfriland	14	5	1	8	15:25	-10	16
13	Moyola Park	14	4	3	7	16:27	-11	15
14	Dundela	13	2	5	6	19:27	-8	11
15	Strabane Athletic	15	2	5	8	13:25	-12	11
16	Armagh City	15	1	6	8	12:28	-16	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.32X18%4.90213%6.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.35 → 1.32 -2.2%X4.85 → 4.90 +1.0%26.60 → 6.96 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.40	2.67	8.9%
Betano	1.40	2.65	9.2%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.67	6.9%
Average	1.40	2.62	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Betano	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.63	2.10	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Institute 50%Draw 50%Armagh City 0%

The statistical model rates Institute at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Armagh City at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 4.90 | 6.96, which imply roughly 75.8% for a Institute win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Championship table: Institute are 6th (21 pts, 23-20 goals), Armagh City 16th (9 pts, 12-28).

Over their last five matches, Institute averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Armagh City averaged 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Institute or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.33	4.90	6.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.91	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
1.74	2.65	6.10

2nd half

1	X	2
1.59	3.13	5.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.90	18.7	47.0
HT X	4.33	8.27	15.3
HT 2	17.2	18.8	11.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	20.4	3.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.8
1.5	1.12	5.30
2.5	1.40	2.62
3.5	2.03	1.70
4.5	3.23	1.28
5.5	5.63	1.11
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
2	1.14	4.45
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.48	2.37
3	1.61	2.11
3.25	1.82	1.85
3.75	2.27	1.53
4	2.69	1.37
4.25	2.92	1.31
4.75	3.60	1.24
5	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.46	1.46
-1.75	2.11	1.64
-1.5	1.88	1.82
-1.25	1.68	2.04
-1	1.48	2.40
-0.75	1.38	2.72

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.47	1.10
-3.25	5.50	1.15
-3	4.77	1.14
-2.75	3.70	1.25
-2.5	2.98	1.32
-2.25	2.75	1.37
-0.5	1.35	3.10
-0.25	1.21	3.85
0	1.08	5.65
+0.25	1.12	6.40
+0.5	1.10	6.80

Latest Championship results

7 Nov	Glenavon FC 2-0 Institute
7 Nov	Armagh City 0-6 Newington Youth
7 Nov	Dundela 0-3 Loughgall
7 Nov	H&W Welders 3-0 Ards
6 Nov	Strabane Athletic 0-1 Annagh United
6 Nov	Moyola Park 1-2 Newry City AFC