Rochdale vs Grimsby• League Two, England

#131.6:1.018:45Today · Spotland, Rochdale0.8:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.201XBX3.75BFR22.25DAFMargin at best2.4%Books10Markets86Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.20	3.55	2.20	4.9%
Pinnacle	3.19	3.69	2.15	5.0%
Betfair	3.20	3.60	2.15	5.5%
BetVictor	3.13	3.60	2.15	6.2%
Betano	3.15	3.45	2.15	7.2%
Bet365	3.20	3.50	2.10	7.4%
1xBet	3.20	3.52	2.07	8.0%
Marathonbet	3.18	3.52	2.05	8.6%
William Hill	2.75	3.50	2.15	11.4%
SBO	2.86	3.13	2.16	13.2%
Best of all books	3.20	3.69	2.20	3.8%
Average	3.11	3.51	2.13	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RochdaleGrimsby

Last 10#13Table position#151.27Points per game1.187Form pts · last 511.6Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3358Defence rating4277Form rating2350H2H rating5055Goals model4562Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Rochdale

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Crewe	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Tranmere	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Huddersfield	0-5	L
3 Oct	H	Swindon Town	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Fleetwood Town	2-1	W
22 Sep	H	Liverpool U21	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Oldham	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Walsall	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Gillingham	1-4	L
1 Sep	H	Shrewsbury	3-0	W

Grimsby

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Northampton	0-2	L
10 Oct	A	Port Vale	0-1	L
6 Oct	H	Burton Albion	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Shrewsbury	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Newport County	1-2	L
22 Sep	A	Notts County	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Crawley Town	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Bristol Rovers	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Cheltenham	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Accrington ST	2-2	D

Head to head

2Rochdale wins

0draws

2Grimsby wins

4 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Rochdale

19 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Rochdale2-0Grimsby
11 Mar 2023League Two	League Two	Grimsby1-0Rochdale
13 Aug 2022League Two	League Two	Rochdale0-1Grimsby
14 Aug 2018League Cup	League Cup	Grimsby0-2Rochdale

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Rochdale sit 13th with 14 points from 11 games, while Grimsby are 15th with 13 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.06X26%3.51243%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.19 → 3.06 -4.1%X3.45 → 3.51 +1.7%22.05 → 2.13 +3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	2.12	4.6%
SBO	1.76	2.08	4.9%
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.70	2.06	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.06	7.4%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.76	2.12	4.0%
Average	1.73	2.07	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.59	2.23	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rochdale 45%Draw 45%Grimsby 10%

The statistical model rates Rochdale at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Grimsby at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.06 | 3.51 | 2.13, which imply roughly 32.7% for a Rochdale win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Rochdale are 13th (14 pts, 13-15 goals), Grimsby 15th (13 pts, 13-13).

Over their last five matches, Rochdale averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Grimsby averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.11	3.51	2.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.68	1.32	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.27	1.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
3.59	2.24	2.65

2nd half

1	X	2
3.26	2.55	2.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.07	14.0	23.5
HT X	7.41	5.60	5.42
HT 2	29.7	13.3	3.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.15	13.6	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.9
1.5	1.21	4.04
2.5	1.73	2.07
3.5	2.75	1.40
4.5	5.20	1.13
5.5	9.78	1.05
6.5	19.1	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.40
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.25	3.33
2	1.32	3.02
2.25	1.51	2.42
2.75	1.89	1.83
3	2.18	1.61
3.25	2.44	1.48
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.64	1.12
4.75	6.40	1.05
5	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.09	1.35
-0.25	2.69	1.42
0	2.33	1.56
+0.25	1.92	1.83
+0.5	1.69	2.13
+0.75	1.50	2.42

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-1.75	8.90	1.01
-1.5	6.63	1.07
-1.25	6.20	1.08
-1	5.78	1.09
-0.75	3.89	1.22
+1	1.31	3.12
+1.25	1.26	3.43
+1.5	1.22	3.82
+1.75	1.13	4.98
+2	1.06	7.00
+2.25	1.06	6.83
+2.5	1.03	8.23
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.77
7.5	1.21	3.77
8.5	1.40	2.68
9.5	1.73	2.02
10.5	2.15	1.65
11.5	2.76	1.39
12.5	3.54	1.21
13.5	5.23	1.08
14.5	6.38	1.03

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.50
7	1.04	6.23
7.25	1.10	4.87
7.75	1.17	3.88
8	1.19	3.68
8.25	1.27	3.14
8.75	1.40	2.64
9	1.48	2.47
9.25	1.55	2.26
9.75	1.73	1.99
10	1.85	1.88
10.25	1.93	1.78
10.75	2.18	1.60
11	2.37	1.51
11.25	2.49	1.45
11.75	2.89	1.33
12	3.26	1.25
12.25	3.42	1.23
12.75	4.09	1.15
13	4.86	1.10
13.25	5.04	1.09
13.75	5.83	1.05
14	7.20	1.01
14.25	6.18	1.04

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Northampton – Tranmere
20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Tranmere 1-2 Barnet
17 Oct	Grimsby 0-2 Northampton
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Accrington ST 3-1 Gillingham
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham