Sheffield Utd vs Derby• Championship, England

#111.4:1.211:30Today · Bramall Lane, Sheffield0.8:1.8#23

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83BTNX4.02PIN24.75BFRMargin at best0.6%Books9Markets93Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.83	4.00	4.40	2.4%
Dafabet	1.80	3.90	4.40	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.78	4.02	4.31	4.3%
Betfair	1.73	3.80	4.75	5.2%
1xBet	1.79	3.82	4.03	6.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.70	4.33	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.77	3.82	4.05	7.4%
BetVictor	1.75	3.75	4.20	7.6%
William Hill	1.75	3.60	4.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	4.02	4.75	0.6%
Average	1.77	3.82	4.27	6.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sheffield UtdDerby

Last 10#11Table position#231.36Points per game0.556Form pts · last 521.4Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.864Attack rating3660Defence rating4075Form rating2580H2H rating2066Goals model3468Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Sheffield Utd

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	A	Bristol City	1-0	W
14 Oct	A	Portsmouth	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Lincoln	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Stoke City	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Fleetwood Town	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Wolves	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Blackburn	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Norwich	1-3	L
1 Sep	H	Bolton	3-2	W
29 Aug	A	Cardiff	2-2	D

Derby

1W 3D 6L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	H	Stoke City	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	QPR	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Wrexham	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Burnley	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Birmingham	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	West Brom	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	West Ham	0-3	L
1 Sep	A	Portsmouth	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Swansea	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Cardiff	2-2	D

Head to head

9Sheffield Utd wins

1draws

3Derby wins

13 meetings · goals 21:13 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for Sheffield Utd

2 May 2026Championship	Championship	Derby1-2Sheffield Utd
1 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	Sheffield Utd1-3Derby
1 Feb 2025Championship	Championship	Derby0-1Sheffield Utd
21 Sep 2024Championship	Championship	Sheffield Utd1-0Derby
29 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Derby1-3Sheffield Utd
15 Jan 2022Championship	Championship	Derby2-0Sheffield Utd
25 Sep 2021Championship	Championship	Sheffield Utd1-0Derby
24 Aug 2021League Cup	League Cup	Sheffield Utd2-1Derby
1 Sep 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Derby0-2Sheffield Utd
26 Dec 2018Championship	Championship	Sheffield Utd3-1Derby

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Sheffield Utd sit 11th with 15 points from 11 games, while Derby are 23rd with 6 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
2	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16:8	+8	23
3	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30:12	+18	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20:11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18:16	+2	19
7	Wolves	11	5	3	3	19:16	+3	18
8	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21:10	+11	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15:12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17:16	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18:18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	11	4	3	4	14:14	0	15
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15:16	-1	14
15	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
16	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10:15	-5	14
17	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18:17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17:21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9:20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9:24	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.77X25%3.82222%4.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.84 → 1.77 -3.8%X3.60 → 3.82 +6.1%23.91 → 4.27 +9.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	2.10	3.8%
Betano	1.78	2.07	4.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.74	2.02	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	2.02	7.0%
BetVictor	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.78	2.10	3.8%
Average	1.75	2.05	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.68	2.08	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sheffield Utd 50%Draw 50%Derby 0%

The statistical model rates Sheffield Utd at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Derby at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.82 | 4.27, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Sheffield Utd win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Championship table: Sheffield Utd are 11th (15 pts, 15-14 goals), Derby 23rd (6 pts, 9-20).

Over their last five matches, Sheffield Utd averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Derby averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sheffield Utd or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.82	4.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.98	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.30	4.53

2nd half

1	X	2
2.12	2.59	4.10

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.67	14.3	39.2
HT X	4.69	5.94	9.51
HT 2	22.6	15.1	7.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	12.8	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.1
1.5	1.22	3.93
2.5	1.75	2.05
3.5	2.81	1.40
4.5	5.35	1.13
5.5	10.0	1.04
6.5	18.8	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.90
1.25	1.11	4.95
1.75	1.26	3.31
2	1.35	3.00
2.25	1.54	2.36
2.75	1.92	1.81
3	2.24	1.60
3.25	2.51	1.47
3.75	3.24	1.27
4	4.27	1.16
4.25	4.76	1.12
4.75	6.45	1.05
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.03	1.34
-1.25	2.70	1.41
-1	2.37	1.54
-0.75	1.97	1.78
-0.5	1.77	2.05
-0.25	1.54	2.37

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.02
-2.5	6.03	1.09
-2.25	5.68	1.10
-2	5.33	1.11
-1.75	3.79	1.23
0	1.34	3.13
+0.25	1.26	3.56
+0.5	1.22	4.08
+0.75	1.12	5.21
+1	1.03	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.43	2.69
4	1.58	2.30
4.5	1.86	1.88
5	2.39	1.55
5.5	2.70	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	11.4
6.5	1.05	7.39
7.5	1.13	4.72
8.5	1.29	3.18
9.5	1.55	2.30
10.5	1.90	1.82
11.5	2.44	1.49
12.5	3.22	1.29
13.5	4.51	1.15
14.5	6.55	1.07
15.5	8.90	1.04
16.5	10.0	1.03

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.89
7	1.03	6.61
7.25	1.08	5.13
7.75	1.12	4.44
8	1.14	4.23
8.25	1.21	3.54
8.75	1.32	2.94
9	1.36	2.78
9.25	1.45	2.48
9.75	1.61	2.16
10	1.74	2.05
10.25	1.79	1.91
10.75	2.00	1.72
11	2.21	1.63
11.25	2.26	1.55
11.75	2.59	1.41
12	2.88	1.33
12.25	3.02	1.30
12.75	3.56	1.21
13	4.14	1.15
13.25	4.32	1.13
13.75	5.22	1.08
14	6.35	1.03
14.25	6.56	1.03

Next Championship matches

24 Oct	Portsmouth – Millwall
24 Oct	Charlton – Norwich
24 Oct	Blackburn – Wrexham
24 Oct	QPR – Swansea
24 Oct	Wolves – Watford
24 Oct	Lincoln – Burnley

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

23 Oct	Bolton 1-5 Middlesbrough
20 Oct	Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Wrexham 4-1 Preston
17 Oct	West Brom 3-2 Blackburn
17 Oct	Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 Oct	Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth