Portsmouth vs Millwall• Championship, England

#131.4:1.211:30Today · Fratton Park, Portsmouth1.4:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50WHX3.40BFR22.96PINMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets90Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.55	3.35	2.87	3.9%
Dafabet	2.46	3.35	2.95	4.4%
Betano	2.50	3.40	2.82	4.9%
Betfair	2.40	3.40	2.80	6.8%
Bet365	2.45	3.25	2.80	7.3%
1xBet	2.49	3.22	2.76	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.49	3.22	2.76	7.4%
BetVictor	2.45	3.30	2.75	7.5%
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.80	8.8%
Best of all books	2.55	3.40	2.95	2.5%
Average	2.47	3.29	2.81	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PortsmouthMillwall

Last 10#13Table position#121.36Points per game1.368Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5054Defence rating4657Form rating4340H2H rating6051Goals model4951Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Portsmouth

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

20 Oct	A	Wolves	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Norwich	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Sheffield Utd	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Southampton	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Blackburn	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Charlton	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Cardiff	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Derby	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Bristol City	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Lincoln	3-1	W

Millwall

2W 3D 5L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Lincoln	2-2	D
13 Oct	H	Swansea	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Preston	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	West Ham	2-2	D
15 Sep	A	Middlesbrough	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Blackburn	1-3	L
8 Sep	H	Newcastle	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Bolton	4-0	W
2 Sep	H	Wrexham	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Southampton	1-5	L

Head to head

2Portsmouth wins

0draws

6Millwall wins

8 meetings · goals 8:10 · last 8: 2W 0D 6L for Portsmouth

21 Feb 2026Championship	Championship	Millwall1-3Portsmouth
22 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	Portsmouth3-1Millwall
5 Apr 2025Championship	Championship	Millwall2-1Portsmouth
28 Jan 2025Championship	Championship	Portsmouth0-1Millwall
13 Aug 2024League Cup	League Cup	Portsmouth0-1Millwall
10 Aug 2021League Cup	League Cup	Millwall2-1Portsmouth
10 Apr 2012Championship	Championship	Portsmouth0-1Millwall
26 Dec 2011Championship	Championship	Millwall1-0Portsmouth

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Portsmouth sit 13th with 15 points from 11 games, while Millwall are 12th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
2	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16:8	+8	23
3	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30:12	+18	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20:11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18:16	+2	19
7	Wolves	11	5	3	3	19:16	+3	18
8	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21:10	+11	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15:12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17:16	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18:18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	11	4	3	4	14:14	0	15
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15:16	-1	14
15	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
16	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10:15	-5	14
17	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18:17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17:21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9:20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9:24	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.48X29%3.28233%2.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.58 → 2.48 -3.9%X3.33 → 3.28 -1.5%22.62 → 2.82 +7.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	1.85	3.3%
Betano	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.95	1.79	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.79	7.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	2.03	1.87	2.7%
Average	1.96	1.82	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	2.01	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.73	2.01	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Portsmouth 10%Draw 45%Millwall 45%

The statistical model rates Portsmouth at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Millwall at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.28 | 2.82, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Portsmouth are 13th (15 pts, 14-14 goals), Millwall 12th (15 pts, 18-18).

Over their last five matches, Portsmouth averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Millwall averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Millwall.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.47	3.29	2.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.51	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
3.07	2.11	3.40

2nd half

1	X	2
2.77	2.39	3.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.94	14.0	32.0
HT X	5.88	4.88	6.50
HT 2	29.6	14.3	4.52

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.93	9.65	2.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.35
1.5	1.30	3.33
2.5	1.96	1.82
3.5	3.33	1.30
4.5	6.61	1.09
5.5	12.6	1.03
6.5	22.8	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.60
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.16	4.24
1.75	1.35	2.81
2	1.48	2.52
2.25	1.71	2.05
2.75	2.21	1.61
3	2.69	1.43
3.25	2.95	1.32
3.75	4.04	1.18
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06
5	8.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.97	1.35
-0.5	2.46	1.53
-0.25	2.11	1.67
0	1.79	1.98
+0.25	1.55	2.34
+0.5	1.44	2.75

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.02
-2	8.30	1.03
-1.75	6.70	1.06
-1.5	5.00	1.13
-1.25	4.55	1.17
-1	4.11	1.19
+0.75	1.28	3.38
+1	1.15	4.90
+1.25	1.11	5.35
+1.5	1.09	5.88
+1.75	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.36	2.94
3.5	1.69	2.09
4	2.03	1.78
4.5	2.21	1.62
5	3.18	1.31
5.5	3.15	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	17.0
6.5	1.03	9.50
7.5	1.09	5.83
8.5	1.22	3.73
9.5	1.43	2.65
10.5	1.72	2.04
11.5	2.12	1.66
12.5	2.75	1.39
13.5	3.75	1.21
14.5	5.32	1.11
15.5	6.96	1.06
16.5	8.00	1.06
17.5	10.3	1.03

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.10	4.86
8	1.11	4.64
8.25	1.18	3.83
8.75	1.27	3.16
9	1.30	2.99
9.25	1.39	2.64
9.75	1.54	2.29
10	1.63	2.21
10.25	1.71	2.01
10.75	1.90	1.80
11	1.92	1.85
11.25	2.14	1.62
11.75	2.43	1.47
12	2.67	1.39
12.25	2.81	1.35
12.75	3.28	1.25
13	3.76	1.18
13.25	3.93	1.17
13.75	4.72	1.10
14	5.66	1.06
14.25	5.86	1.05
14.75	5.73	1.06
15	7.00	1.02
15.25	6.99	1.02

Next Championship matches

24 Oct	Sheffield Utd – Derby
24 Oct	Charlton – Norwich
24 Oct	Blackburn – Wrexham
24 Oct	QPR – Swansea
24 Oct	Wolves – Watford
24 Oct	Lincoln – Burnley

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

23 Oct	Bolton 1-5 Middlesbrough
20 Oct	Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Wrexham 4-1 Preston
17 Oct	West Brom 3-2 Blackburn
17 Oct	Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 Oct	Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth