Norwich vs Portsmouth• Championship, England

#211.8:2.40-1FT17/10 · Carrow Road, Norwich1.4:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88PINX3.80B36524.30PINMargin at best2.8%Books6Markets96Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	3.70	4.30	3.5%
Bet365	1.80	3.80	4.10	6.3%
1xBet	1.83	3.75	3.88	7.1%
BetVictor	1.83	3.70	3.90	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.75	3.90	7.6%
William Hill	1.83	3.50	4.00	8.2%
Best of all books	1.88	3.80	4.30	2.8%
Average	1.83	3.70	4.01	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorwichPortsmouth

Last 10#21Table position#130.82Points per game1.400Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4429Defence rating7127Form rating7338H2H rating6248Goals model5240Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:40 UTC

Norwich

4W 0D 6L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

14 Oct	H	Southampton	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Swansea	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Bolton	3-4	L
17 Sep	A	Manchester City	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Middlesbrough	3-4	L
9 Sep	H	Birmingham	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sheffield Utd	3-1	W
1 Sep	A	Stoke City	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Burnley	4-1	W
25 Aug	A	Cardiff	2-1	W

Portsmouth

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Norwich	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Sheffield Utd	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Southampton	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Blackburn	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Charlton	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Cardiff	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Derby	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Bristol City	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Lincoln	3-1	W
15 Aug	H	QPR	1-3	L

Head to head

1Norwich wins

2draws

2Portsmouth wins

5 meetings · goals 6:8 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Norwich

3 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Norwich1-1Portsmouth
16 Aug 2025Championship	Championship	Portsmouth1-2Norwich
18 Apr 2025Championship	Championship	Norwich3-5Portsmouth
10 Dec 2024Championship	Championship	Portsmouth0-0Norwich
5 Jan 2019FA Cup	FA Cup	Norwich0-1Portsmouth

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 20 Oct 20:50 UTC

In the Championship table, Norwich sit 21st with 9 points from 11 games, while Portsmouth are 13th with 14 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16:8	+8	23
2	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30:12	+18	22
3	Middlesbrough	11	6	4	1	22:16	+6	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20:11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18:16	+2	19
7	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21:10	+11	17
8	Wolves	10	5	2	3	18:15	+3	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15:12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17:16	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18:18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	10	4	2	4	13:13	0	14
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15:16	-1	14
15	Bolton	11	4	2	5	15:18	-3	14
16	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
17	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10:15	-5	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18:17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17:21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9:20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9:24	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.83X25%3.70223%4.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 1.83 +8.3%X3.95 → 3.70 -6.3%24.48 → 4.03 -10.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.76	2.14	3.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
1xBet	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.05	6.9%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.76	2.14	3.5%
Average	1.72	2.07	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.64	2.13	7.9%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.65	2.12	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Norwich 10%Draw 45%Portsmouth 45%

The statistical model rated Norwich at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Portsmouth at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.03, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Norwich are 21st (9 pts, 17-21 goals), Portsmouth 13th (14 pts, 13-13).

Over their last five matches, Norwich averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Portsmouth averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Portsmouth.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Norwich

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Clement

Goalkeeper

32D. Grimshaw

Defence

3J. Stacey
15Ruairi McConville
33J. Córdoba
14B. Chrisene

Midfield

16Jacob Wright
7P. Mattsson
11A. Brooks
20A. Ben Slimane
29O. Schwartau

Attack

24J. Makama

Substitutes (9)

40C. Ansen
6H. Darling
26S. Field
35K. Fisher
30M. Kvistgaarden
25P. Maghoma
12L. Mahovo
13D. Yongwa
46E. Mundle-Smith

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1

Coach: John Mousinho

Goalkeeper

1N. Schmid

Defence

22Z. Swanson
5R. Poole
55M. Dia
16J. Meghoma

Midfield

7M. Pack
37I. Mohamed
11A. Kamara
10A. Segecic
25R. Kavuma McQueen

Attack

29M. Milovanović

Substitutes (9)

31D. Bielica
9C. Bishop
24T. Devlin
32E. Kenny
30B. Killip
17T. Shade
19R. Shein
27O. Bailey
38E. Adams

Match Statistics

NorwichPortsmouth

0.37Expected Goals1.25

293Passes accurate307

3Shots insidebox4

6Shots outsidebox5

1Blocked Shots5

13Free Kicks13

2Shots on Goal2

1Goalkeeper Saves2

6Shots off Goal2

4Offsides5

407Total passes412

9Total Shots9

3Yellow Cards2

1Corner Kicks1

13Fouls13

0Red Cards0

55%Ball Possession45%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.70	4.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.91	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	2.29	4.35

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.59	3.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.75	14.4	35.0
HT X	4.87	5.90	8.90
HT 2	23.0	15.3	6.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	13.6	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	12.2
1.5	1.21	3.96
2.5	1.72	2.07
3.5	2.73	1.40
4.5	5.17	1.14
5.5	9.93	1.03
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.30
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.25	3.37
2	1.31	2.98
2.25	1.53	2.39
2.75	1.90	1.84
3	2.19	1.61
3.25	2.46	1.48
3.75	3.17	1.27
4	4.17	1.17
4.25	4.64	1.12
4.75	6.25	1.06
5	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.84	1.39
-1	2.49	1.50
-0.75	2.04	1.71
-0.5	1.82	1.98
-0.25	1.57	2.27
0	1.35	2.95

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.01
-3	9.30	1.02
-2.75	7.45	1.05
-2.5	6.30	1.08
-2.25	5.83	1.09
-2	5.49	1.11
-1.75	3.86	1.22
-1.5	3.15	1.31
+0.25	1.28	3.38
+0.5	1.24	3.95
+0.75	1.13	4.88
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.25	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.01	8.30

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.34	3.07
3	1.49	2.55
3.5	1.84	1.87
4	2.32	1.58
4.5	2.78	1.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	11.0
6.5	1.01	7.31
7.5	1.13	4.34
8.5	1.31	2.95
9.5	1.60	2.21
10.5	1.96	1.77
11.5	2.48	1.47
12.5	3.36	1.24
13.5	4.78	1.11
14.5	7.24	1.01
15.5	11.0	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.03
7	1.02	6.76
7.25	1.08	5.22
7.75	1.15	4.14
8	1.17	3.93
8.25	1.24	3.32
8.75	1.36	2.77
9	1.43	2.65
9.25	1.50	2.36
9.75	1.67	2.07
10	1.79	1.99
10.25	1.86	1.84
10.75	2.09	1.66
11	2.28	1.59
11.25	2.38	1.50
11.75	2.74	1.37
12	3.07	1.29
12.25	3.22	1.26
12.75	3.82	1.18
13	4.49	1.12
13.25	4.67	1.11
13.75	5.69	1.06
14	7.00	1.02
14.25	7.03	1.02

Next Championship matches

23 Oct

Bolton – Middlesbrough

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

20 Oct	Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Swansea 0-1 West Ham
17 Oct	Birmingham 3-0 QPR
17 Oct	Derby 0-1 Stoke City
17 Oct	Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 Oct	Southampton 0-0 Bolton