Bolton vs Middlesbrough• Championship, England

#151.8:1.219:0023/10 · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton2.0:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.80DAFX4.41PIN21.65WHMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets87Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 08:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.80	4.40	1.65	4.2%
Betano	4.70	4.25	1.65	5.4%
Pinnacle	4.75	4.41	1.62	5.5%
Betfair	4.60	4.33	1.62	6.6%
1xBet	4.54	4.30	1.62	7.0%
Bet365	4.50	4.10	1.65	7.2%
Marathonbet	4.60	4.30	1.60	7.5%
William Hill	4.40	4.00	1.65	8.3%
BetVictor	4.75	4.10	1.57	9.1%
SBO	4.30	3.91	1.52	14.6%
Best of all books	4.80	4.41	1.65	4.1%
Average	4.59	4.21	1.62	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BoltonMiddlesbrough

Last 10#15Table position#31.27Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5357Defence rating4353Form rating470H2H rating10038Goals model6241Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bolton

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Southampton	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Wolves	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Stoke City	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Norwich	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Cardiff	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	West Ham	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Millwall	0-4	L
1 Sep	A	Sheffield Utd	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Lincoln	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	QPR	0-0	D

Middlesbrough

5W 4D 1L · goals 19:16 · per match 1.9 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	H	Cardiff	2-2	D
13 Oct	A	Stoke City	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Wolves	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Birmingham	2-2	D
15 Sep	H	Millwall	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Norwich	4-3	W
8 Sep	A	Crystal Palace	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	QPR	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	Burnley	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	West Brom	3-1	W

Head to head

1Bolton wins

1draws

12Middlesbrough wins

14 meetings · goals 8:29 · last 10: 0W 0D 10L for Bolton

20 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Middlesbrough3-0Bolton
29 Aug 2023League Cup	League Cup	Bolton1-3Middlesbrough
9 Apr 2019Championship	Championship	Bolton0-2Middlesbrough
19 Sep 2018Championship	Championship	Middlesbrough2-0Bolton
26 Dec 2017Championship	Championship	Middlesbrough2-0Bolton
9 Sep 2017Championship	Championship	Bolton0-3Middlesbrough
16 Apr 2016Championship	Championship	Bolton1-2Middlesbrough
15 Aug 2015Championship	Championship	Middlesbrough3-0Bolton
24 Feb 2015Championship	Championship	Middlesbrough1-0Bolton
19 Aug 2014Championship	Championship	Bolton1-2Middlesbrough

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 20 Oct 20:50 UTC

In the Championship table, Bolton sit 15th with 14 points from 11 games, while Middlesbrough are 3rd with 22 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16:8	+8	23
2	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30:12	+18	22
3	Middlesbrough	11	6	4	1	22:16	+6	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20:11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18:16	+2	19
7	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21:10	+11	17
8	Wolves	10	5	2	3	18:15	+3	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15:12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17:16	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18:18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	10	4	2	4	13:13	0	14
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15:16	-1	14
15	Bolton	11	4	2	5	15:18	-3	14
16	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
17	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10:15	-5	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18:17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17:21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9:20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9:24	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.59X22%4.21258%1.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.60	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.58	5.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.48	2.41	9.1%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.60	3.8%
Average	1.48	2.51	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.50	2.45	7.5%
1xBet	1.52	2.37	8.0%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.33	8.7%
Best of all books	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Average	1.52	2.40	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bolton 10%Draw 45%Middlesbrough 45%

The statistical model rates Bolton at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Middlesbrough at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.59 | 4.21 | 1.62, which imply roughly 23.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Bolton are 15th (14 pts, 15-18 goals), Middlesbrough 3rd (22 pts, 22-16).

Over their last five matches, Bolton averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Middlesbrough averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.59	4.21	1.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.21	1.17	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.47	1.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.40

1st half

1	X	2
4.56	2.51	2.06

2nd half

1	X	2
4.22	2.89	1.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.65	15.3	18.8
HT X	10.6	7.11	4.79
HT 2	35.1	14.3	2.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.52	20.0	1.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.4
1.5	1.14	5.22
2.5	1.48	2.51
3.5	2.22	1.64
4.5	3.68	1.25
5.5	6.66	1.08
6.5	13.7	1.03
7.5	22.5	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.75	1.15	4.37
2	1.18	4.02
2.25	1.32	2.94
2.75	1.57	2.23
3	1.74	2.02
3.25	1.97	1.78
3.75	2.48	1.47
4	2.99	1.34
4.25	3.20	1.27
4.75	4.25	1.15
5	5.60	1.08
5.25	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.70	1.40
+0.5	2.30	1.60
+0.75	2.04	1.73
+1	1.80	1.99
+1.25	1.59	2.23
+1.5	1.47	2.53

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.03	1.02
-1	8.10	1.02
-0.75	5.60	1.10
-0.5	4.45	1.17
-0.25	3.97	1.20
0	3.60	1.24
+1.75	1.35	2.95
+2	1.22	3.83
+2.25	1.18	4.14
+2.5	1.15	4.54
+2.75	1.10	5.57
+3	1.03	7.50
+3.5	1.03	8.57

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.45
7.5	1.17	3.92
8.5	1.37	2.85
9.5	1.64	2.15
10.5	2.04	1.71
11.5	2.67	1.42
12.5	3.65	1.23
13.5	5.50	1.06

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.18
7	1.05	5.92
7.25	1.11	4.66
7.75	1.19	3.72
8	1.21	3.53
8.25	1.30	3.02
8.75	1.42	2.55
9	1.48	2.41
9.25	1.58	2.20
9.75	1.77	1.94
10	1.82	1.93
10.25	1.98	1.74
10.75	2.24	1.56
11	2.44	1.47
11.25	2.57	1.42
11.75	3.00	1.30
12	3.41	1.23
12.25	3.58	1.21
12.75	4.28	1.14
13	5.11	1.08
13.25	5.31	1.07
14	7.21	1.01

Latest Championship results

20 Oct	Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Swansea 0-1 West Ham
17 Oct	Birmingham 3-0 QPR
17 Oct	Derby 0-1 Stoke City
17 Oct	Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 Oct	Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth