Larne vs Dungannon Swifts• Premiership, Northern-Ireland

#31.4:1.619:45Today · Inver Park, Larne1.4:2.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.49PINX4.85PIN25.83PINMargin at best4.9%Books9Markets89Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.48	4.92	5.77	5.2%
Dafabet	1.48	4.60	5.80	6.5%
Betano	1.50	4.35	5.30	8.5%
William Hill	1.44	4.50	5.50	9.8%
1xBet	1.43	4.40	5.57	10.6%
Bet365	1.44	4.50	5.25	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.42	4.40	5.35	11.8%
Betfair	1.40	4.40	5.50	12.3%
BetVictor	1.36	3.75	5.00	20.2%
Best of all books	1.50	4.92	5.80	4.2%
Average	1.44	4.42	5.45	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LarneDungannon Swifts

Last 10#3Table position#72.00Points per game1.297Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5056Defence rating4458Form rating4271H2H rating2959Goals model4161Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:00 UTC

Larne

6W 1D 3L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

6 Nov	A	Cliftonville FC	2-4	L
30 Oct	H	Portadown	1-0	W
27 Oct	H	Limavady United	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Bangor	2-1	W
20 Oct	H	Linfield	1-2	L
16 Oct	H	Coleraine FC	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Crusaders FC	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Carrick Rangers	5-2	W
15 Sep	H	Cliftonville FC	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Portadown	2-0	W

Dungannon Swifts

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

7 Nov	H	Limavady United	3-2	W
31 Oct	A	Linfield	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Cliftonville FC	1-3	L
20 Oct	A	Bangor	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Bangor	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Carrick Rangers	2-4	L
3 Oct	A	Glentoran	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Ballymena United	1-1	D
15 Sep	A	Crusaders FC	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	Linfield	0-1	L

Head to head

16Larne wins

4draws

4Dungannon Swifts wins

24 meetings · goals 49:19 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Larne

25 Apr 2026Premiership	Premiership	Larne8-0Dungannon Swifts
13 Mar 2026Premiership	Premiership	Larne2-1Dungannon Swifts
29 Nov 2025Premiership	Premiership	Dungannon Swifts1-2Larne
4 Oct 2025Premiership	Premiership	Dungannon Swifts2-0Larne
1 Apr 2025Premiership	Premiership	Dungannon Swifts1-1Larne
22 Feb 2025Premiership	Premiership	Larne0-1Dungannon Swifts
23 Dec 2024Premiership	Premiership	Dungannon Swifts0-1Larne
6 Oct 2024Premiership	Premiership	Larne0-3Dungannon Swifts
20 Jan 2024Premiership	Premiership	Dungannon Swifts0-2Larne
13 Oct 2023Premiership	Premiership	Dungannon Swifts0-0Larne

Premiership tableIFA Premiershipupdated 13 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Premiership table, Larne sit 3rd with 26 points from 13 games, while Dungannon Swifts are 7th with 18 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Linfield	15	11	3	1	24:11	+13	36
2	Coleraine FC	15	11	2	2	32:16	+16	35
3	Larne	13	8	2	3	24:14	+10	26
4	Glentoran	14	6	4	4	17:11	+6	22
5	Cliftonville FC	15	7	0	8	27:19	+8	21
6	Carrick Rangers	15	5	4	6	23:27	-4	19
7	Dungannon Swifts	14	5	3	6	16:20	-4	18
8	Crusaders FC	15	6	0	9	20:30	-10	18
9	Ballymena United	13	4	4	5	18:17	+1	16
10	Limavady United	15	4	2	9	16:26	-10	14
11	Bangor	15	3	3	9	13:26	-13	12
12	Portadown	15	2	3	10	12:25	-13	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X21%4.38217%5.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.48 → 1.44 -2.7%X4.31 → 4.38 +1.6%25.40 → 5.46 +1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.52	2.56	4.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Betano	1.52	2.30	9.3%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
BetVictor	1.41	2.03	20.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.56	2.8%
Average	1.50	2.31	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.07	9.3%
Betano	1.65	2.05	9.4%
BetVictor	1.50	1.87	20.1%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.64	2.03	10.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Larne 45%Draw 45%Dungannon Swifts 10%

The statistical model rates Larne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dungannon Swifts at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.38 | 5.46, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Larne win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Larne are 3rd (26 pts, 24-14 goals), Dungannon Swifts 7th (18 pts, 16-20).

Over their last five matches, Larne averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Dungannon Swifts averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Larne or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	4.42	5.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.48	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	3.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.48	5.23

2nd half

1	X	2
1.77	2.87	4.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.07	16.3	42.0
HT X	4.33	7.35	12.5
HT 2	19.6	16.8	9.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	15.8	2.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.9
1.5	1.14	4.42
2.5	1.50	2.31
3.5	2.25	1.53
4.5	3.74	1.20
5.5	6.20	1.06
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.25	1.07	5.85
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.19	3.78
2.25	1.38	2.61
2.75	1.62	2.06
3	1.78	1.85
3.25	1.99	1.65
3.75	2.63	1.38
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.51	1.22
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.35	1.06
5.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.51	1.42
-1.5	2.17	1.56
-1.25	1.94	1.72
-1	1.72	1.97
-0.75	1.52	2.25
-0.5	1.42	2.52

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.20	1.04
-3.25	7.00	1.10
-3	6.67	1.07
-2.75	4.75	1.13
-2.5	3.81	1.21
-2.25	3.58	1.25
-2	3.25	1.30
-0.25	1.31	3.18
0	1.17	4.35
+0.25	1.14	4.73
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.70
+1	1.01	9.50
+1.5	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.96
7.5	1.20	3.63
8.5	1.43	2.54
9.5	1.76	1.96
10.5	2.21	1.58
11.5	2.89	1.33
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.99	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.71
7	1.07	5.45
7.25	1.13	4.34
7.75	1.22	3.49
8	1.25	3.30
8.25	1.33	2.86
8.75	1.47	2.43
9	1.56	2.29
9.25	1.64	2.11
9.75	1.83	1.87
10	1.98	1.76
10.25	2.06	1.68
10.75	2.35	1.51
11	2.58	1.42
11.25	2.72	1.37
11.75	3.18	1.27
12	3.66	1.20
12.25	3.84	1.18
12.75	4.63	1.11
13	5.59	1.06
13.25	5.79	1.05

Next Premiership matches

13 Nov	Ballymena United – Linfield
13 Nov	Carrick Rangers – Crusaders FC
13 Nov	Glentoran – Bangor
13 Nov	Limavady United – Cliftonville FC
13 Nov	Coleraine FC – Portadown

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

7 Nov	Linfield 3-0 Coleraine FC
7 Nov	Carrick Rangers 0-0 Glentoran
7 Nov	Bangor 1-0 Crusaders FC
7 Nov	Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Limavady United
7 Nov	Portadown 1-1 Ballymena United
6 Nov	Cliftonville FC 4-2 Larne