Ballymena United vs Linfield• Premiership, Northern-Ireland

#91.2:1.219:45Today · Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena2.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.86PINX4.25PIN21.55PINMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets84Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.54	4.12	1.60	4.8%
Dafabet	5.20	3.95	1.60	7.0%
William Hill	5.00	3.80	1.60	8.8%
Betano	4.70	3.85	1.62	9.0%
Betfair	5.00	3.90	1.55	10.2%
1xBet	4.85	3.70	1.59	10.5%
Marathonbet	4.75	3.70	1.57	11.8%
Bet365	4.75	3.80	1.55	11.9%
BetVictor	4.20	3.25	1.53	19.9%
Best of all books	5.54	4.12	1.62	4.1%
Average	4.89	3.79	1.58	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ballymena UnitedLinfield

Last 10#9Table position#11.23Points per game2.407Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6345Defence rating5539Form rating6140H2H rating6032Goals model6842Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:00 UTC

Ballymena United

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

7 Nov	A	Portadown	1-1	D
31 Oct	H	Bangor	0-1	L
20 Oct	A	Newington Youth	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Crusaders FC	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Limavady United	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Cliftonville FC	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Portadown	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Dungannon Swifts	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Carrick Rangers	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Coleraine FC	2-3	L

Linfield

7W 3D 0L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

7 Nov	H	Coleraine FC	3-0	W
31 Oct	H	Dungannon Swifts	1-1	D
23 Oct	A	Portadown	2-1	W
20 Oct	A	Larne	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Carrick Rangers	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Bangor	2-0	W
25 Sep	A	Coleraine FC	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Crusaders FC	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Portadown	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Dungannon Swifts	1-0	W

Head to head

6Ballymena United wins

2draws

27Linfield wins

35 meetings · goals 26:63 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Ballymena United

8 Aug 2026Premiership	Premiership	Linfield0-3Ballymena United
31 Jan 2026Premiership	Premiership	Linfield2-1Ballymena United
28 Jan 2026League Cup	League Cup	Linfield1-0Ballymena United
25 Oct 2025Premiership	Premiership	Linfield2-1Ballymena United
16 Sep 2025Premiership	Premiership	Ballymena United1-0Linfield
7 Feb 2025Premiership	Premiership	Ballymena United2-2Linfield
9 Nov 2024Premiership	Premiership	Linfield2-0Ballymena United
10 Aug 2024Premiership	Premiership	Ballymena United0-2Linfield
24 Feb 2024Premiership	Premiership	Linfield2-0Ballymena United
3 Feb 2024Irish Cup	Irish Cup	Linfield2-0Ballymena United

Premiership tableIFA Premiershipupdated 13 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Premiership table, Ballymena United sit 9th with 16 points from 13 games, while Linfield are 1st with 36 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Linfield	15	11	3	1	24:11	+13	36
2	Coleraine FC	15	11	2	2	32:16	+16	35
3	Larne	13	8	2	3	24:14	+10	26
4	Glentoran	14	6	4	4	17:11	+6	22
5	Cliftonville FC	15	7	0	8	27:19	+8	21
6	Carrick Rangers	15	5	4	6	23:27	-4	19
7	Dungannon Swifts	14	5	3	6	16:20	-4	18
8	Crusaders FC	15	6	0	9	20:30	-10	18
9	Ballymena United	13	4	4	5	18:17	+1	16
10	Limavady United	15	4	2	9	16:26	-10	14
11	Bangor	15	3	3	9	13:26	-13	12
12	Portadown	15	2	3	10	12:25	-13	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.43X23%3.93260%1.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.19 → 5.43 +29.6%X3.69 → 3.93 +6.5%21.72 → 1.50 -12.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.87	1.96	4.5%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
SBO	1.81	1.91	7.6%
Betano	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.65	1.68	20.1%
Best of all books	1.90	1.96	3.7%
Average	1.81	1.86	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.82	1.87	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.84	9.3%
BetVictor	1.65	1.70	19.4%
Best of all books	1.91	1.95	3.6%
Average	1.80	1.83	10.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ballymena United 10%Draw 45%Linfield 45%

The statistical model rates Ballymena United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Linfield at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.43 | 3.93 | 1.50, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Ballymena United are 9th (16 pts, 18-17 goals), Linfield 1st (36 pts, 24-11).

Over their last five matches, Ballymena United averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Linfield averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Linfield.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.89	3.79	1.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.15	1.13	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.40	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
5.07	2.22	2.14

2nd half

1	X	2
4.65	2.54	1.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.07	16.5	24.0
HT X	10.3	5.68	4.29
HT 2	44.3	16.1	2.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.73	12.0	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.30
1.5	1.25	3.34
2.5	1.81	1.86
3.5	3.00	1.30
4.5	5.44	1.09
5.5	8.36	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.12	4.70
1.75	1.29	3.05
2	1.38	2.58
2.25	1.59	2.09
2.75	2.00	1.65
3	2.37	1.45
3.25	2.57	1.39
3.75	3.75	1.19
4	5.10	1.10
4.25	5.45	1.08
4.75	6.65	1.05
5	9.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.60	1.40
+0.5	2.15	1.60
+0.75	1.92	1.75
+1	1.66	2.04
+1.25	1.48	2.34
+1.5	1.40	2.74

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.87	1.02
-1.25	8.30	1.02
-1	9.00	1.02
-0.75	6.07	1.08
-0.5	4.14	1.22
-0.25	4.21	1.19
0	3.72	1.24
+1.75	1.28	3.37
+2	1.16	4.63
+2.25	1.13	5.05
+2.5	1.11	5.45
+2.75	1.06	6.93
+3	1.01	10.0
+3.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.72
7.5	1.29	3.07
8.5	1.56	2.25
9.5	1.91	1.80
10.5	2.49	1.45
11.5	3.44	1.23
12.5	5.10	1.08
13.5	6.97	1.02

19 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.12	4.49
7	1.14	4.25
7.25	1.22	3.50
7.75	1.33	2.88
8	1.37	2.72
8.25	1.48	2.42
8.75	1.65	2.10
9	1.74	2.00
9.25	1.85	1.85
9.75	2.09	1.66
10	2.25	1.58
10.25	2.39	1.49
10.75	2.78	1.36
11	3.14	1.27
11.25	3.30	1.25
11.75	3.96	1.16
12	4.72	1.10
12.25	4.91	1.09
13	6.54	1.03

Next Premiership matches

13 Nov	Carrick Rangers – Crusaders FC
13 Nov	Glentoran – Bangor
13 Nov	Larne – Dungannon Swifts
13 Nov	Limavady United – Cliftonville FC
13 Nov	Coleraine FC – Portadown

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

7 Nov	Linfield 3-0 Coleraine FC
7 Nov	Carrick Rangers 0-0 Glentoran
7 Nov	Bangor 1-0 Crusaders FC
7 Nov	Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Limavady United
7 Nov	Portadown 1-1 Ballymena United
6 Nov	Cliftonville FC 4-2 Larne