Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska• First League, Montenegro

#12.2:1.412:00Tomorrow · Ulcinj1.8:0.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90DAFX3.10B36522.44DAFMargin at best7.7%Books8Markets38Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.90	3.10	2.44	7.7%
Pinnacle	2.89	3.00	2.43	9.1%
Betano	2.80	3.10	2.42	9.3%
Betfair	2.75	3.10	2.38	10.6%
Bet365	2.62	3.10	2.40	12.1%
1xBet	2.64	3.10	2.38	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.64	3.10	2.38	12.2%
William Hill	2.80	2.80	2.40	13.1%
Best of all books	2.90	3.10	2.44	7.7%
Average	2.76	3.05	2.40	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Otrant-OlympicSutjeska

Last 10#1Table position#31.82Points per game1.647Form pts · last 5112.2Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.055Attack rating450Defence rating10043Form rating5738H2H rating6232Goals model6843Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:30 UTC

Otrant-Olympic

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

19 Oct	A	Petrovac	3-2	W
13 Oct	H	Mornar	0-3	L
8 Oct	H	Mladost DG	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Dinamo Tirana	1-4	L
20 Sep	H	Jezero	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Mornar	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Bokelj	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Buducnost Podgorica	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Arsenal Tivat	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Dečić	0-3	L

Sutjeska

5W 4D 1L · goals 15:5 · per match 1.5 for, 0.5 against

19 Oct	H	Bokelj	4-0	W
14 Oct	H	Dečić	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Arsenal Tivat	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Dečić	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Mornar	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Petrovac	0-0	D
28 Aug	H	Mladost DG	5-1	W
22 Aug	A	Jezero	0-0	D
15 Aug	H	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L

Head to head

1Otrant-Olympic wins

2draws

3Sutjeska wins

6 meetings · goals 6:9 · last 6: 1W 2D 3L for Otrant-Olympic

15 Aug 2026First League	First League	Sutjeska1-4Otrant-Olympic
7 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Sutjeska1-1Otrant-Olympic
14 May 2025First League	First League	Sutjeska2-0Otrant-Olympic
16 Mar 2025First League	First League	Otrant-Olympic0-2Sutjeska
10 Nov 2024First League	First League	Sutjeska0-0Otrant-Olympic
14 Sep 2024First League	First League	Otrant-Olympic1-3Sutjeska

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 22 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the First League table, Otrant-Olympic sit 1st with 20 points from 11 games, while Sutjeska are 3rd with 18 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic	11	6	2	3	20:14	+6	20
2	Mornar	12	5	5	2	18:12	+6	20
3	Sutjeska	11	5	3	3	15:7	+8	18
4	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12:7	+5	18
5	Dečić	10	4	3	3	10:8	+2	15
6	Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8:9	-1	15
7	Mladost DG	12	3	3	6	11:21	-10	12
8	Jezero	11	2	5	4	12:18	-6	11
9	Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9:12	-3	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	10	1	4	5	6:13	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.76X30%3.05238%2.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.62 → 2.76 +5.3%X3.10 → 3.05 -1.6%22.40 → 2.40 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.01	1.79	5.6%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.79	3.5%
Average	2.06	1.69	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Average	1.79	1.88	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Otrant-Olympic 10%Draw 45%Sutjeska 45%

The statistical model rates Otrant-Olympic at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sutjeska at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.76 | 3.05 | 2.40, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Otrant-Olympic are 1st (20 pts, 20-14 goals), Sutjeska 3rd (18 pts, 15-7).

Over their last five matches, Otrant-Olympic averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Sutjeska averaged 1.8 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sutjeska.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.76	3.05	2.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.38	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.94	1.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
3.39	2.03	3.01

2nd half

1	X	2
3.12	2.31	2.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.51	13.6	26.3
HT X	6.28	4.61	5.60
HT 2	29.0	14.1	4.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	7.90	1.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.85
1.5	1.33	2.95
2.5	2.06	1.69
3.5	3.61	1.22
4.5	6.80	1.07
5.5	16.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.18	3.85
1.75	1.39	2.68
2	1.56	2.25
2.25	1.77	1.91
2.75	2.32	1.53
3	2.84	1.35
3.25	3.16	1.28
3.75	4.60	1.16
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.83	1.39
-0.25	2.26	1.58
0	1.99	1.76
+0.25	1.66	2.05
+0.5	1.53	2.39
+0.75	1.35	2.84

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.50	1.08
-1.25	4.28	1.15
-1	4.65	1.12
-0.75	3.30	1.26
+1	1.20	3.86
+1.25	1.14	4.40
+1.5	1.11	4.85

Next First League matches

23 Oct	Bokelj – Dečić
23 Oct	Jezero – Petrovac

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

22 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 3-3 Arsenal Tivat
22 Oct	Mornar 4-1 Mladost DG
19 Oct	Sutjeska 4-0 Bokelj
19 Oct	Petrovac 2-3 Otrant-Olympic
18 Oct	Dečić 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
18 Oct	Mladost DG 0-0 Jezero