Mornar vs Mladost DG• First League, Montenegro

#41.2:1.413:00Tomorrow · Stadion Topolica, Bar0.6:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX4.20DAF26.861XBMargin at best6.4%Books6Markets47Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.47	4.20	6.40	7.5%
Betano	1.47	4.10	6.10	8.8%
1xBet	1.39	4.10	6.86	10.9%
Bet365	1.44	4.00	6.00	11.1%
Betfair	1.40	4.00	6.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.10	6.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.47	4.20	6.86	6.4%
Average	1.43	4.08	6.39	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MornarMladost DG

Last 10#4Table position#71.55Points per game1.0911Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3350Defence rating5050Form rating50100H2H rating073Goals model2763Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

Mornar

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	A	Arsenal Tivat	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	3-0	W
8 Oct	H	Jezero	3-3	D
2 Oct	A	Mladost DG	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Dečić	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Otrant-Olympic	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Sutjeska	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Bokelj	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Petrovac	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Buducnost Podgorica	2-1	W

Mladost DG

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	H	Jezero	0-0	D
14 Oct	H	Iskra	4-0	W
8 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Mornar	1-5	L
28 Sep	A	Petrovac	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bokelj	0-3	L
14 Sep	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-2	L
10 Sep	A	Arsenal Tivat	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Dečić	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Sutjeska	1-5	L

Head to head

9Mornar wins

1draws

0Mladost DG wins

10 meetings · goals 28:10 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for Mornar

2 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Mladost DG1-5Mornar
16 Aug 2026First League	First League	Mladost DG2-3Mornar
26 Apr 2026First League	First League	Mladost DG1-2Mornar
1 Mar 2026First League	First League	Mornar3-0Mladost DG
26 Oct 2025First League	First League	Mladost DG1-3Mornar
24 Aug 2025First League	First League	Mornar2-1Mladost DG
13 Apr 2024First League	First League	Mornar5-1Mladost DG
24 Feb 2024First League	First League	Mladost DG1-2Mornar
7 Oct 2023First League	First League	Mornar2-1Mladost DG
5 Aug 2023First League	First League	Mladost DG1-1Mornar

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the First League table, Mornar sit 4th with 17 points from 11 games, while Mladost DG are 7th with 12 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic	11	6	2	3	20:14	+6	20
2	Sutjeska	11	5	3	3	15:7	+8	18
3	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12:7	+5	18
4	Mornar	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
5	Dečić	10	4	3	3	10:8	+2	15
6	Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8:9	-1	15
7	Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10:17	-7	12
8	Jezero	11	2	5	4	12:18	-6	11
9	Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9:12	-3	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	10	1	4	5	6:13	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.42X22%4.08214%6.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.42 -1.4%X4.00 → 4.08 +2.0%26.00 → 6.39 +6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.85	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Betano	2.02	1.67	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.67	9.6%
Best of all books	2.02	1.75	6.6%
Average	2.00	1.69	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mornar 45%Draw 45%Mladost DG 10%

The statistical model rates Mornar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mladost DG at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.08 | 6.39, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Mornar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Mornar are 4th (17 pts, 14-11 goals), Mladost DG 7th (12 pts, 10-17).

Over their last five matches, Mornar averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Mladost DG averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mornar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	4.08	6.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.54	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.00	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
1.95	2.25	6.19

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.66	5.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.20	17.4	54.3
HT X	4.11	5.98	12.8
HT 2	21.3	18.1	10.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	10.9	3.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.37
1.5	1.25	3.38
2.5	1.85	1.85
3.5	3.12	1.30
4.5	5.87	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.14	4.41
1.75	1.30	2.97
2	1.39	2.59
2.25	1.61	2.09
2.75	2.03	1.63
3	2.46	1.43
3.25	2.78	1.34
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.63	1.38
-1.5	2.24	1.52
-1.25	1.99	1.72
-1	1.72	1.98
-0.75	1.50	2.28
-0.25	1.25	3.28

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.60	1.01
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.5	4.20	1.15
-2.25	4.10	1.16
-2	3.42	1.23
0	1.10	5.10
+0.25	1.08	5.65

Next First League matches

22 Oct

Buducnost Podgorica – Arsenal Tivat

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

19 Oct	Sutjeska 4-0 Bokelj
19 Oct	Petrovac 2-3 Otrant-Olympic
18 Oct	Dečić 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
18 Oct	Mladost DG 0-0 Jezero
17 Oct	Arsenal Tivat 1-2 Mornar
10 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Sutjeska