Bokelj vs Dečić• First League, Montenegro

#61.2:1.613:00Today · Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor0.4:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65BTNX3.30DAF22.52BTNMargin at best7.7%Books9Markets40Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.30	2.50	8.0%
Betano	2.65	3.20	2.52	8.7%
BetVictor	2.70	3.00	2.55	9.6%
Pinnacle	2.62	3.21	2.47	9.8%
Bet365	2.55	3.20	2.45	11.3%
Betfair	2.63	3.00	2.50	11.4%
1xBet	2.64	3.02	2.43	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.64	3.02	2.43	12.1%
William Hill	2.62	2.90	2.45	13.5%
Best of all books	2.70	3.30	2.55	6.6%
Average	2.63	3.09	2.48	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BokeljDečić

Last 10#6Table position#51.50Points per game1.508Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 50.41.6Goals against · last 51.475Attack rating2547Defence rating5378Form rating2262H2H rating3877Goals model2368Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 01:30 UTC

Bokelj

3W 4D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

19 Oct	A	Sutjeska	0-4	L
14 Oct	H	Buducnost Podgorica	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Mladost DG	3-0	W
15 Sep	A	Jezero	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Otrant-Olympic	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	Mornar	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Arsenal Tivat	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Dečić	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Sutjeska	1-0	W

Dečić

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.0 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Sutjeska	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Mornar	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Sutjeska	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Petrovac	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Mladost DG	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Jezero	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Otrant-Olympic	3-0	W
17 Aug	H	Bokelj	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Buducnost Podgorica	2-0	W

Head to head

5Bokelj wins

3draws

8Dečić wins

16 meetings · goals 13:14 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Bokelj

17 Aug 2026First League	First League	Dečić1-0Bokelj
24 May 2026First League	First League	Bokelj1-0Dečić
4 Apr 2026First League	First League	Dečić0-0Bokelj
6 Dec 2025First League	First League	Bokelj1-1Dečić
27 Sep 2025First League	First League	Dečić0-2Bokelj
20 Apr 2025First League	First League	Dečić1-0Bokelj
24 Mar 2025First League	First League	Bokelj0-1Dečić
19 Oct 2024First League	First League	Dečić1-2Bokelj
18 Aug 2024First League	First League	Bokelj0-1Dečić
3 Jun 2020Second League	Second League	Dečić2-1Bokelj

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 22 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the First League table, Bokelj sit 6th with 15 points from 10 games, while Dečić are 5th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic	11	6	2	3	20:14	+6	20
2	Mornar	12	5	5	2	18:12	+6	20
3	Sutjeska	11	5	3	3	15:7	+8	18
4	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12:7	+5	18
5	Dečić	10	4	3	3	10:8	+2	15
6	Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8:9	-1	15
7	Mladost DG	12	3	3	6	11:21	-10	12
8	Jezero	11	2	5	4	12:18	-6	11
9	Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9:12	-3	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	10	1	4	5	6:13	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.62X29%3.10237%2.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.55 → 2.62 +2.7%X3.00 → 3.10 +3.3%22.60 → 2.46 -5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.22	1.62	6.8%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Betano	2.22	1.57	8.7%
BetVictor	2.17	1.59	9.0%
1xBet	2.19	1.54	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.19	1.54	10.6%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.21	1.58	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Betano	1.95	1.72	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.90	1.78	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bokelj 45%Draw 45%Dečić 10%

The statistical model rates Bokelj at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dečić at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.46, which imply roughly 38.2% for a Bokelj win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Bokelj are 6th (15 pts, 8-9 goals), Dečić 5th (15 pts, 10-8).

Over their last five matches, Bokelj averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Dečić averaged 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bokelj or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.63	3.09	2.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.40	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.87	1.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
3.37	1.97	3.21

2nd half

1	X	2
3.08	2.23	2.86

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.42	14.4	30.3
HT X	5.95	4.45	5.88
HT 2	30.3	13.9	4.21

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	7.45	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.34
1.5	1.39	2.73
2.5	2.21	1.58
3.5	4.20	1.17
4.5	8.25	1.05
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.75
1	1.06	6.05
1.25	1.23	3.46
1.75	1.49	2.36
2	1.67	2.04
2.25	1.93	1.75
2.75	2.58	1.41
3	3.34	1.25
3.25	4.20	1.15
4	8.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.44	1.50
-0.25	2.19	1.61
0	1.91	1.80
+0.25	1.62	2.11
+0.5	1.48	2.47
+0.75	1.32	2.97

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.90	1.07
-1.25	5.30	1.09
-1	4.90	1.11
-0.75	3.25	1.27
+1	1.17	4.12
+1.25	1.12	4.80
+1.5	1.09	5.30
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Next First League matches

23 Oct	Jezero – Petrovac
24 Oct	Otrant-Olympic – Sutjeska

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

22 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 3-3 Arsenal Tivat
22 Oct	Mornar 4-1 Mladost DG
19 Oct	Sutjeska 4-0 Bokelj
19 Oct	Petrovac 2-3 Otrant-Olympic
18 Oct	Dečić 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
18 Oct	Mladost DG 0-0 Jezero