Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat• First League, Montenegro

#32.0:0.216:00Tomorrow · Podgorica City Stadium, Podgorica1.0:2.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57B365X3.85BTN26.00BFRMargin at best6.3%Books8Markets49Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.54	3.85	6.00	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.53	3.77	5.80	9.1%
Betano	1.53	3.75	5.80	9.3%
1xBet	1.48	3.80	5.88	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	3.75	5.50	11.5%
Betfair	1.47	3.90	5.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.47	3.80	5.60	12.2%
William Hill	1.53	3.40	5.50	13.0%
Best of all books	1.54	3.90	6.00	7.2%
Average	1.51	3.75	5.70	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Buducnost PodgoricaArsenal Tivat

Last 10#3Table position#101.64Points per game0.7011Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.00.2Goals against · last 52.267Attack rating3392Defence rating881Form rating1950H2H rating5071Goals model2970Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

Buducnost Podgorica

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

18 Oct	A	Dečić	1-0	W
14 Oct	A	Bokelj	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Sutjeska	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	Petrovac	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Mladost DG	2-0	W
10 Sep	H	Jezero	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Otrant-Olympic	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Bokelj	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Mornar	1-2	L
16 Aug	A	Arsenal Tivat	0-0	D

Arsenal Tivat

1W 4D 5L · goals 7:14 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Mornar	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Grbalj	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Sutjeska	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Petrovac	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	Mladost DG	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Jezero	2-5	L
30 Aug	H	Otrant-Olympic	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Bokelj	0-0	D
16 Aug	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D
7 Aug	A	Mornar	0-0	D

Head to head

12Buducnost Podgorica wins

4draws

4Arsenal Tivat wins

20 meetings · goals 45:15 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Buducnost Podgorica

16 Aug 2026First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat0-0Buducnost Podgorica
27 Jun 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Buducnost Podgorica4-1Arsenal Tivat
18 Apr 2026First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica0-2Arsenal Tivat
25 Feb 2026First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat1-0Buducnost Podgorica
18 Oct 2025First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica4-2Arsenal Tivat
18 Aug 2025First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat1-0Buducnost Podgorica
20 Apr 2025First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica5-0Arsenal Tivat
26 Feb 2025First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat1-5Buducnost Podgorica
19 Oct 2024First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica2-1Arsenal Tivat
17 Aug 2024First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat0-2Buducnost Podgorica

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the First League table, Buducnost Podgorica sit 3rd with 18 points from 11 games, while Arsenal Tivat are 10th with 7 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic	11	6	2	3	20:14	+6	20
2	Sutjeska	11	5	3	3	15:7	+8	18
3	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12:7	+5	18
4	Mornar	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
5	Dečić	10	4	3	3	10:8	+2	15
6	Bokelj	10	4	3	3	8:9	-1	15
7	Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10:17	-7	12
8	Jezero	11	2	5	4	12:18	-6	11
9	Petrovac	10	1	5	4	9:12	-3	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	10	1	4	5	6:13	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.52X24%3.73216%5.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.52 -3.2%X3.60 → 3.73 +3.6%25.00 → 5.65 +13.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.93	1.86	5.6%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.86	5.0%
Average	1.91	1.81	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Betano	1.95	1.72	9.4%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.70	9.8%
Best of all books	1.96	1.75	8.2%
Average	1.95	1.73	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Buducnost Podgorica 45%Draw 45%Arsenal Tivat 10%

The statistical model rates Buducnost Podgorica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal Tivat at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 3.73 | 5.65, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Buducnost Podgorica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Buducnost Podgorica are 3rd (18 pts, 12-7 goals), Arsenal Tivat 10th (7 pts, 6-13).

Over their last five matches, Buducnost Podgorica averaged 2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Arsenal Tivat averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Buducnost Podgorica or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	3.75	5.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.32	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.19	5.67

2nd half

1	X	2
1.86	2.52	5.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.36	16.4	53.0
HT X	4.20	5.45	11.3
HT 2	22.5	17.4	9.41

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.46	9.05	3.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.50
1.5	1.28	3.19
2.5	1.91	1.81
3.5	3.17	1.28
4.5	6.47	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.18	3.87
1.75	1.33	2.90
2	1.43	2.52
2.25	1.67	2.05
2.75	2.15	1.61
3	2.57	1.42
3.25	2.89	1.33
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.30	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.93	1.33
-1.5	2.44	1.46
-1.25	2.16	1.59
-1	1.89	1.83
-0.75	1.63	2.09
-0.5	1.52	2.42

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.60	1.01
-2.5	4.65	1.12
-2.25	4.68	1.12
-2	3.90	1.18
-0.25	1.33	2.93
0	1.17	4.12
+0.25	1.12	4.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.82	1.96

Next First League matches

22 Oct

Mornar – Mladost DG

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

19 Oct	Sutjeska 4-0 Bokelj
19 Oct	Petrovac 2-3 Otrant-Olympic
18 Oct	Dečić 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
18 Oct	Mladost DG 0-0 Jezero
17 Oct	Arsenal Tivat 1-2 Mornar
10 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Sutjeska