Mladost DG vs Jezero• First League, Montenegro

#71.0:1.40-0FTToday · DG Arena, Podgorica2.0:2.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92PINX3.40PIN23.681XBMargin at best8.7%Books5Markets43Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.92	3.40	3.63	9.0%
1xBet	1.91	3.18	3.68	11.0%
Bet365	1.85	3.30	3.60	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.18	3.58	12.3%
William Hill	1.91	3.10	3.50	13.2%
Best of all books	1.92	3.40	3.68	8.7%
Average	1.90	3.23	3.60	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mladost DGJezero

Last 10#7Table position#81.09Points per game1.007Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 52.633Attack rating6765Defence rating3558Form rating4229H2H rating7168Goals model3249Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:30 UTC

Mladost DG

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

14 Oct	H	Iskra	4-0	W
8 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Mornar	1-5	L
28 Sep	A	Petrovac	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bokelj	0-3	L
14 Sep	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-2	L
10 Sep	A	Arsenal Tivat	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Dečić	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Sutjeska	1-5	L
22 Aug	H	Petrovac	0-0	D

Jezero

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

13 Oct	A	Lovćen	5-1	W
8 Oct	A	Mornar	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L
15 Sep	H	Bokelj	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Arsenal Tivat	5-2	W
30 Aug	A	Dečić	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Sutjeska	0-0	D
16 Aug	A	Petrovac	0-3	L
9 Aug	H	Mladost DG	1-0	W

Head to head

2Mladost DG wins

2draws

7Jezero wins

11 meetings · goals 7:13 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Mladost DG

9 Aug 2026First League	First League	Jezero1-0Mladost DG
16 May 2026First League	First League	Jezero2-2Mladost DG
15 Mar 2026First League	First League	Mladost DG3-1Jezero
26 Nov 2025Cup	Cup	Mladost DG0-2Jezero
22 Nov 2025First League	First League	Jezero1-0Mladost DG
17 Sep 2025First League	First League	Mladost DG0-1Jezero
24 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Mladost DG0-0Jezero
4 May 2024First League	First League	Jezero0-1Mladost DG
9 Mar 2024First League	First League	Mladost DG0-1Jezero
4 Nov 2023First League	First League	Jezero2-0Mladost DG

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 18 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the First League table, Mladost DG sit 7th with 12 points from 11 games, while Jezero are 8th with 11 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12:7	+5	18
2	Otrant-Olympic	10	5	2	3	17:12	+5	17
3	Mornar	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
4	Sutjeska	10	4	3	3	11:7	+4	15
5	Bokelj	9	4	3	2	8:5	+3	15
6	Dečić	10	4	3	3	10:8	+2	15
7	Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10:17	-7	12
8	Jezero	11	2	5	4	12:18	-6	11
9	Petrovac	9	1	5	3	7:9	-2	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	10	1	4	5	6:13	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.90X28%3.23225%3.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.99	1.80	5.8%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	1.99	1.85	4.3%
Average	1.96	1.78	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.79	1.91	8.2%
Average	1.78	1.88	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mladost DG 35%Draw 35%Jezero 30%

The statistical model rated Mladost DG at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Jezero at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.23 | 3.60, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Mladost DG win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the First League table: Mladost DG are 7th (12 pts, 10-17 goals), Jezero 8th (11 pts, 12-18).

Over their last five matches, Mladost DG averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Jezero averaged 2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mladost DG or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	3.23	3.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.73	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.50	2.09	4.22

2nd half

1	X	2
2.29	2.35	3.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.00	16.0	35.5
HT X	5.00	5.10	8.20
HT 2	23.0	17.0	5.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	8.70	2.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.10
1.5	1.28	3.08
2.5	1.96	1.78
3.5	3.34	1.24
4.5	6.60	1.06
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.14
1.75	1.36	2.76
2	1.47	2.40
2.25	1.73	1.97
2.75	2.23	1.56
3	2.71	1.38
3.25	3.05	1.30
3.75	4.09	1.17
4	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.73	1.37
-0.75	2.18	1.58
-0.5	1.94	1.86
-0.25	1.69	2.05
0	1.41	2.65
+0.25	1.29	3.10

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2	6.65	1.05
-1.5	3.50	1.22
-1.25	3.12	1.29
+0.75	1.12	4.64
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.67	2.10
8	1.92	1.88

Next First League matches

19 Oct	Petrovac – Otrant-Olympic
19 Oct	Sutjeska – Bokelj

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Dečić 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
17 Oct	Arsenal Tivat 1-2 Mornar
10 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Sutjeska
8 Oct	Mornar 3-3 Jezero
8 Oct	Otrant-Olympic 2-2 Mladost DG
20 Sep	Dečić 1-1 Mornar