Sutjeska vs Bokelj• First League, Montenegro

#41.0:0.016:00Tomorrow · Stadion Gradski1.2:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX3.20B36524.741XBMargin at best7.9%Books5Markets43Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	3.13	4.71	9.0%
1xBet	1.73	3.14	4.74	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.14	4.60	12.1%
Bet365	1.75	3.20	4.20	12.2%
William Hill	1.80	2.90	4.50	12.3%
Best of all books	1.80	3.20	4.74	7.9%
Average	1.76	3.10	4.55	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SutjeskaBokelj

Last 10#4Table position#61.50Points per game1.6711Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.20.0Goals against · last 50.845Attack rating55100Defence rating058Form rating4280H2H rating2068Goals model3262Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:01 UTC

Sutjeska

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against

14 Oct	H	Dečić	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Arsenal Tivat	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Dečić	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Mornar	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Petrovac	0-0	D
28 Aug	H	Mladost DG	5-1	W
22 Aug	A	Jezero	0-0	D
15 Aug	H	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L
9 Aug	A	Bokelj	0-1	L

Bokelj

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:6 · per match 0.9 for, 0.6 against

14 Oct	H	Buducnost Podgorica	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Mladost DG	3-0	W
15 Sep	A	Jezero	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Otrant-Olympic	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	Mornar	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Arsenal Tivat	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Dečić	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Sutjeska	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Petrovac	1-0	W

Head to head

9Sutjeska wins

0draws

3Bokelj wins

12 meetings · goals 25:17 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for Sutjeska

9 Aug 2026First League	First League	Bokelj1-0Sutjeska
2 May 2026First League	First League	Bokelj2-3Sutjeska
7 Mar 2026First League	First League	Sutjeska2-1Bokelj
31 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Sutjeska1-0Bokelj
1 Nov 2025First League	First League	Bokelj4-5Sutjeska
30 Aug 2025First League	First League	Sutjeska5-2Bokelj
4 May 2025First League	First League	Sutjeska1-0Bokelj
8 Mar 2025First League	First League	Bokelj1-2Sutjeska
27 Oct 2024First League	First League	Sutjeska0-2Bokelj
25 Aug 2024First League	First League	Bokelj0-3Sutjeska

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 18 Oct 14:01 UTC

In the First League table, Sutjeska sit 4th with 15 points from 10 games, while Bokelj are 6th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic	10	5	2	3	17:12	+5	17
2	Mornar	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
3	Buducnost Podgorica	10	4	3	3	11:7	+4	15
4	Sutjeska	10	4	3	3	11:7	+4	15
5	Dečić	9	4	3	2	10:7	+3	15
6	Bokelj	9	4	3	2	8:5	+3	15
7	Mladost DG	10	3	2	5	10:17	-7	11
8	Jezero	10	2	4	4	12:18	-6	10
9	Petrovac	9	1	5	3	7:9	-2	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	10	1	4	5	6:13	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X29%3.10220%4.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.75 → 1.76 +0.6%X3.20 → 3.10 -3.1%24.20 → 4.55 +8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.40	1.52	7.5%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.35	1.52	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.59	9.8%
Best of all books	2.13	1.65	7.6%
Average	2.12	1.62	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sutjeska 45%Draw 45%Bokelj 10%

The statistical model rates Sutjeska at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bokelj at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.10 | 4.55, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Sutjeska win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Sutjeska are 4th (15 pts, 11-7 goals), Bokelj 6th (15 pts, 8-5).

Over their last five matches, Sutjeska averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Bokelj averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sutjeska or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	3.10	4.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.88	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.12	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
2.40	1.96	5.30

2nd half

1	X	2
2.18	2.22	4.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.84	19.0	50.5
HT X	4.45	4.38	9.50
HT 2	28.5	19.0	7.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	6.48	2.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.70
1.5	1.43	2.52
2.5	2.35	1.52
3.5	4.30	1.15
4.5	9.70	1.01
5.5	26.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.25
1.25	1.27	3.24
1.75	1.55	2.23
2	1.76	1.92
2.25	2.05	1.67
2.75	2.75	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.90	1.18
3.75	5.55	1.08
4	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.14	1.27
-1.25	2.88	1.34
-1	2.49	1.46
-0.75	1.95	1.76
-0.5	1.80	2.01
-0.25	1.50	2.36

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.60	1.05
-2	5.80	1.07
-1.75	4.00	1.17
0	1.26	3.33
+0.25	1.20	3.88

Next First League matches

18 Oct	Dečić – Buducnost Podgorica
19 Oct	Petrovac – Otrant-Olympic

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Mladost DG 0-0 Jezero
17 Oct	Arsenal Tivat 1-2 Mornar
10 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Sutjeska
8 Oct	Mornar 3-3 Jezero
8 Oct	Otrant-Olympic 2-2 Mladost DG
20 Sep	Dečić 1-1 Mornar