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Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar• First League, Montenegro

#101.0:2.21-2FT17/10 · Stadion u Parku, Tivat1.2:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.711XBX3.52PIN21.80B365Margin at best1.5%Books6Markets47Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.633.521.599.1%
BetVictor5.503.501.609.3%
1xBet5.713.321.5810.9%
Bet3654.003.201.8011.8%
Marathonbet5.553.321.5612.2%
William Hill5.003.201.6213.0%
Best of all books5.713.521.801.5%
Average5.233.341.6310.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal TivatMornar
Last 10#10Table position#20.70Points per game1.554Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 51.245Attack rating5535Defence rating6538Form rating6338H2H rating6212Goals model8835Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:20 UTC

Arsenal Tivat

1W 5D 4L · goals 6:12 · per match 0.6 for, 1.2 against

13 OctHGrbalj1-1D
19 SepHSutjeska0-2L
14 SepAPetrovac2-1W
10 SepHMladost DG0-1L
5 SepAJezero2-5L
30 AugHOtrant-Olympic1-2L
23 AugABokelj0-0D
16 AugHBuducnost Podgorica0-0D
7 AugAMornar0-0D
2 AugADečić0-0D

Mornar

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

13 OctAOtrant-Olympic3-0W
8 OctHJezero3-3D
2 OctAMladost DG5-1W
20 SepADečić1-1D
14 SepHOtrant-Olympic0-1L
8 SepASutjeska0-1L
3 SepHBokelj2-0W
29 AugAPetrovac1-1D
21 AugHBuducnost Podgorica2-1W
16 AugAMladost DG3-2W

Head to head

7Arsenal Tivat wins
7draws
10Mornar wins

24 meetings · goals 22:31 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Arsenal Tivat

7 Aug 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueMornar0-0Arsenal Tivat
12 Apr 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tivat0-1Mornar
21 Feb 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueMornar1-2Arsenal Tivat
8 Oct 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tivat0-1Mornar
10 Aug 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueMornar2-2Arsenal Tivat
14 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tivat1-1Mornar
16 Mar 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueMornar1-0Arsenal Tivat
10 Nov 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tivat4-0Mornar
14 Sep 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueMornar4-0Arsenal Tivat
21 Apr 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tivat1-2Mornar

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 17 Oct 16:11 UTC

In the First League table, Arsenal Tivat sit 10th with 7 points from 10 games, while Mornar are 2nd with 17 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic1052317:12+517
2Mornar1145214:11+317
3Buducnost Podgorica1043311:7+415
4Sutjeska1043311:7+415
5Dečić943210:7+315
6Bokelj94328:5+315
7Mladost DG1032510:17-711
8Jezero1024412:18-610
9Petrovac91537:9-28
10Arsenal Tivat101456:13-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.23X27%3.34256%1.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 15:1017 Oct 11:311 5.23X 3.342 1.63
14.51 → 5.23 +16.0%X3.14 → 3.34 +6.4%21.74 → 1.63 -6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Pinnacle2.211.636.6%
1xBet2.171.599.0%
Marathonbet2.171.599.0%
BetVictor2.131.619.1%
Best of all books2.211.655.9%
Average2.181.617.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor2.151.628.2%
William Hill2.051.678.7%
1xBet2.111.629.1%
Marathonbet2.111.609.9%
Best of all books2.151.676.4%
Average2.101.638.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal Tivat 10%Draw 45%Mornar 45%

The statistical model rated Arsenal Tivat at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mornar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.23 | 3.34 | 1.63, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Arsenal Tivat are 10th (7 pts, 6-13 goals), Mornar 2nd (17 pts, 14-11).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal Tivat averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Mornar averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mornar.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.233.341.63

Double chance

1XX212
2.051.111.25

Draw no bet

12
4.051.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.111.63

1st half

1X2
6.112.032.21

2nd half

1X2
5.352.321.98

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.4018.525.5
HT X10.04.754.47
HT 253.018.52.69

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.037.351.56

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.85
1.51.362.80
2.52.181.61
3.54.081.17
4.58.351.04
5.521.01.01
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.066.20
1.251.213.58
1.751.462.44
21.632.10
2.251.901.79
2.752.501.44
33.221.27
3.253.581.21
3.754.801.12
47.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.751.37
+0.52.161.67
+0.751.921.76
+11.652.10
+1.251.472.44
+1.51.362.77
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.510.01.01
-0.254.801.12
03.951.20
+1.751.233.42
+21.114.90
+2.251.104.98
+2.51.075.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.672.10
81.921.88

Next First League matches

18 OctMladost DG – Jezero
18 OctDečić – Buducnost Podgorica
19 OctPetrovac – Otrant-Olympic
19 OctSutjeska – Bokelj

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

10 OctBuducnost Podgorica 0-0 Sutjeska
8 OctMornar 3-3 Jezero
8 OctOtrant-Olympic 2-2 Mladost DG
20 SepDečić 1-1 Mornar
20 SepBokelj 3-0 Mladost DG
20 SepOtrant-Olympic 4-1 Jezero