Bokelj vs Mladost DG• First League, Montenegro

#50.6:0.83-0FT20/09 · Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor0.8:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.32PINX3.10BTN23.17PINMargin at best6.9%Books5Markets39Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.32	2.89	3.17	9.3%
1xBet	2.25	2.88	3.16	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.23	2.88	3.08	12.0%
Bet365	2.15	3.00	3.10	12.1%
William Hill	2.30	2.80	2.90	13.7%
Best of all books	2.32	3.00	3.17	8.0%
Average	2.25	2.89	3.08	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BokeljMladost DG

Last 10#5Table position#71.67Points per game1.098Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.443Attack rating5764Defence rating3646Form rating5462H2H rating3887Goals model1358Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:01 UTC

Bokelj

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:6 · per match 0.9 for, 0.6 against

14 Oct	H	Buducnost Podgorica	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Mladost DG	3-0	W
15 Sep	A	Jezero	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Otrant-Olympic	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	Mornar	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Arsenal Tivat	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Dečić	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Sutjeska	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Petrovac	1-0	W

Mladost DG

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

14 Oct	H	Iskra	4-0	W
8 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Mornar	1-5	L
28 Sep	A	Petrovac	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bokelj	0-3	L
14 Sep	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-2	L
10 Sep	A	Arsenal Tivat	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Dečić	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Sutjeska	1-5	L
22 Aug	H	Petrovac	0-0	D

Head to head

2Bokelj wins

8draws

3Mladost DG wins

13 meetings · goals 9:12 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Bokelj

12 Apr 2026First League	First League	Mladost DG0-1Bokelj
21 Feb 2026First League	First League	Bokelj0-0Mladost DG
5 Oct 2025First League	First League	Mladost DG3-0Bokelj
10 Aug 2025First League	First League	Bokelj2-2Mladost DG
30 Aug 2023Cup	Cup	Mladost DG1-2Bokelj
6 May 2023Second League	Second League	Bokelj0-0Mladost DG
25 Mar 2023Second League	Second League	Mladost DG1-0Bokelj
30 Oct 2022Second League	Second League	Bokelj0-0Mladost DG
11 Sep 2022Second League	Second League	Mladost DG0-0Bokelj
20 May 2022Second League	Second League	Bokelj1-1Mladost DG

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 18 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the First League table, Bokelj sit 5th with 15 points from 9 games, while Mladost DG are 7th with 12 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	11	5	3	3	12:7	+5	18
2	Otrant-Olympic	10	5	2	3	17:12	+5	17
3	Mornar	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
4	Sutjeska	10	4	3	3	11:7	+4	15
5	Bokelj	9	4	3	2	8:5	+3	15
6	Dečić	10	4	3	3	10:8	+2	15
7	Mladost DG	11	3	3	5	10:17	-7	12
8	Jezero	11	2	5	4	12:18	-6	11
9	Petrovac	9	1	5	3	7:9	-2	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	10	1	4	5	6:13	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.33X31%2.94231%2.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.55	7.3%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.32	1.55	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
William Hill	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Average	1.94	1.73	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bokelj 45%Draw 45%Mladost DG 10%

The statistical model rated Bokelj at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mladost DG at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 2.94 | 2.95, which imply roughly 42.9% for a Bokelj win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Bokelj are 5th (15 pts, 8-5 goals), Mladost DG 7th (12 pts, 10-17).

Over their last five matches, Bokelj averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Mladost DG averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Bokelj or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	2.89	3.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.51	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.92	1.93	3.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	6.70	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.10
1.5	1.40	2.63
2.5	2.32	1.55
3.5	4.20	1.15
4.5	9.00	1.02
5.5	23.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.25	3.39
1.75	1.52	2.31
2	1.71	1.98
2.25	2.01	1.69
2.75	2.70	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.84	1.18
3.75	5.18	1.10
4	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.38
-0.5	2.31	1.58
-0.25	1.92	1.80
0	1.59	2.19
+0.25	1.40	2.62
+0.5	1.33	3.11

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.01
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.5	4.65	1.12
-1.25	4.20	1.15
-1	3.73	1.21
+0.75	1.18	3.90
+1	1.06	6.05
+1.25	1.06	6.18
+1.5	1.04	7.10

Next First League matches

19 Oct	Petrovac – Otrant-Olympic
19 Oct	Sutjeska – Bokelj

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Dečić 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
18 Oct	Mladost DG 0-0 Jezero
17 Oct	Arsenal Tivat 1-2 Mornar
10 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Sutjeska
8 Oct	Mornar 3-3 Jezero
8 Oct	Otrant-Olympic 2-2 Mladost DG